NEW YORK, January 15, 2026, 15:50 EST
- Robinhood shares dropped roughly 7% in late New York trading as investors digested lofty earnings expectations
- After the close on Feb. 10, the company will release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings.
- Wall Street expects quarterly earnings near 58 cents per share, with a Forbes analysis outlining a path for HOOD to hit $230
Shares of Robinhood Markets dipped 7.4% to $110.83 in late-afternoon trading Thursday. Investors are zeroing in on the company’s upcoming earnings report on Feb. 10. Robinhood plans to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results after the market closes that day, followed by a video call with CEO Vlad Tenev and incoming CFO Shiv Verma. (Nasdaq)
The pullback is significant because expectations surged quickly. Robinhood’s stock has soared over the past year, and the upcoming earnings report will reveal if its profit growth can match the narrative investors have priced in.
This also offers a glimpse into broader retail trading appetite. Robinhood operates where stocks, options, and crypto converge, and its earnings frequently serve as a swift gauge of whether that blend is generating real profits or just noise.
A Barchart preview shows analysts expect Robinhood to post earnings per share of $0.58 this quarter, up from $0.54 a year ago, with fiscal 2025 EPS forecasted at $1.99 versus $1.09 in fiscal 2024. The stock has surged 183.1% over the past 52 weeks and has topped Wall Street’s earnings estimates for the last four quarters. However, investors punished the shares after the most recent report when the company raised its guidance for adjusted operating expenses plus stock-based compensation to around $2.28 billion. (Barchart)
Another take from Forbes contributor Great Speculations suggested the stock has room to double, potentially hitting $230. The forecast hinges on three key drivers: revenue growth, margin expansion, and investor sentiment shifting as earnings climb. (Forbes)
Estimates for the quarter don’t line up exactly. According to Investing.com, Robinhood is expected to post earnings of $0.60 per share, with revenue climbing 31.7% to reach $1.33 billion. The site highlighted product launches and user growth as key drivers that could sustain the company’s momentum into February. (Investing.com Canada)
Robinhood isn’t flying solo. Competitors like Charles Schwab and Interactive Brokers are gunning for the same retail customers, and Coinbase stands out as the nearest pure-play benchmark for crypto trading volumes and sentiment.
Washington looms as a key factor. The Senate Banking Committee hit pause on a crypto market-structure bill debate after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong criticized it for having “too many issues,” adding, “We’d rather have no bill than a bad bill.” Chairman Tim Scott, meanwhile, insisted “everyone remains at the table working in good faith.” The bill covers stablecoins—crypto tokens pegged to the dollar—and industry rewards programs. (Reuters)
That setup works both ways. If crypto prices drop, trading volume falls, or fees rise once more, the market could swiftly reassess growth prospects. Robinhood’s stock has already proven it can swing sharply on new guidance.
Investors are eyeing any evidence that engagement and net deposits continue to grow, along with updates on expense discipline and newer offerings like retirement products and trading tools. The company’s February call will consolidate all that—leaving little room for the story to shift.
