Sydney, January 28, 2026, 16:47 AEDT — The market has closed.
- Evolution Mining ended 4% higher at A$15.35, reaching a peak of A$15.42 during the session.
- Gold surged past $5,200 an ounce, hitting new highs and putting gold miners squarely in the spotlight.
- Upcoming catalysts to watch are the Fed decision and Evolution’s half-year results set for Feb. 11.
Evolution Mining shares ended Wednesday 4% higher at A$15.35, after hitting an intraday range between A$14.77 and A$15.42, with around 8.6 million shares traded. The stock bounced back from a 0.67% drop the previous day and has gained about 14% since January 20. 1
The bid surfaced as gold pushed even higher, smashing past $5,200 an ounce on Wednesday while the U.S. dollar hovered near a four-year low. Spot gold climbed to a fresh high of $5,247.21. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, highlighted the metal’s “very strong” inverse relationship with the dollar. 2
Evolution’s approach stands out because it mostly stays unhedged, meaning it doesn’t lock in gold prices ahead of time. This leaves its cash flow vulnerable to spot price swings. On last week’s December-quarter call, CEO Lawrie Conway noted: “If you deliver to plan… in an unhedged environment… you actually get the benefits.” The company reported 191,000 ounces of gold and 18,000 tonnes of copper for the quarter, with all-in sustaining costs (AISC) at A$1,275 per ounce — a standard measure covering sustaining capital and site expenses. 3
The calendar is tight now. Evolution plans to release its FY26 half-year results on Feb. 11, a date investors are watching closely for updates on costs, guidance, and capital returns following the recent rally. 4
Cowal continues to be the operational hub. Sandvik announced last week it landed an underground equipment order from contractor The Redpath Group for Evolution’s Cowal Gold Operations. Deliveries are set to start mid-2026 and extend into 2027. “This contract represents an important milestone for Redpath at Cowal Gold Operations,” said Gavin Ramage, managing director of Redpath Australia. 5
Australia’s macro data just turned noisier. Underlying inflation in the December quarter outpaced expectations, pushing markets to price in a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike on Feb. 3. The trimmed mean CPI climbed 0.9% quarter-on-quarter and 3.4% year-on-year. 6
Bullion continues to carry gold equities. “Rallies normally end because the drivers… dissipate — and that’s just not the case,” said Michael Widmer, commodities strategist at Bank of America, after gold surged past $5,000 earlier this week. 7
But the setup works both ways. If the Fed turns out less dovish than anticipated or the dollar gains ground, expect a sharp pullback in gold, with the high-flying miners taking the hardest hit first.
On the company front, investors will watch for execution risks—weather disruptions, underground ramp-ups, and any rising costs that could erode the gains from higher metal prices.
Traders will eye whether gold stays above $5,200 after the Fed’s move, while bets on Australian rate hikes could continue gaining steam ahead of next week. Evolution’s next major event is set for Feb. 11.
