NEW YORK, December 30, 2025, 10:29 ET — Regular session
- Oracle shares rose 0.8% to $197.03 in morning trading.
- Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s December meeting minutes due at 2 p.m. ET.
- A company officer filed a Rule 144 notice for a proposed 15,000-share sale, while a Jefferies analyst flagged OpenAI-related uncertainty.
Oracle shares rose 0.8% to $197.03 in morning trading on Tuesday, recovering after a 1.3% slide in the prior session. 1
The move matters because Oracle is trading like a rate-sensitive, high-valuation software name, with investors using macro signals to price long-dated growth. Minutes from the Fed’s last policy meeting are expected later Tuesday, a potential catalyst for bond yields and tech multiples.
Oracle has also become a flashpoint in the market debate over AI infrastructure spending, as investors weigh whether surging demand justifies heavy upfront buildouts. Capital expenditures, or capex — money spent on long-lived assets such as data centers — has been a particular focus.
The Fed’s minutes from its December 9-10 meeting are due at 2 p.m. EST, after officials delivered a third rate cut of 2025 that took the policy range to 3.50%-3.75%, Reuters reported. The release is expected to give more detail on how divided policymakers were about the move and what it could mean for the path of rates in 2026. 2
Oracle traded between $194.74 and $198.34 earlier in the session, with more than 3.4 million shares changing hands by mid-morning.
A Form 144 notice posted to Oracle’s investor relations site showed Mark Hura, listed as an officer, filed to sell up to 15,000 shares under Rule 144 — an SEC rule that allows affiliates to sell restricted or “control” securities if certain conditions are met. The filing listed an aggregate market value of about $2.95 million and an approximate sale date of Dec. 24, 2025, with Fidelity Brokerage Services as broker. 3
Insider sale notices are not a signal of company performance on their own, but they can add friction to sentiment when a stock is already trading on confidence in long-term projects and funding.
Jefferies analyst Brent Thill said Oracle’s outlook is tied to how investors assess the finances behind OpenAI, which is private and does not publish the kind of disclosures public-market investors are used to. “We have a little more confidence that that rich uncle is good for it,” Thill said in a CNBC interview, according to Benzinga. 4
Oracle competes with Amazon’s AWS, Microsoft’s Azure and Alphabet’s Google Cloud in cloud infrastructure, and investors have been watching whether AI demand can translate into durable, profitable growth without stretching balance sheets.
Oracle’s stock has remained sensitive since the company warned earlier this month that fiscal 2026 capex would be about $15 billion higher than it had estimated in September, a shift that reignited investor debate over how quickly returns will show up from massive AI spending, Reuters reported. 5
Oracle’s investor relations calendar currently lists no upcoming events, keeping attention on macro drivers and any fresh disclosures on large customer commitments or financing tied to data center expansion. 6
For the rest of the session, traders will be watching how Oracle trades into and after the Fed minutes, with bond yields and risk appetite likely to set the tone for software and cloud shares.
