
SMCI shares fell about 8% on Oct. 23 after Super Micro said Q1 revenue would be ~$5 billion, down from a prior $6–7 billion forecast ts2.tech. The company blamed “design win upgrades” and delivery schedule shifts on major AI server orders ts2.tech. Supermicro reaffirmed its full-year FY2026 revenue guide of ≥$33 billion ts2.tech. Despite the drop, SMCI stock is still up roughly 60–70% in 2025 reuters.com ts2.tech on surging AI demand. Major tech firms are projected to spend ~$400 billion on AI infrastructure in 2025 reuters.com, underscoring continued tailwinds. Analysts are split: some remain bullish, while others are bearish ts2.tech. SMCI’s peers – Dell Technologies and HPE – reported strong AI-driven results recently, highlighting intense competition reuters.com ts2.tech. All eyes are now on Supermicro’s Nov. 4 earnings, which will reveal final Q1 results and updated guidance.
Today’s highest-ranked model selections.
The catalysts most likely to move markets.
A surprise around the 0.10 forecast could shift the morning growth narrative and influence Treasury yields and the dollar before the opening bell.
The day’s largest scheduled equity report can move PDD and the broader China-internet / e-commerce complex through revenue growth, margins and Temu commentary.
Deliveries, margin progression and spending on AI-enabled mobility can affect U.S.-traded Chinese EV names and related technology suppliers.