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5 November 2025
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Bitcoin Rebounds Above $100K After ~$578M ETF Outflows; Long‑Term Holders Step Up Selling — Nov. 5, 2025

Dateline: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 — 20:45 UTC

Bitcoin price today: After an overnight slide below the psychologically key $100,000 level, Bitcoin (BTC) bounced back this afternoon. As of 20:45 UTC, BTC trades near $103,901, with an intraday range of $99,021–$104,495. The recovery follows Tuesday’s flush that briefly sent prices to the $98,951 area, the first sub‑$100K print since June. CoinDesk

Key takeaways (Nov. 5, 2025)

  • BTC reclaimed $100K after dipping under the threshold on Tuesday; by late U.S. trade, broader risk assets also stabilized. Reuters
  • Spot crypto ETFs saw heavy redemptions: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted ~$577.7M in net outflows Tuesday; combined BTC+ETH outflows neared ~$797–800M. Yahoo Finance+2U.Today+2
  • Long‑term holders (LTHs) have been distributing: LTH supply fell ~300K BTC since July, and on‑chain analysts flag weakening demand near $100K. Glassnode Insights
  • Macro backdrop mixed: a stronger‑than‑expected U.S. private payrolls print lifted yields and helped equities rebound; Bitcoin turned higher with stocks into the close. Reuters
  • Street recalibrates: Galaxy Digital cut its year‑end BTC target to $120K (from $185K) after Tuesday’s plunge; analysts still see $100K as pivotal support. CoinDesk

What moved Bitcoin on Nov. 5

ETF flows flipped risk‑off. Fresh data show $577.7M in net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs on Nov. 4, alongside $219.4M in outflows from spot Ether ETFs. That’s roughly $797M drawn from the two complexes in one day, the heaviest synchronized red print in weeks, and a key driver of Tuesday’s downdraft. Yahoo Finance+1

Long‑term holder distribution intensified. Glassnode’s weekly note highlights sustained LTH selling since midsummer, with ~300K BTC leaving LTH supply (14.7M → 14.4M) as the market faded from October’s record high; spot ETF flows have simultaneously cooled (–$150M/day to –$700M/day), leaving price action fragile near $100K. Glassnode Insights

Macro tone steadied into the close. U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday after ADP private payrolls beat expectations, while Treasury yields rose. Bitcoin climbed back above $100K alongside the equity bounce, trimming part of Tuesday’s loss. Reuters

Whale selling made headlines. Bloomberg reported that long‑time holders have offloaded roughly $45B of BTC in recent weeks—another sign of profit‑taking and rotation. Bloomberg


Technical picture: the lines that mattered today

  • $100,000 remains the pivotal round‑number battlefield after Tuesday’s break and quick reclaim. Reuters
  • BTC’s intraday swing tested cycle‑defining MAs: the 365‑day SMA (~$102,055) and 365‑day EMA (~$99,924) served as today’s reference supports during the sub‑$100K dip. CoinDesk
  • A widely watched note pegs $95,000 as “last‑stand” support for bulls—lose it, and the market risks a deeper down‑leg. CoinDesk
  • On higher timeframes, Monday’s breakdown put BTC below the 200‑day moving average (~$109,800), making $109K–$112K the first resistance shelf on rebounds (also near Glassnode’s Short‑Term Holder cost basis ~$112.5K). MarketWatch+1

By the numbers (Nov. 5, 2025, 20:45 UTC)

  • Spot price: ~$103,901 (24h +~2.9%)
  • Intraday range: $99,021–$104,495
  • 24h context: BTC rebounded after Tuesday’s drop below $100K to ~$98,951.
  • Distance from ATH: BTC is down ~20% from early‑October highs near $125,800–$126,000. CoinDesk+2Reuters+2

Positioning & flows

  • Derivatives clean‑up: One of the largest deleveraging waves since September swept markets, with ~$1.6B in crypto liquidations around the sell‑off. CoinDesk
  • ETF watch: Tuesday’s $577.7M BTC ETF outflow led a five‑day streak nearing ~$1.9B of redemptions; no U.S. BTC spot ETF recorded an inflow that day. crypto.news
  • On‑chain breadth: Glassnode flags 71% of supply still in profit and Relative Unrealized Loss ~3.1%—consistent with a mid‑cycle cooldown rather than deep capitulation, but demand remains subdued. Glassnode Insights

Context: From October’s record to November’s retest

BTC set a fresh all‑time high above $125,000 on Oct. 5–6, then endured a sharp October drawdown amid global risk jitters, tariff headlines and a broader tech pullback. This week’s retest of $100K keeps Bitcoin roughly >20% below last month’s peak but still well above spring levels. Reuters+1


What to watch next

  • Flows, flows, flows: Daily net creations/redemptions across spot BTC ETFs remain the cleanest near‑term driver. Sustained inflows would help restore the bid under price; persistent outflows keep $100K at risk. crypto.news
  • Macro tape: Yields, dollar direction, and any progress on the U.S. government shutdown continue to sway risk appetite—BTC tracked stocks higher today. Reuters
  • Technical confirmation: Bulls want to hold $100K and reclaim $109K–$112K; bears eye $95K as the next downside test if momentum fades. MarketWatch+2Glassnode Insights+2

Sources you can cite today

  • Reuters: Stocks rebound; Bitcoin up after Tuesday’s losses. Reuters
  • CoinDesk: Sub‑$100K print to $98,951; Galaxy cuts target to $120K; $1.6B liquidations; key MA levels. CoinDesk+2CoinDesk+2
  • Yahoo Finance / U.Today: ETF outflows (~$578M BTC; ~$797M BTC+ETH). Yahoo Finance+1
  • Glassnode: LTH supply –300K BTC since July, ETF outflow cadence, and profit/loss gauges. Glassnode Insights
  • Reuters (Oct. 6): ATH ~ $125.8K in early October. Reuters
  • MarketWatch (Nov. 3): 200‑day MA near $109,800 flagged; next support discussed. MarketWatch
  • Bloomberg: $45B in selling by long‑time holders pressures price. Bloomberg

Editorial note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and high‑risk. Always do your own research.

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