Today: 22 July 2026
EQT (NYSE:EQT) raises gas outlook while Southgate investment utilizes capex savings
22 July 2026
2 mins read

EQT (NYSE:EQT) raises gas outlook while Southgate investment utilizes capex savings

NEW YORK, July 21, 2026, 18:01 EDT

  • The midpoint for full-year sales volume increased by 3.8%. At the midpoint, total planned capital climbed 2.1%.
  • The stock ended the session at $49.80, gaining 1.5% ahead of the earnings report released after the close.

EQT Corporation increased its 2026 production midpoint by 3.8% following a robust second-quarter performance. Including maintenance, expansion and equity-method investments, total projected capital will climb by roughly 2.1%.

The gap is significant. Spending on compression is boosting output at a rate surpassing overall investment growth.

At the realized price in the second quarter, the additional 87.5 Bcfe represents an estimated $232 million in potential gross sales. This estimate does not factor in basis differentials, operating expenses, or hedges.

U.S. cash markets finished trading prior to the dateline. EQT closed at $49.80 ahead of releasing its results at 4:30 p.m. EDT.

Volume for the second quarter was 634 Bcfe, exceeding the top end of guidance by 14 Bcfe. Capital expenditure totaled $666 million, coming in roughly 9% under the guided minimum.

2026 measurePrior guidanceNew guidanceMidpoint change
Sales volume, Bcfe2,275–2,3752,375–2,450+87.5, or +3.8%
Maintenance capital, $bn2.070–2.2102.040–2.190−$25 million, or −1.2%
Growth capital, $bn0.580–0.6400.580–0.640Unchanged
Equity-method contributions, $bn0.070–0.0800.150–0.170+$85 million, or +113%
Combined planned capital, $bn2.720–2.9302.770–3.000+$60 million, or +2.1%

Based on company-provided ranges. The figure covers maintenance capital, growth capital, and equity-method contributions, and does not include acquisitions.

The headline capital reduction is thus partial. Increased contributions from Southgate more than offset the $25 million cut in maintenance capital.

EQT brought forward $85 million in contributions to complete MVP Southgate before year-end. The company kept its growth-capital range steady.

CEO Toby Rice stated, “We are increasing our 2026 production guidance by 90 Bcfe, and at the same time reducing our CapEx guidance for the year by $25 million.” PR Newswire

A 10-year agreement with Competitive Power Ventures introduces a further pricing mechanism. EQT is set to deliver 325,000 dekatherms per day for a proposed two-gigawatt facility in West Virginia. Rates will be tied to PJM power market prices.

Average realized prices declined 5.7% to $2.65 per Mcfe. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.39 per share, down from $0.45. Adjusted EBITDA attributable to EQT increased 3.3% to $1.07 billion.

Net debt stood at $5.54 billion at the end of June, representing a decrease of roughly 28% compared to December. EQT paid down a further $115 million subsequent to the quarter’s close. On Tuesday, the company finalized its $77 million acquisition of Blackline Midstream.

The stock showed little movement during the past five sessions. On Tuesday, gains trailed behind Range Resources , which rose 2.9%, and Antero Resources , which increased 1.9%.

U.S. natural gas for August delivery closed at $2.865 per million British thermal units on Tuesday, gaining 0.2%. Inventories stayed 181 Bcf higher than the five-year average following the most recent data.

Analysts will meet with management on Wednesday at 10 a.m. EDT. The federal storage report is scheduled for release Thursday at 10:30 a.m.

Key risks include lower gas prices, broader Appalachian basis discounts, and delays to Southgate. PJM-tied sales additionally expose the company to fluctuations in power prices and risks related to contract execution.

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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