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Economic Analysis News 10 October 2025 - 8 November 2025

SPY Holds the $667 Line as AI CapEx Booms and Fed Officials Cloud a December Cut — Weekend Market Wrap (Nov. 8, 2025)

SPY Holds the $667 Line as AI CapEx Booms and Fed Officials Cloud a December Cut — Weekend Market Wrap (Nov. 8, 2025)

What moved stocks on Friday Stocks whipsawed but the S&P 500 and Dow finished slightly higher, while the Nasdaq slipped amid renewed skepticism about the durability of the AI rally. Late‑day reports of shutdown progress helped narrow losses. Treasury 10‑year yields dipped to about 4.09% into the close. Reuters Meanwhile, SPY eked out a small gain as the session digested a sharp drop in consumer sentiment, ongoing tech volatility, and the long government shutdown that is still muting official data releases. TipRanks Fed watch: December cut now a coin toss—at best Pricing in Fed funds futures has swung: depending on
Stocks Skyrocket to Record Highs as Fed Set to Cut Rates Again

Fed’s $50 Billion Repo Bailout: Credit Crunch Canary or Just Month-End Jitters?

Fed Pumps Billions to Calm a Cash Crunch Late last week, U.S. money markets showed unusual signs of strain. On Friday, October 31, banks and dealers suddenly found cash in short supply to meet their routine funding needs. Overnight lending rates – the cost for banks to borrow short-term cash – surged above the Federal Reserve’s target range, indicating that banks were scrambling for dollars reuters.com. In response, the Federal Reserve executed a massive repo operation to flood the system with cash and stabilize rates. In a repo (short for repurchase agreement), a bank can borrow overnight from the Fed
Gold Soars Past $4,000 for the First Time – Inside the Historic Rally and What’s Next

Gold Near $4,000: Inside 2025’s Historic Price Surge and the Road Ahead

Current Gold Prices and Recent Performance Gold prices remain just under the historic highs as of early November 2025, capping a year of extraordinary gains. On November 4, spot gold traded around $3,970/oz, with December futures near $3,979/oz. Just weeks earlier, on October 20, gold hit an all-time record of approximately $4,381 per ounce, before pulling back on profit-taking and improving risk sentiment. Even after dipping from the peak, gold is up over 50% since January – a stunning rise that makes 2025 one of gold’s best years on record. For context, this time last year gold was trading in
Oil Prices Rollercoaster: Trade War Fears & OPEC Moves Spark 5-Month Lows

Oil Price Rebound as OPEC Freezes Output Hikes: Winners, Losers, and 2026 Outlook

OPEC+ Pumps the Brakes on Oil Output The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) took a pivotal turn in policy at a meeting on Sunday, Nov 2. Led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, a core group of eight OPEC+ producers agreed to “nudge” oil output up slightly in December but then freeze any further production increases in January, February and March 2026 theguardian.com. This decision marks a notable shift: throughout 2025, OPEC+ had been gradually unwinding its earlier production cuts – adding nearly 2.9 million barrels per day since April – in an effort to regain
3 November 2025
Stock Market Today 11.10.2025

2025’s Best-Performing Stock Market Is Up 35% – Here’s What’s Driving the Rally

Best Stock Market Performance as of October 29, 2025 Global Markets Rally to New Highs Stock markets around the world are on fire heading into the final days of October 2025. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index – up about 34–35% so far this year – is the planet’s best-performing major index advisorperspectives.com. After a brutal multi-year slump, Hong Kong’s market came roaring back thanks to ultra-cheap valuations and China’s post-pandemic stimulus. Investors flooded into undervalued Chinese tech and consumer stocks, driving a dramatic rebound. As a result, the Hang Seng has erased its losses from prior years and is flirting
Gold Soars Past $4,000 for the First Time – Inside the Historic Rally and What’s Next

From Record High to Plunge: Gold Drops Below $4,000, Fueling Market Jitters

Gold’s Record Rally Meets a Sudden Drop Only a week ago, gold was the year’s star performer – blasting through all-time highs above $4,300 per ounce. On October 20, spot gold hit an unprecedented ~$4,381/oz reuters.com, capping a historic run fueled by global turmoil and investors seeking safety. By Oct. 27, that momentum dramatically reversed: prices plunged below $4,000 for the first time since early October reuters.com. In intraday trading, gold touched around $3,970/oz on Monday, the lowest level in three weeks, before settling near $4,002 by afternoon reuters.com. The swift drop marked gold’s steepest one-day slide in nearly 5 years, wiping out a chunk
Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Silver Soars Past $50 to Record Highs in 2025 Rally – What’s Next for the “Poor Man’s Gold”?

Key Facts – October 18, 2025 Silver Price Hits New Highs, Then Pulls Back Silver’s ascent in 2025 reached a climax this week, as the metal briefly surged above $50 an ounce for the first time in decades. On Thursday, October 16, spot silver shattered its 2011 peak, spiking to about $54.5/oz intraday – an all-time nominal high for the metal mining.com. This milestone came amid a furious multi-week rally in precious metals, with silver up over 70% year-to-date and dramatically outperforming gold’s gains reuters.com. By Friday the 17th, however, the market saw a swift reversal. Silver tumbled roughly 6%
Gold & Silver Hit Record Highs in Safe-Haven Frenzy – $5,000 Next or 2026 Crash?

Gold & Silver Hit Record Highs in Safe-Haven Frenzy – $5,000 Next or 2026 Crash?

Gold Soars to Record Highs Amid Global Angst Gold’s price blew past historic milestones this October as anxious investors flocked to safe-haven assets. The metal first breached the $4,000/oz barrier in early October – a level never seen before – and it hasn’t stopped there reuters.com ts2.tech. By mid-October, bullion was trading in the $4,200+ range, and on Friday (Oct 17) it briefly hit $4,378/oz, marking a fresh record intraday high devdiscourse.com. Even after a bit of profit-taking, gold is up ~7.6% for the week, putting it on pace for the strongest weekly gain since early 2020 devdiscourse.com. This stunning
Powell’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Fed’s Dilemma Sparks Market Turmoil and Record Highs

Powell’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Fed’s Dilemma Sparks Market Turmoil and Record Highs

Fed’s Balancing Act: Growth vs. Inflation In his remarks, Powell emphasized the unusual mix of a robust economy (above-trend GDP growth and surging productivity) alongside persistent inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve economists now face “a duel” of forces – big fiscal and trade shock versus a tech/AI-driven boom – as EY’s Gregory Daco puts it reuters.com. Fed Governor Christopher Waller bluntly noted the contradiction: “You can’t have negative job growth and 4% GDP growth” reuters.com. In other words, either hiring must rebound to match output, or growth will slow. This tension has shaped policy: the Fed’s Sept. rate cut was portrayed
Critical Metals Corp (CRML) SOARS on U.S. Rare-Earth Gambit – Billion-Dollar Opportunity or Bubble?

Critical Metals Corp (CRML) SOARS on U.S. Rare-Earth Gambit – Billion-Dollar Opportunity or Bubble?

Key Facts: Critical Metals Corp is a NASDAQ-listed (CRML) mining development company in the materials sector, focused on rare earths and lithium ts2.tech. Its market capitalization is now on the order of $2–3 billion (about $2.4B as of Oct. 13, 2025) stockanalysis.com. The company’s chief assets are the Tanbreez Rare Earth Project in southern Greenland and the Wolfsberg Lithium Project in Austria ts2.tech. Tanbreez is a massive high-grade rare-earth deposit (heavy-REO content, including dysprosium and terbium) discovered and developed to supply clean-energy and defense markets ts2.tech. Wolfsberg is one of the few fully‑permitted lithium mines in Europe, aimed at the
Dow Dips as Fed Fears Slam Tech Stocks – Hot Economic Data Rattles Wall Street (Sept 25, 2025)

Stock Market Keeps on Giving – Why Investors Won’t Question This Record Rally

A Historic Rally Defies Gravity By all accounts, the stock market’s run in 2025 has been extraordinary. Major U.S. indexes continue to set record after record, seemingly without a breather. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have been climbing for months with remarkably low volatility. As of mid-October 2025, the S&P 500 is hovering near 6,750 – up roughly 18% year-to-date and almost 90% higher than its bear-market trough in October 2022 reuters.com reuters.com. The Nasdaq has seen similarly stunning gains, rising about 20% in 2025 and more than 80% from its 2022 lows. Perhaps the most striking technical feat:
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