Silver prices are holding close to record territory on Friday, December 19, 2025, as traders balance a cooler U.S. inflation print (supportive for rate-cut expectations) against a firmer dollar and year-end positioning.
At around 09:34 GMT (FXStreet’s latest update just ahead of that at 09:32 GMT), spot silver (XAG/USD) traded at $65.76 per troy ounce, up about 0.5% from Thursday’s close. [1]
Silver price today: the latest levels investors are watching
Silver’s price action on Dec. 19 has been tight but elevated, with multiple market feeds showing it hovering in the mid-$65s to around $66:
- 09:32 GMT:$65.76/oz (FXStreet data). [2]
- Mid-morning London (10:46 a.m. London time): silver up ~0.9% to $66.08/oz, trading near Wednesday’s record zone (Bloomberg via Moneyweb). [3]
- 11:11 GMT: silver up 0.8% to $65.93/oz, and on track for a ~6% weekly gain after hitting an all-time peak of $66.88 earlier this week (Reuters). [4]
- 09:25 EST:$65.77 bid / $65.89 ask, with an intraday low of $64.49 and high of $66.26 (Kitco). [5]
Despite minor fluctuations across venues and timestamps, the bigger message is consistent: silver remains close to historic highs, with dips quickly attracting buyers.
What’s driving silver on Dec. 19, 2025?
1) Softer U.S. inflation is reinforcing the “lower rates” narrative
A cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation reading has helped keep precious metals supported. Reuters reported U.S. consumer prices rose 2.7% year-on-year in November, below economists’ 3.1% forecast, which nudged market expectations toward easier policy. [6]
This matters for silver because it is a non-yielding asset: when markets expect lower interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding metals tends to fall.
FXStreet’s silver commentary also framed the pullbacks as potentially limited because rate-cut expectations can support the metal after profit-taking. [7]
2) A stronger dollar is capping upside (at least intraday)
Even with rate-cut chatter, the U.S. dollar’s firmness has been a headwind. Reuters noted the dollar was near over one-week highs, making dollar-priced metals more expensive for buyers using other currencies—often a near-term drag on gold and silver. [8]
This tug-of-war—dovish macro vs. firm USD—is a big reason silver is consolidating rather than surging straight through its record.
3) Profit-taking after a record week is real—and visible
Silver is coming off a powerful run, including a push to $66.88 earlier this week. [9]
That kind of move naturally triggers “lock in gains” flows, especially into year-end.
FXEmpire described Friday’s weakness in early European trade as position-adjustment/profit-taking rather than a decisive break in the bullish macro backdrop. [10]
4) Geopolitics are back in the safe-haven mix
Alongside macro, geopolitical risk is supporting haven demand. Moneyweb (citing Bloomberg) flagged Venezuela-related tensions as a factor lifting haven appeal in precious metals. [11]
FXStreet also pointed to escalating U.S.–Venezuela tensions as a potential tailwind for safe-haven assets like silver. [12]
Silver performance in 2025: why this rally is getting so much attention
Silver isn’t just “up today”—it has been one of the standout trades of 2025.
- FXStreet reported silver prices up 127.6% year-to-date. [13]
- Reuters put silver’s year-to-date gain at 128%, also highlighting outperformance versus gold. [14]
FXStreet also noted the gold/silver ratio around 65.78 in Friday’s data snapshot—a level many traders monitor as a quick gauge of relative valuation between the two metals. [15]
Silver price forecast and analysis: key levels after 9:34
Forecast coverage on Dec. 19 is converging on one theme: silver is still bullish, but stretched—so levels matter.
FXStreet technical view: bullish bias, but watch overbought signals
In a Dec. 19 technical outlook, FXStreet’s analysis highlighted:
- Dynamic support near the 100-hour SMA around $64.75, viewed as a key “buy-the-dip” area if tested. [16]
- Near-term support zones cited around $65.40–$65.35, then the $65.00 psychological level. [17]
- Resistance near $66.50–$66.55, followed by the record-high zone near $67.00. [18]
- A caution flag: the daily RSI was described as overstretched, suggesting consolidation or a modest pullback could occur before the next leg higher. [19]
FXEmpire forecast: support at $65, breakout targets toward $68.70
FXEmpire’s Dec. 19 outlook framed silver as consolidating near $65.85 with:
- Key support:$65.00 (and additional support near the mid-$64s). [20]
- Immediate resistance: around $66.90
- Upside target on a clean break:$68.70 [21]
FXEmpire also cited futures pricing implying roughly a 26.6% probability of a rate cut at the next Fed meeting (via CME FedWatch), underscoring that traders are still debating timing—even if the broader disinflation trend is supportive. [22]
FXStreet “profit-taking” scenario: downside may be limited if cuts stay in play
Another FXStreet update earlier in the session described silver slipping to around $64.95 on profit-taking, while arguing the downside could be limited if cooling inflation keeps expectations tilted toward lower rates. [23]
What could move silver next?
With silver near record highs, the next catalyst often decides whether the market breaks out or consolidates:
- U.S. rate expectations: If incoming data keeps pointing to cooling inflation and softer growth, it can reinforce the bid under precious metals. [24]
- Dollar direction: Any renewed USD strength can slow silver’s advance, even in a broadly bullish metals environment. [25]
- Headline risk/geopolitics: Escalation can boost haven demand; de-escalation can cool it. [26]
- Positioning into year-end: Thin liquidity and profit-taking can amplify swings in both directions, especially after a year like 2025. [27]
Bottom line for silver at 9:34 today
Silver remains firmly in focus on Dec. 19, 2025. Around 09:34 GMT, the market was trading near $65.76/oz, staying close to record territory after this week’s $66.88 peak. [28]
The near-term roadmap is clear: rate-cut expectations and geopolitics are supportive, but a stronger dollar and profit-taking are keeping silver in a tight, headline-sensitive range—right below the levels that could trigger the next breakout. [29]
References
1. www.fxstreet.com, 2. www.fxstreet.com, 3. www.moneyweb.co.za, 4. www.reuters.com, 5. www.kitco.com, 6. www.reuters.com, 7. www.fxstreet.com, 8. www.reuters.com, 9. www.reuters.com, 10. www.fxempire.com, 11. www.moneyweb.co.za, 12. www.fxstreet.com, 13. www.fxstreet.com, 14. www.reuters.com, 15. www.fxstreet.com, 16. www.fxstreet.com, 17. www.fxstreet.com, 18. www.fxstreet.com, 19. www.fxstreet.com, 20. www.fxempire.com, 21. www.fxempire.com, 22. www.fxempire.com, 23. www.fxstreet.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. www.reuters.com, 26. www.moneyweb.co.za, 27. www.reuters.com, 28. www.fxstreet.com, 29. www.reuters.com


