Microsoft stock dives as AI spending bites; Nvidia steady, Meta jumps in split AI trade

Microsoft stock dives as AI spending bites; Nvidia steady, Meta jumps in split AI trade

New York, January 29, 2026, 10:12 EST — Regular session

  • Microsoft dropped roughly 11% following its earnings, as investors balanced steep AI investments against steady cloud growth
  • Meta surged almost 8% after upping its 2026 capex forecast, wagering its ad business will cover the expansion costs
  • A report surfaced that Big Tech could invest an additional $60 billion in OpenAI, intensifying scrutiny on AI-related expenses

Microsoft dropped 10.7% to $429.87 in early trading, weighing on sentiment among AI-related stocks, even as chipmakers showed more resilience. Meta Platforms climbed 7.9%, while Nvidia slipped 0.2% and AMD inched up 0.2%.

The latest setback for Microsoft is significant because investors are beginning to view “AI spend” as a cost to manage, not an endless growth narrative. The company reported record AI expenditure this quarter, and even a slight dip in cloud growth sparked a swift market revaluation. Reuters

Microsoft reported a 39% increase in Azure revenue for its fiscal second quarter, slightly surpassing the Visible Alpha consensus of 38.8%. Capital spending surged to $37.5 billion, with roughly two-thirds allocated to computing chips. “One big obvious issue is that revenues are up 17% and the cost of revenues are up 19%,” Eric Clark, portfolio manager of the LOGO ETF, told Reuters. Reuters

CEO Satya Nadella revealed on the call that Microsoft’s M365 Copilot, the $30-per-month AI assistant for business users, now boasts 15 million annual users. CFO Amy Hood noted that capital expenditures will dip a bit this quarter but cautioned that rising memory-chip prices will gradually pressure cloud profit margins.

A separate disclosure intensified concerns about Microsoft’s deep connection with OpenAI. The company revealed its cloud backlog, or remaining performance obligations, soared past $625 billion—more than doubling—and about 45% of that surge came from OpenAI.

Meta’s latest numbers took a different turn. The company raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to between $115 billion and $135 billion, aiming for what it terms “superintelligence.” Advertising revenue, up 24%, remains the key driver funding the push. “This is going to be a big year for delivering personal superintelligence,” CEO Mark Zuckerberg declared during the call. Reuters

John Belton, a portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds, described Meta’s valuation as “really not that demanding,” noting that returns are driven by its core business, which benefits from AI infrastructure. Reuters

AI buzz continues as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon reportedly eye a combined investment of up to $60 billion in OpenAI, according to The Information, cited by Reuters. Nvidia is said to be considering up to $30 billion, with Microsoft possibly pitching in less than $10 billion. Reuters noted it couldn’t independently confirm the details.

The possibility of a new funding round raises questions about the underlying costs: who covers the expenses for chips, data centers, and power that large AI models demand, and will top clients continue locking in multi-year deals at rates that safeguard profits.

The trade can reverse quickly. Should cloud growth pick up again or AI tools begin to noticeably boost enterprise spending, investors might shrug off the current capex surprise. On the flip side, if spending remains elevated and margins shrink, the market might just lose patience with a longer-than-expected payoff timeline.

Traders are gearing up for Alphabet’s earnings report, set to drop after the close on Feb. 4, followed by Amazon’s Q4 call on Feb. 5. Nvidia’s results come later, on Feb. 25. All three will be closely watched for clues on AI demand and capacity.

Khadija Saeed

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech. Her coverage ranges from stocks and technology to emerging industries and developments across global markets. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and worked in market research before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

US Stock Market Today Updates

AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 Strong buy

Alphabet

NASDAQ:GOOGL 92/100 • ★★★★½
#2 Strong buy

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

NYSE:TSM 89/100 • ★★★★½
#3 Buy

S&P Global

NYSE:SPGI 88/100 • ★★★★
#4 Buy on weakness

Amazon

NASDAQ:AMZN 86/100 • ★★★★
#5 Buy on weakness

Microsoft

NASDAQ:MSFT 84/100 • ★★★★
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MARKET CALENDAR

Key Events Today

The catalysts most likely to move markets.

#1

U.S. index futures reopen at 18:00 ET

This is the clearest scheduled U.S.-market price-discovery point today and can transmit weekend news into equity-index futures before Monday's cash session.

#2

New Zealand retail sales at 18:45 ET

The Q2 retail package can move NZD and regional risk sentiment. Spillover to U.S. assets is usually secondary unless the result is unusually large.

#3

No scheduled domestic U.S. data or corporate reports

The absence of U.S. releases, earnings, IPO pricings and split events leaves fewer scheduled catalysts, increasing the relative importance of weekend headlines and positioning at the futures reopen.

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Times and estimates may change. Verify before trading.
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