Fed Cuts Rates — But Mortgage Rates Refuse to Fall, Tech Stocks Surge to New Highs
Fed Policy and Mortgage Rates The Fed’s pivot to easier policy has not yet translated into cheaper mortgages. In September the Fed delivered its first rate cut of 2025 (bringing the federal funds target to 4.00–4.25%) and Fed officials like Governor Michelle Bowman signal more cuts are comingreuters.com. Futures markets now imply a roughly 95% chance of another 25 bp cut at the Oct. 28–29 meetingts2.tech. Despite this, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is holding around 6.2%, slightly higher than a year agothedailyeconomy.orgreuters.com. Economists like Paul Mueller explain why: mortgages track the 10-year Treasury yield, which isn’t falling because supply/demand in