US Stock Market Today 08.20.2026

US Stock Market Today 08.20.2026

LIVE · U.S. MARKET
TS2 TECH • U.S. EQUITIES

Premarket crosscurrents: retail caution, firm yields, crypto strength

Updated on August 20, 2026, at 7:19 a.m. EST (12:19 p.m. in Warsaw)

PREMARKET ACTIVE
MARKET REGIME

Index risk is muted, but the tape is sharply selective

Walmart’s sales fell short of expectations, putting pressure on consumer stocks, while rising Treasury yields and a fifth straight oil gain are capping potential for valuation growth. Crypto-linked stocks continue to stand out as the main risk-on sector.

S&P 500 futures−0.04%06:16 EST
Nasdaq 100 futures−0.05%06:16 EST
Dow futures−0.19%06:16 EST

Source: Reuters market update; futures figures shown, not cash-index values.

NEXT VOLATILITY WINDOW
07:30 EST

Initial jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey are scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. EDT / 2:30 p.m. Warsaw time.

A rates-first reaction could override the current stock-specific premarket moves.

Initial jobless claims calendar · Philadelphia Fed schedule

SPY • ETF PROXY

769.06+0.19%Latest available extended-hours print: 07:03 EST

QQQ • ETF PROXY

716.08−0.21%Latest available extended-hours print: 07:03 EST

DIA • ETF PROXY

534.27+0.27%Latest available extended-hours print: 07:03 EST

IWM • ETF PROXY

301.72+0.45%Latest available extended-hours print: 07:03 EST

DECISIVE STOCK MOVES
StockMoveVerified catalystTimestamp
Walmart −6.0%U.S. comparable sales rose 2.6%, below the 3.8% consensus. Third-quarter adjusted EPS guidance of $0.62–$0.64 also trailed the $0.68 estimate.06:05 EST
Strategy +10.4%Crypto-linked shares extended gains after renewed White House support for the Clarity Act.06:16 EST
Coinbase +7.6%Bitcoin’s rebound and the regulatory catalyst lifted listed crypto proxies.06:16 EST
Coty −11.2%The company forecast below-consensus current-quarter earnings and withheld its annual outlook.06:16 EST

Sources: Reuters reports on Walmart · Reuters lists premarket movers

CROSS-ASSET PRESSURE
10-year Treasury4.67%

Latest Reuters observation: 06:16 EST

30-year Treasury5.217%

Near a two-decade high; 06:16 EST

Oil+2.7%

Fifth consecutive advance; 06:16 EST

Reuters Global Markets

WALMART: WHAT THE MISS ACTUALLY SAYS
2.6%U.S. comparable sales3.8% consensus
+24%U.S. e-commerceyear over year
+43%Walmart Connectadvertising growth
4%–5%FY27 net sales guideraised from 3.5%–4.5%

The difference between reported comparable sales and the pharmacy-adjusted core rate of 3.4% is 0.8 percentage point. While this narrows the headline miss, the 1.1% rise in average ticket indicates weaker spending momentum compared to last year.

Walmart reports Q2 fiscal 2027 results · Reuters analysis

OPENING CHECKLIST
  1. Rates: Does the 10-year yield extend above the 4.67% premarket reading after 07:30 EST data?
  2. Retail: Does Walmart’s gap pull consumer-discretionary and staples peers lower?
  3. Leadership: Can IWM maintain its edge over QQQ after the cash open?
  4. Crypto: Do COIN and MSTR hold gains on opening volume rather than fade with bitcoin?
IMMEDIATE RISK

Rates and oil can turn a stock-specific dip into a broader de-rating

Stronger economic data or a drop in jobless claims could push yields even higher. With oil prices already up 2.7%, this could squeeze consumer margins and weigh on long-duration tech stocks simultaneously.

TS2 TECH • U.S. MARKET DASHBOARDPremarket quotes are indicative and may be delayed. This is an editorial market dashboard, not personalized investment advice.
Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company working with customers worldwide. His experience spans satellite communications, telecommunications and technology ventures. He graduated from the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and writes about space technology, artificial intelligence, stocks and the technology companies and industries he follows. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook or LinkedIn.

AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 Strong buy

Alphabet

Shares of Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) 91/100 • ★★★★½
#2 Strong buy

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

TSMC (NYSE:TSM) 90/100 • ★★★★½
#3 Strong buy

Amazon

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) 88/100 • ★★★★½
#4 Buy

Microsoft

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) 86/100 • ★★★★
#5 Buy

Visa

Visa (NYSE:V) 83/100 • ★★★★
View full portfolio
Editorial model selection. Not personalised advice.
MARKET CALENDAR

Key Events Today

The catalysts most likely to move markets.

#1

Walmart earnings

Walmart has the potential to influence outlooks on U.S. consumer strength, grocery inflation, discretionary spending, and retail profit margins.

#2

8:30 ET macro cluster

Jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed survey often influence Treasury yields, the US dollar, and equity index futures ahead of the market open.

#3

Deere earnings

Outlooks for large agriculture demand and construction equipment are key indicators for industrial cyclicals and the broader farm economy.

View full calendar
Times and estimates may change. Verify before trading.
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