TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ:WULF) rises above mining sector after receiving FERC approval for plant transfer

TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ:WULF) rises above mining sector after receiving FERC approval for plant transfer

NEW YORK, July 31, 2026, 18:13 EDT

  • TeraWulf shares last traded at $17.66, slipping 1.0% following the end of regular market hours.
  • Four listed peers dropped by a median of 5.0%, while Bitcoin was down 3.0%.
  • FERC approved the transfer of a 216-MW plant, not the building of a data center.

TeraWulf Inc. held a slide to 1.0% on Friday, outpacing wider losses in publicly traded mining and compute peers. The stock most recently changed hands at $17.66 after the close of the regular Nasdaq session. After-hours trading continued.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:WULF

The median decline among the four peers stood at 5.0%, with Bitcoin slipping 3.0%. TeraWulf surpassed the median by 4.1 percentage points. The difference indicates investors favored the federal order even with softer crypto prices.

Friday market snapshot (most recent quotes)

SecurityLastMoveMarket value
TeraWulf Inc. $17.66-1.0%$7.47 billion
MARA Holdings Inc. $11.32-4.5%$4.30 billion
Riot Platforms Inc. $20.17-8.8%$7.01 billion
IREN Ltd. $36.80-3.8%$12.28 billion
CleanSpark Inc. $13.76-5.6%$3.14 billion
Bitcoin$62,921-3.0%

The shares closed the week with a loss, finishing 4.3% beneath their July 24 level. After dropping 11.7% on Wednesday, the stock recovered 18.1% on Thursday.

TeraWulf’s performance over the past week

DateClosing priceDaily move
July 24$18.46-7.9%
July 27$17.98-2.6%
July 28$17.09-5.0%
July 29$15.09-11.7%
July 30$17.82+18.1%
July 31$17.66-0.9%

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has approved Chesapeake Data LLC’s purchase of Morgantown Power. Chesapeake is fully owned by TeraWulf. Morgantown operates four oil-fueled units totaling roughly 216 megawatts in capacity.

The order is limited in scope, addressing only ownership and not the development of data centers or the addition of new generating capacity. Repowering is not included. TeraWulf is required to inform FERC within 10 days following closure.

Local clearance is still pending. On July 21, Charles County commissioners opted not to move the zoning amendment forward. Staff have been directed to develop a framework involving a task-force and consultants. According to county documents, the potential for data centers as a permitted use is still being evaluated.

Regulation overview

ItemCurrent statusWhat follows
Plant ownership transferApproved July 29Federal review complete
Existing generationApproximately 216 MWAsset transferred with Morgantown Power
Data-center developmentOutside FERC jurisdictionAdditional reviews ongoing
Repowering or new generationOutside FERC jurisdictionOther authorizations required
Charles County zoningAmendment not submittedAwaiting updated proposal
Closing noticeMust be filed within 10 days post closingFERC submission after deal completion

TeraWulf’s proposed campus is significantly bigger. The initial stage aims for 500 MW of generation capacity, 250 MW of storage, and 500 MW of demand. Ultimately, the complete development envisions one gigawatt each for generation and data center usage.

The plant that was transferred represents 43% of Phase I’s generation goal and 22% of the overall target. These percentages indicate the scale of the asset alone, and do not reflect permit status or construction advancement.

Chesapeake scope: company aims, buildout not yet authorized

ComponentFERC-covered asset or scopePhase I targetFull plan
Generation216 MW in operation500 MW1,000 MW
Battery storageExcluded250 MW500 MW
Data-center loadExcluded500 MW1,000 MW

The business composition is shifting. High-performance computing leases contributed $21 million to first-quarter revenue, making up 62% of the $34 million total. TeraWulf posted 60 MW of operational critical-IT capacity.

TeraWulf’s Chief Executive Paul Prager described the firm as creating a “power-advantaged platform.” In July, the company signed a lease with Anthropic that includes around 401 MW of critical-IT load. TeraWulf projects approximately $19 billion in contracted revenue across 20 years. Service is expected to launch in the second half of 2027. TeraWulf Inc.

Analysts remained upbeat amid the turbulence. Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani maintained a $36 price target, while Cantor Fitzgerald’s Brett Knoblauch assigned a $37 target. KBW’s Stephen Glagola lowered his target to $30, mentioning concerns over funding and AI-tenant risks.

Latest projections from analysts, not official company outlook

AnalystFirmDateRatingTargetUpside from $17.66
Gautam ChhuganiBernsteinJuly 30Buy$36104%
Brett KnoblauchCantor FitzgeraldJuly 29Buy$37110%
Stephen GlagolaKBWJuly 28Outperform$3070%

The upcoming test comes ahead of Wednesday’s market open, as TeraWulf is set to publish its second-quarter earnings prior to its 8 a.m. ET conference call on Aug. 5. Market watchers will focus on HPC revenue figures, updates on delivery timelines, and developments in the Morgantown closing.

Risks: FERC approval does not address local zoning and permitting issues. TeraWulf highlights risks associated with funding, building, customer demand and electricity costs. The bitcoin-mining segment brings additional commodity price exposure.

This week’s market activity gives an initial indication. On Friday, managing power was more significant than Bitcoin sensitivity. Results and domestic clearances must now corroborate this.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What is required from the August 5 earnings statement?
TeraWulf will announce its second-quarter results on August 5, 2026. Key points include whether HPC lease revenue topped Q1’s $21.0 million. Investors are also watching for confirmation that CB-3, CB-4 and CB-5 remain on track. MarketBeat’s Q2 consensus is a loss of $0.24 per share, drawn from three estimates. In Q1, adjusted EBITDA stood at negative $4.1 million. TeraWulf Inc.
To what extent does the Anthropic lease alter TeraWulf’s earnings trajectory?
The lease, running for 20 years, secures 401 MW and approximately $19 billion in contracted revenue, or an average of around $950 million per year. The facility is set to begin initial operations in the second half of 2027, with full capacity targeted by early 2028. TeraWulf anticipates backing with investment-grade credit; however, construction schedules and margins are still unclear. TeraWulf Inc.
Which major near-term catalysts are most significant ahead of Anthropic’s revenue initiation?
Lake Mariner remains the closest earnings driver. Fluidstack's leases extend to 378 MW, generating around $6.7 billion in contracted revenue. Google is backing the project with $3.2 billion in credit support, with rollout set to begin in 2026. The Abernathy asset sale is valued at about $530 million; of that, $250 million was due in 14 days. Clear confirmation of rental commencements and cash inflows would ease funding concerns. TeraWulf Inc.
Is there sufficient upside potential at the present valuation?
WULF ended July 31 at $17.66, falling short of the $19 offering price set in April. MarketBeat’s consensus from 20 analysts stands at $34.29, while an S&P Global survey puts the target at $37.94. These projections represent an estimated 94% to 115% potential gain from Friday’s closing price. Valuation approaches vary, as P/E cannot be used with a GAAP net loss of $427.7 million reported in Q1. Assessment focuses instead on anticipated lease cash flows, margins, and deliveries. TeraWulf Inc.
To what extent do financing and dilution risks pose a concern?
Cash and restricted cash stood at $3.09 billion as of March 31, ahead of financing completed in April. Debt was listed at roughly $5.29 billion prior to a $100 million repayment. Equity sales in April boosted the share count by 64.8 million, roughly 15% higher than at the end of March. Outstanding Google warrants could introduce an additional 73.58 million shares with a $0.01 exercise price. Dilution continues to be significant. TeraWulf Inc.
To what extent might New York’s data-center moratorium slow expansion?
Executive Order 62 halts processing for pending DEC permits involving data centers with power use of at least 50 MW. The pause does not apply to applications that were considered complete before July 14. Operations that are already active are not required to shut down. The order does not clarify the permit status for TeraWulf at either Lake Mariner or Cayuga. The risk related to timing remains significant, but the precise effects are undetermined. Governor Kathy Hochul

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global financial markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and previously worked in investment analysis before moving into financial journalism. His daily coverage focuses on the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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