Netflix stock holds near $95 as year-end week, Warner deal scrutiny come into focus

Netflix stock holds near $95 as year-end week, Warner deal scrutiny come into focus

NEW YORK, December 29, 2025, 03:57 ET — Market closed

  • Netflix ended the last session up 0.9% at $94.47, in a tight post-holiday range
  • Investors remain focused on the regulatory and financing path for Netflix’s planned Warner Bros deal
  • Fed minutes due Tuesday and Netflix’s Jan. 20 earnings are the next scheduled catalysts

Netflix shares ended Friday up 0.9% at $94.47, edging higher in thin post-holiday trade. The stock outperformed a flat U.S. market heading into the final trading week of 2025. Reuters

The move matters now because equities are near record peaks and investors are eyeing whether a year-end rally has enough fuel to extend into early January. The S&P 500 is hovering about 1% below the 7,000 level, a milestone many traders have been watching as a sentiment marker. Reuters

For Netflix, the immediate backdrop remains its planned purchase of Warner Bros.’ studios and streaming assets — a transaction investors see as transformative but complex, with financing and antitrust review still front and center. Netflix

Major U.S. indexes finished nearly unchanged on Friday, with the S&P 500 down 0.03%, the Dow off 0.04% and the Nasdaq down 0.09%, according to Reuters. Reuters

Media shares were mixed. Walt Disney slipped 0.8% and Warner Bros. Discovery fell 1.4% in the last session.

Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery said on Dec. 5 they signed a cash-and-stock deal valuing Warner at $27.75 per share, with closing expected after Warner’s planned spin-off of its Global Networks division in the third quarter of 2026. Netflix

Analysts have warned the deal could draw close regulatory scrutiny. “The combined dominant streaming player will be heavily scrutinized,” said PP Foresight analyst Paolo Pescatore. Reuters

In a Dec. 19 filing, Netflix said it arranged a $5 billion unsecured revolving credit facility and $20 billion of unsecured delayed-draw term loans to replace part of previously disclosed bridge commitments. A revolving credit facility is a line of credit a company can borrow and repay, while a delayed-draw term loan lets the borrower pull cash later, when needed. SEC

The filing said Netflix may use the facilities to fund the cash portion of the merger price and related fees, and for general corporate purposes. SEC

Reuters has reported Netflix expects $2 billion to $3 billion of annual cost savings by the third year after the deal closes, and that the transaction includes sizeable breakup fees. Reuters

Broader market positioning may also matter for large-cap growth names such as Netflix, after a year in which investors have debated whether the rally is too concentrated in tech. Reuters reported investors are watching for rotation into non-tech areas as 2025 draws to a close. Reuters

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting, due Tuesday, are a key macro event on the near-term calendar, with investors focused on the path for interest-rate cuts into 2026. The Fed has lowered rates by 75 basis points over its last three meetings of 2025 to a range of 3.50% to 3.75%, Reuters reported. Reuters

Netflix’s next scheduled company catalyst is its fourth-quarter results. The company said it will post results and its business outlook on Jan. 20, 2026, and host a live video interview with executives later that day. Netflix

Before the next session, traders will be gauging whether year-end portfolio adjustments and thin liquidity amplify moves, a dynamic Reuters flagged as a potential volatility driver around the turn of the year. Reuters

Before the next session, Netflix investors will be watching for any updates tied to the Warner transaction — including regulatory developments and the pace of financing — alongside any shifts in expectations for the company’s January earnings outlook. SEC

Before the next session, chart watchers will likely focus on the stock’s near-term range after it traded between $93.28 and $94.67 in the last session, with a break above Friday’s high or a dip below the low often treated as a short-term signal.

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