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Trade Wars News 12 October 2025 - 5 November 2025

Global Market Turmoil: Asia’s Factories Stumble, US Tariffs Bite, Oil Soars – What’s Next?

Global Market Turmoil: Asia’s Factories Stumble, US Tariffs Bite, Oil Soars – What’s Next?

In-Depth Analysis: Asia’s Manufacturing Slowdown: Business surveys on Nov 3–4 revealed broad weakness. China’s S&P Global (private) PMI dipped to 50.6 in October reuters.com as new export orders fell sharply amid tariff concerns. Official data also showed China’s factory output contracting for the 7th straight month. Japan’s manufacturing PMI was even weaker – 48.2 in October (from 48.5), its lowest since Mar 2024 reuters.com. Pollyanna De Lima of S&P noted, “demand weakness, particularly in the automotive and semiconductor sectors, weighed on Japanese manufacturing” reuters.com, though firms are optimistic that U.S. tariffs’ “detrimental impact… will fade” and future output will recover
Trump-Xi Trade Truce Sends Stocks Tumbling – Markets Brace for Tech Earnings and Fed Moves

Trump-Xi Trade Truce Sends Stocks Tumbling – Markets Brace for Tech Earnings and Fed Moves

Trump-Xi Meeting Yields Only a Temporary Truce At the APEC summit in Busan on Thursday, Trump and Xi touted progress but agreed only to roll back recent trade escalations. Under their framework, Beijing will pause new controls on rare-earth minerals (vital for tech manufacturing) for one year, resume soybean purchases, and work to halt illicit fentanyl exports. In exchange, Trump said U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports will be cut to 47% of their original levels (by halving the 20% fentanyl precursor tariff to 10%) reuters.com. Trump hailed the talks as “amazing” and rated them “12” on a 10-point scale reuters.com,
Rare Earths Showdown: China’s ‘Bazooka’ Roils Markets, Trump Vows Tariffs

Rare Earths Showdown: China’s ‘Bazooka’ Roils Markets, Trump Vows Tariffs

Sources: Recent news reports and analyses (Washington Post, Reuters, AP, CNBC/FT reports, Fortune) plus industry data and tech media washingtonpost.com business-standard.com mexc.com economictimes.indiatimes.com reuters.com investopedia.com reuters.com, among others. Expert quotes and stock data are from these sources.
15 October 2025
Oil Prices Rollercoaster: Trade War Fears & OPEC Moves Spark 5-Month Lows

Oil Prices Rollercoaster: Trade War Fears & OPEC Moves Spark 5-Month Lows

Trade War Volatility Hits Oil Oil markets this week have been buffeted by the ebb and flow of US-China trade developments. On Oct 10, Trump’s threat of massive new tariffs on Chinese imports sent Brent and WTI tumbling over 4%, to lows not seen since May reuters.com. The sell-off reflected a broader shift to “risk-off” sentiment, as UBS’s Giovanni Staunovo noted that Trump’s announcement drove oil down reuters.com. However, reports that a Trump-Xi meeting was back on track (tentatively planned for late October in South Korea) sparked a relief rally on Monday (Oct 13). Brent jumped nearly 1% to $63.32
14 October 2025
Nasdaq Climbs Record Highs Then Retreats Amid Trade and Tech News

Nasdaq Surges 1.7% on Monday After Trump Calms Trade War Fears – Tech Stocks Lead Wild Comeback

Market Summary – Nasdaq Composite & Nasdaq-100 Performance Monday’s session saw a sharp recovery in equities after Friday’s selloff. The Nasdaq Composite rebounded to 22,513.52 at the close, up 1.39% for the day investing.com. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 also climbed to 24,697.77, up 1.97% investing.com. These gains came as U.S. futures jumped and major tech names surged (see below). By comparison, on Friday Oct 10 the Nasdaq Composite had plunged to 22,204.43 (-3.56%) investing.com on news of fresh trade tensions – wiping out nearly two weeks of gains (the index had traded at record highs near 23,043 on Oct 9 ts2.tech).
13 October 2025
JP Morgan’s Dimon Sounds Alarm: 30% Crash Risk Looms Amid AI Frenzy and Trade Wars

JP Morgan’s Dimon Sounds Alarm: 30% Crash Risk Looms Amid AI Frenzy and Trade Wars

Forecast: In short, the bull run may have farther to go if earnings remain strong and monetary conditions stay loose. But risk is asymmetric: “everything is priced for perfection,” as one investor put it reuters.com, so the next bad news could trigger a rapid downturn. Investors are advised to monitor earnings closely, watch interest-rate signals, and diversify into safe havens or defensive sectors. As Dimon warned, the odds of a big drop are “higher than what I think is priced in the market” theguardian.com – so prudent risk management is key in these turbulent times. Sources: Recent news and analysis from The Guardian, Reuters,
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