New York, Jan 10, 2026, 19:45 (ET) — Market closed.
- NIO shares ended Friday down 1.9% at $4.64; U.S. markets reopen Monday.
- Abu Dhabi-backed CYVN and L’imad reported owning 418.8 million NIO Class A shares in an updated U.S. ownership filing.
- NIO told the Wall Street Journal it is targeting Thailand in March and Australia/New Zealand in the second half of 2026.
CYVN Investments RSC Ltd and L’imad Holding Company – P.J.S.C disclosed they held 418,833,157 Class A ordinary shares of NIO Inc at year-end, an amended Schedule 13D filing showed. The filing said the stake equated to about 17.9% of NIO’s Class A shares outstanding, or about 16.9% of total ordinary shares outstanding, and reported no transactions in the stock over the past 60 days. 1
NIO’s U.S.-listed shares finished Friday down 1.9% at $4.64, extending a two-day slide. The stock is about 42% below its 52-week high of $8.02 hit on Oct. 2, while Friday’s volume of about 38 million shares ran below the 50-day average, MarketWatch data showed. 2
That matters because investors are heading into 2026 with a weaker read on China’s auto demand. The China Passenger Car Association forecast flat domestic car sales this year after growth slowed to 3.9% in 2025, while “new energy” vehicle growth (electric and plug-in hybrids) cooled to 17.6% from 40.7% a year earlier, the group said. It also warned robust EV export growth in 2025 was unlikely to be sustained. 3
NIO is leaning harder into overseas plans. Chris Chen, its head of global business, told the Wall Street Journal the company will likely launch in Australia and New Zealand in the second half of 2026 and enter Thailand in March with its Firefly-branded vehicles. “Singapore is our first right-hand-drive overseas market,” Chen said, adding: “We’re currently developing the fifth generation of battery-swapping station.” 4
Battery swapping is the selling point. Drivers swap a depleted pack for a charged one instead of waiting at a plug. It can shrink “fill-up” time, but it also ties growth to a network buildout and local rules in each market.
The ownership filing is not a buying or selling signal by itself. Still, it underlines how tightly held NIO remains by strategic backers, which investors watch closely in any stock that has depended on external funding to keep expanding.
The week’s bigger push-and-pull is demand versus price. China’s trade-in subsidies have shifted and local incentive budgets have been uneven, and that has kept the discounting cycle alive. For NIO, overseas growth helps on paper, but it takes time and money to turn launches into steady sales.
But the downside path is clear. If China demand stays soft and export momentum fades, the pressure on margins and cash burn returns fast, and the market can get impatient with long-dated expansion stories.
In trading terms, NIO also sits inside a crowded China EV basket. Moves in BYD, XPeng and Li Auto often feed through in U.S. hours, even when the catalyst is a China policy or sales-data headline.
The next catalyst is simple: Monday, Jan. 12, when U.S. trading resumes and investors can price the ownership filing against the softer China auto outlook and NIO’s overseas push. After that, focus shifts to NIO’s next monthly delivery update and any added detail on the Firefly Thailand launch expected in March.
