Marvell (MRVL) stock drops 2% into year-end close as chip trade cools — what’s next

Marvell (MRVL) stock drops 2% into year-end close as chip trade cools — what’s next

NEW YORK, December 31, 2025, 21:09 ET — Market closed

Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) fell $1.78, or about 2.1%, to $84.98 on Wednesday. Trading volume was about 7.2 million shares.

The decline came as Wall Street ended 2025’s final session lower in holiday-thin trade, with the Nasdaq down 0.76% and the S&P 500 off 0.74%, Reuters reported. “It’s perfectly fine in any bull market to have moments of cost,” said Giuseppe Sette, co-founder and president of Reflexivity, pointing to profit-taking when liquidity was low. Reuters

The year-end drift matters because the market’s gains have been driven by the artificial intelligence trade, leaving investors sensitive to repositioning and rate expectations heading into 2026. Reuters said investors are watching the Federal Reserve’s path as economic data returns to a more normal cadence. Reuters

For Marvell, the core question is whether data-center demand can sustain growth in its custom chip and networking businesses as cloud customers scale AI workloads. CEO Matt Murphy said earlier this month Marvell expected roughly $10 billion in total revenue for its next fiscal year, including a 25% jump in data center revenue, and projected its custom chip business to grow 20%. Reuters

Murphy has also pushed deeper into photonics — using light rather than electrical signals to connect chips and memory — as hyperscalers seek faster, more power-efficient data-center links. Reuters reported Marvell’s $3.25 billion agreement to acquire Celestial AI added photonics fabric technology and intensified competition with peers such as Broadcom and Nvidia. Reuters

A Dec. 2 SEC filing said Marvell expects the Celestial transaction to close in the first quarter of calendar 2026, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. The filing said the deal includes about $1.0 billion in cash and about 27.2 million shares of Marvell common stock at closing, with additional shares tied to revenue-based milestones. SEC

Before the next session, U.S. stock markets will be closed on Thursday for New Year’s Day and reopen on Friday, Jan. 2, with regular trading hours, Barron’s reported. Barron’s

Rate expectations remain a key swing factor for semiconductors, which often trade like growth stocks because much of their valuation rests on future earnings. Reuters reported this week the Fed’s next policy meeting is scheduled for Jan. 27-28 and investors were expecting no change in the benchmark rate. Reuters

The next high-profile macro checkpoint is the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing PMI report for December, due at 10 a.m. ET on Monday, Jan. 5. The PMI is a monthly survey-based gauge of factory activity; readings below 50 signal contraction. Institute for Supply Management

Marvell has not confirmed its next earnings date, but Zacks expects the company to report around March 4. On the chart, Marvell ends the year below its 50-day moving average (about $87.5), while remaining above its 200-day moving average (about $74), levels traders often use as short- and longer-term trend markers. Zacks+1

Marvell has traded between roughly $47 and $127 over the past 52 weeks, according to Investing.com, leaving the stock well off its high even after early-December deal optimism. Investing

With holiday volumes fading, the next directional cue is likely to come from early January data and the next round of company guidance on data-center demand and deal execution.

Stock Market Today

  • New Year 2026: **NSE** and **BSE** open Jan. 1 as 15 trading holidays mapped for the year
    December 31, 2025, 9:20 PM EST. Indian exchanges will start 2026 with NSE and BSE open on Jan 1, while many global markets remain shut for the New Year. The MCX and NCDEX will operate in the first session (9 am-5 pm) and close in the evening. Major markets including China, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, France, Germany, UAE, the UK and the US are closed; China and Japan extend the holiday to Jan 2. The Nifty rose to 26,129.60 and the Sensex to 85,220.60, up 0.74% and 0.64% respectively. Rupak De of LKP Securities says the chart shows a reclaim of the 21-period EMA (exponential moving average), signaling possible further gains with initial resistance near 26,315 and support around 26,100. The 2026 calendar lists 15 trading holidays across equity, derivatives and currency markets.
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