Coeur Mining (NYSE:CDE) Q2 Preview: Ongoing Sales Increase Sets Up a Seven-Point Margin Challenge
1 August 2026

Coeur Mining (NYSE:CDE) Q2 Preview: Ongoing Sales Increase Sets Up a Seven-Point Margin Challenge

NEW YORK, July 31, 2026, 6:04 p.m. EDT — With regular U.S. trading finished and after-hours deals underway.

  • Coeur ended the session at $14.91, a fall of 3.2%. The most recent after-hours price was $14.81 at 5:58 p.m.
  • Consensus estimates currently indicate quarterly revenue between $1.19 billion and $1.24 billion. Expectations for earnings per share (EPS) range from $0.26 to $0.27.
  • Coeur is scheduled to announce results after the market closes on Wednesday. Its earnings call begins Thursday at 11 a.m. EDT.

Coeur approaches its earnings week facing a clear divide between sales and margins. Analysts are forecasting a revenue increase of 39% to 45% compared to the previous quarter. However, EPS is projected to decrease by 25% to 28%.

Stock chart for NYSE:CDE

The purchase accounts for most of the difference. Coeur distributed 392.7 million shares as part of its acquisition of New Gold in March. The total number of outstanding shares increased to around 1.035 billion.

The weighted average shares for the first quarter stood at 698.7 million. The quarter’s figures account for just 11 days of contributions from New Afton and Rainy River.

Applying the March 31 share count as an approximate proxy for the second quarter, consensus data from both sources indicate an earnings margin of about 22.6%. Coeur’s adjusted margin for the first quarter stood at 29.6%. The seven-point drop marks the most obvious challenge for investors this quarter.

Earnings basisRevenueEPSShare base usedImplied earningsImplied margin
Q1 results, adjusted$856.2 million$0.36698.7 million weighted$253.5 million29.6%
Google Finance Q2 estimate$1.19 billion$0.261.0345 billion proxy$269.0 million22.6%
MarketBeat Q2 estimate$1.2388 billion$0.27011.0345 billion proxy$279.4 million22.6%

Second-quarter data are preliminary. Calculations of implied earnings and margins are not company-provided guidance. Actual diluted share counts and analysts’ adjustments could vary.

Total profit might not decrease as a result. The same bridge projects earnings between $269 million and $279 million, which would surpass the first-quarter adjusted profit by about 6% to 10%.

Dilution can mask that potential increase, while margin pressure remains clear.

Costs remain the more challenging factor. Coeur’s annual outlook factors in inflation of 3% to 5%. The projection also incorporates increased royalties, a firmer Mexican peso, and additional maintenance.

Chief Executive Mitchell Krebs stated in May, “Starting with the second quarter, Coeur is equipped to deliver on the full potential of our enhanced platform.” coeur.com

Last week, the stock outperformed peers with greater silver exposure. Coeur declined 1.5% from July 24, while the average decrease among three comparable companies was 5.6%.

Shares of Hecla Mining Company , Pan American Silver Corp. , and First Majestic Silver Corp. all declined further.

CompanyJuly 24 closeJuly 31 closeWeekly moveFriday move
Coeur Mining$15.13$14.91-1.5%-3.2%
Hecla Mining$15.14$14.12-6.7%-5.5%
Pan American Silver$44.03$43.11-2.1%-2.1%
First Majestic Silver$16.31$15.03-7.8%-4.2%
Average for three peers-5.6%-3.9%

Weekly returns reflect the closing prices on July 24 and July 31.

The breakdown of revenue highlights the company’s relative resilience. Gold accounted for 56% of revenue in the first quarter. Silver represented 42%, and copper made up 2%.

Gold declined by 1.3% on Friday to $4,049.83 per ounce. Silver slid 2.1% to $57.76.

Bybit chief market analyst Han Tan noted that “the precious metal has struggled to carve a bigger gap above the psychological $4,000 level.” Reuters

Coeur’s profit expectations from analysts have dropped substantially. Over the last three months, FactSet’s forecast for the second quarter decreased by 35%. The 2026 full-year projection was also cut by 27%.

PeriodThree months agoOne month agoCurrentRevision
Q2 2026 EPS$0.40$0.31$0.26-35.0%
Q3 2026 EPS$0.49$0.42$0.36-26.5%
FY 2026 EPS$2.00$1.72$1.46-27.0%
FY 2027 EPS$2.40$1.92$1.83-23.8%

FactSet data, as presented by The Wall Street Journal, provides these estimate trends.

The reduced bar does not guarantee an easy win. Investors are likely to monitor if the newly acquired mines increase overall profit without causing further margin deterioration.

Coeur is set to report earnings following Wednesday’s market close on August 5, with management scheduled to review the results in a call Thursday morning.

The upcoming key data release is set for Friday, August 7. According to a Reuters survey, forecasts point to 83,000 additional jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.3%. A more robust outcome may reinforce views that another interest rate hike is likely.

Risks: Gold and silver prices are sensitive to changes in interest rates and the dollar. Variations in grades, recoveries, maintenance, taxes and mine integration can affect costs. Coeur’s reported diluted results may not match the indicative profit bridge.

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Further analysis

What does the August 5 report need to demonstrate?
Coeur is set to release its second-quarter results after markets close on August 5, marking the first complete quarter that counts in New Afton and Rainy River. Coeur Mining Zacks projects earnings per share of $0.22 with revenue at $1.24 billion, noting that its EPS forecast declined 26% in the last month. MarketBeat, however, lists an EPS figure of $0.27, indicating a split among estimates. Yahoo Finance In the first quarter, Coeur posted adjusted EBITDA of $475 million and free cash flow of $267 million, with the newly acquired mines having contributed for only eleven days. Coeur Mining
Is the expanded company on track to achieve its 2026 production goals?
Coeur maintains its outlook at 680,000–815,000 ounces of gold and 18.68–21.93 million ounces of silver. The company also anticipates 50–65 million pounds of copper. Coeur Mining In Q1, output reached 96,503 ounces of gold and 4.4 million ounces of silver, with the recently acquired Canadian operations contributing for only eleven days. Coeur Mining Adjusted costs applicable to sales at the Rainy River mine are projected at $2,150–$2,350 per ounce. As a result, Q2 will serve as the first full quarter for production, cost and integration performance assessment. Coeur Mining
Is there sufficient potential for gains at the current valuation?
CDE ended at $14.91 on July 31, reflecting a $15.4 billion market capitalization. The stock traded at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 12.0. S&P Global’s projected 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.52 values the firm at 9.8 times forward earnings. Just two analysts back that yearly projection. The consensus from eleven analysts is Buy, with an average price target of $24.84. Price targets range from $18.75 to $40, indicating considerable uncertainty. StockAnalysis
To what extent could the outlook be impacted by a decline in metal prices?
Gold realized prices in Q1 reached $4,383, while silver was at $82.85. Gold and silver accounted for 98% of revenue in the quarter. Coeur Mining On Friday, spot prices stood at $4,049.83 for gold and $57.76 for silver, marking declines of around 8% and 30% from Q1 realized prices. Reuters Coeur bases its guidance on gold at $4,550 and silver at $77.50. Price sensitivity remains the main near-term risk. Coeur Mining
Is it possible for capital returns to counterbalance share dilution caused by the acquisition?
New Gold's agreement involved issuing 392.7 million shares, bringing the total outstanding shares to nearly 1.0345 billion following completion. Coeur Mining The most recent update showed 3.99 million shares bought back, worth $69.7 million. As of May 15, authorization remained for about $680.3 million. Investing.com At a share price of $14.91, the rest represents approximately 4.4% of the shares after the deal. The semiannual dividend of $0.02 yields an annual rate close to 0.27%. Cash flow per share remains a primary focus. Coeur Mining
What are the key drivers of growth looking past the upcoming quarter?
Coeur intends to allocate $158 million for exploration in 2026, doubling the previous year’s expenditure. Drilling at Palmarejo and Las Chispas will cover over 200 kilometers. At San Miguel, results included 11.5 meters grading 6.9 grams per tonne gold and 1,250 grams per tonne silver. Coeur Mining New Afton’s K-Zone hosts 715,000 ounces of gold and 606 million pounds of copper in measured and indicated resources. A feasibility study is slated to begin in the second half of 2026. Drilling results remain positive, while reserve conversion and economic assessments are still outstanding. Coeur Mining

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Cracow University of Economics, he previously worked in investment research and corporate finance. His coverage helps readers understand the key forces driving global financial markets and emerging industries. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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