Natural gas price dives as warm forecasts bite; Expand Energy stock slumps on CEO exit

U.S. natural gas futures dropped over 8% on Monday, closing at about $3.141 per million British thermal units—their lowest mark in three weeks—as traders responded to forecasts for milder weather across the country that could slash heating needs. Commodity Weather Group is now calling for above-normal temperatures in the Midwest and South through Feb. 20, a forecast that tends to take the edge off winter demand in a hurry.

Energy Markets · NASDAQ:EXE · Natural Gas · NYSE:AR · NYSE:EQT · Stock Market
Natural gas price pauses near $3.45 as EIA storage report looms; gas stocks mixed

Natural gas price pauses near $3.45 as EIA storage report looms; gas stocks mixed

U.S. Henry Hub natural gas futures hovered around $3.45 per million British thermal units on Thursday as traders awaited the Energy Information Administration’s weekly storage update. The market has been volatile since Monday’s 25.7% drop—the largest single-day decline since 1995. Meanwhile, gas flows to the nation’s eight largest liquefied natural gas export terminals averaged 18.3 billion cubic feet per day in February so far, close to December’s record levels. This strong export demand helped counterbalance milder weather forecasts and steady production.
5 February 2026
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Natural gas prices plunge 26% as warmer forecasts hit; UNG tumbles and traders eye U.S. storage data

Natural gas prices plunge 26% as warmer forecasts hit; UNG tumbles and traders eye U.S. storage data

U.S. natural gas prices plunged the most in a single day since 1995 on Monday, after forecasts for mid-February suddenly shifted warmer and supply bounced back quicker than expected. The front-month March Henry Hub contract closed down 25.7%, landing at $3.237 per million British thermal units. Commodity Weather Group slashed its heating degree day forecast by 26.3, signaling less demand for heating as temperatures rise. Output climbed to 111.6 billion cubic feet per day. Eli Rubin of EBW Analytics Group noted the supply rebound was “a far faster recovery than historic freeze-offs”—when ice clogs wells and pipelines. Meanwhile, Kpler reported that trend-following funds have taken an 18% net-short stance, betting prices will keep falling.
2 February 2026
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