Intuit stock rebounds but Wall Street targets stay much higher than battered price

NEW YORK, July 4, 2026, 16:02 (EDT)

  • Intuit climbed 2.9% for the holiday-shortened week ending July 2, ahead of the Nasdaq Composite’s 2.1% rise.
  • The stock ended the session at $275.35, just 35 cents above the lowest 12-month analyst target from Investing.com. The average target is $486.61.
  • Intuit’s drop in 2026 has erased roughly $106 billion in market cap, going by the current share count.
  • Next up for the stock is the ex-dividend date on July 9. The company’s fiscal Q4 results are due Aug. 20.

Intuit Inc. bounced 5.5% in the last two sessions of the U.S. holiday-shortened week. The gain didn’t do much to narrow the spread under the shares, with analysts’ targets still calling for a big rally while the stock sits not far from the Street’s bear case scenario.

U.S. stock markets were closed Friday, July 3, for the Independence Day holiday. Nasdaq trading resumes Monday, July 6. Regular hours are 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET, according to Nasdaq.

Intuit ended Thursday at $275.35, rising 3.10% for the session. The stock finished 2.85% higher versus its previous Friday close. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.8% Thursday with chip stocks down. Most of Intuit’s rebound happened late in the week and was limited, according to price data.

DateCloseDaily moveVolume
June 26$267.72up 4.96%10.78 mln
June 29$266.40down 0.49%5.40 mln
June 30$261.00dropped 2.03%5.26 mln
July 1$267.08added 2.33%4.81 mln
July 2$275.35rose 3.10%5.05 mln

For investors, the target-price gap may matter more than the rebound itself. Investing.com puts the average 12-month target at $486.61, with the highest call at $921 and the low at $275. There are 27 Buy and one Sell rating. Thursday’s close lands just $0.35 over that low target. That puts implied upside at 76.7% to the average.

ItemValue
July 2 close$275.35
Lowest 12-month target$275.00
Gap to lowest target$0.35
Average 12-month target$486.61
Implied upside to average target76.7%
Analyst count shown27 Buy / 1 Sell

This matters since Intuit trades now as though analysts’ lower targets are getting pulled toward the main case. If the next update doesn’t bring better TurboTax numbers, analyst price targets might come under pressure instead of just the stock.

Even with gains the last two days, the hit is big. Barchart shows Intuit down 58.43% for the year and off 66.16% from its 52-week high of $813.70. Google Finance puts the share count at 273.54 million. Using that number, Intuit’s 2026 drop wipes out roughly $106 billion in market cap, which is more than Adobe Inc. ’s $88.44 billion market value.

MeasureIntuitS&P 500Nasdaq Composite
Week to July 2up 2.9%up 1.8%up 2.1%
Year so fardown 58.4%up 9.3%up 11.1%

Indexes are split. According to AP, the S&P 500 is up 9.3% for the year, the Nasdaq has risen 11.1%, but Intuit is off more than 58%. The Dow closed at a record 52,900.07 on Thursday. Nasdaq finished lower at 25,832.67.

Intuit’s numbers are still rising even as the shares lag. The company posted fiscal Q3 revenue of $8.56 billion, up 10%, with non-GAAP EPS also up 10% at $12.80. CEO Sasan Goodarzi said some business lines are “growing north of 30 percent.” CFO Sandeep Aujla said they are “raising our full-year revenue guidance.” Intuit Inc.

Taxes remain the tough spot. Intuit dropped its full-year TurboTax revenue outlook in May, Reuters said, and said it would cut 17% of its workforce. The company estimated restructuring costs at $300 million to $340 million. CEO Goodarzi said they aim to “take pricing actions at the higher end” of their offerings. Reuters

Buyers don’t have a great dip record here. A Trefis analysis from July 2 said Intuit has seen three drops of 30% or more within a month since 2020. After those, the median one-year return was minus 7%, and the typical extra drawdown was 9%. The sample is small, but Trefis said that doesn’t support calling this latest bounce a bottom.

There’s not much on the calendar this week for company events, but Intuit has a key date coming up. Google Finance shows Intuit’s ex-dividend date as July 9, with the quarterly payout at $1.20 per share. Investing.com shows the next earnings report on Aug. 20. Intuit closes its fiscal fourth quarter on July 31 and expects fourth-quarter revenue to rise about 11% to 12%.

Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Cracow University of Economics, he previously worked in investment research and corporate finance. His coverage helps readers understand the key forces driving global financial markets and emerging industries. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 STRONG BUY

AerCap

NYSE: AER 95 / 100
#2 BUY

Uber

NYSE: UBER 93 / 100
#3 BUY ON WEAKNESS

Taiwan Semiconductor

NYSE: TSM 91 / 100
#4 TACTICAL BUY

dLocal

NASDAQ: DLO 89 / 100
#5 BUY THE RESET

Tapestry

NYSE: TPR 86 / 100
View full portfolio
Editorial model selection. Not personalised advice.

August 14, 2026 — 08:22 ET: Stock futures mixed as oil pressure offsets fresh premarket winners

S&P 500 proxy
SPY 777.88
▲ +0.67%
Premarket indication
Nasdaq-100 proxy
QQQ 732.07
▲ +1.14%
Tech remains firmer
Dow proxy
DIA 537.91
▲ +0.14%
More subdued move
Bitcoin
$62,753
▼ −1.17%
Risk appetite mixed

U.S. equity futures remained narrowly mixed in the latest premarket trading, with technology-linked contracts outperforming while higher crude prices continued to limit broader risk appetite. The setup leaves Wall Street balancing momentum from Thursday’s record S&P 500 close against renewed concern that an oil-driven inflation impulse could complicate the Federal Reserve outlook.

Reddit surges ahead of S&P 500 inclusion

Reddit (NYSE:RDDT) remained one of the standout premarket movers, rising roughly 12% after its selection for inclusion in the S&P 500. The move reflects expected index-related buying as funds tracking the benchmark prepare for the change.

Applied Materials slides despite upbeat forecast

Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) traded sharply lower in premarket activity even after forecasting fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of about $10.25 billion, above Wall Street expectations. Investors focused instead on the pace of future growth and a margin outlook that remained broadly flat after the stock’s powerful year-to-date rally.

RDDTS&P 500 inclusion
▲ ~12%
AMATPost-earnings reaction
▼ ~5%
NVDAPremarket indication
▲ +0.54%
Premarket moves can change rapidly before the opening bell.

Oil remains the principal macro counterweight. Renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and the possibility of a prolonged naval blockade have pushed crude higher, keeping inflation sensitivity elevated just as investors prepare for the next U.S. consumer-data releases.

SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) assets up as it joins Trump Accounts debut
Previous Story

SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) assets up as it joins Trump Accounts debut

Rezolve AI (NASDAQ:RZLV) sets $300M buyback as shares swing in holiday week
Next Story

Rezolve AI (NASDAQ:RZLV) sets $300M buyback as shares swing in holiday week