SK hynix faces record earnings hurdle after ₩190 trillion value loss

SK hynix faces record earnings hurdle after ₩190 trillion value loss

SEOUL, July 29, 2026, 08:02 KST

  • Shares of SK hynix in Seoul ended trading at ₩1.55 million, a decrease of 14.65%. The company’s U.S. depositary shares dropped 8.99% to $130.17.
  • The drop in Korea wiped out nearly ₩190 trillion from equity values, approximately triple the anticipated second-quarter operating profit.
  • KRX trading had yet to start. SK hynix planned to release results before 09:00 KST, with its call set for 09:00.

SK hynix Inc. (KRX:000660; NASDAQ:SKHY) is under pressure to maintain record profits following a sharp drop in its stock. Shares in Seoul ended down 14.65% at ₩1.55 million on Tuesday, while U.S. shares fell 8.99%.

The drop in Korea wiped out roughly ₩190 trillion in market value. This figure is based on Google Finance’s estimate of 712.7 million shares in circulation. The decline amounts to close to triple the forecast quarterly operating income.

Stock chart for KRX:000660

The gap serves as an indicator for investors. It indicates traders are sceptical about how long the profit cycle will last, even as they anticipate another strong quarter. Attention has shifted to issues related to China, funding for AI, and the outlook for memory supply.

MeasureLatest or preliminary estimateComparison
Seoul close, July 28₩1,550,000, fell 14.65%Five-session loss: -15.58%
One-day equity-value lossRoughly ₩190 trillion3.0 times Q2 projected profit
Q2 revenue₩84.1 trillionSurged 60.0% from Q1
Q2 operating profit₩64.1 trillionUp 70.4% versus Q1
Q2 operating margin75%–77%Margin for Q1: 72%

The Q2 numbers are initial estimates provided by brokerages. SK hynix had not published the results as of press time. The company stated that its announcement would be issued before 09:00 KST.

The KRX had yet to open its regular session. The opening auction starts at 08:30, with standard trading commencing at 09:00. As a result, Seoul’s initial response on Wednesday had not taken place.

SK hynix shares declined by 15.58% over the past five sessions through Tuesday. However, the stock maintained a 138.10% gain for 2026. In the U.S., its shares closed 12.6% under their $149 offer price.

The selloff on Tuesday extended past a single stock. The KOSPI slipped 10.84%, and Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. slid around 13.4%. Meanwhile, shares of Micron Technology Inc. were down 8.95% in New York trading.

SK hynix trailed the KOSPI with an underperformance of 3.81 percentage points and fell 5.70 points short of Micron. The decline was influenced by both general chip sector weakness and SK hynix-specific factors.

China provided the initial spark. Shares of CXMT Corp. soared following a strong debut on the Shanghai exchange. News regarding domestic deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography tools heightened concerns about a potential acceleration in Chinese production capacity.

Concerns over AI funding intensified the strain. Investors raised uncertainty about whether spending on data centres will be enough to maintain present demand for chips. “We seem to be at the despair part of the selloff,” said Matt Simpson, senior analyst at StoneX Group Inc. . Reuters

The level of competition is still inconsistent. Cameron Systermans at Mercer Investments noted that CXMT poses a risk in the commodity dynamic random-access memory, or DRAM, market. However, the company continues to lag Korean rivals by several years in the high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, segment. SK hynix currently provides HBM to NVIDIA Corp. .

Short-term fundamentals are solid. Fourteen Korean securities firms project second-quarter sales at ₩84.1 trillion and operating profit at ₩64.1 trillion. Both figures would mark new records.

According to KB Securities analyst Kim Dong-won, “sales to global tech companies and AI data center operators” are expected to account for roughly 70% of quarterly revenue. This proportion delivers stronger pricing compared to memory sales aimed at consumers. Yonhap News

Management commentary on margins, contract pricing, and investment prospects is now in focus. Investors will look to Samsung’s detailed Q2 results, due Thursday, for further insights from an industry peer.

Key risks include accelerated Chinese production, reduced AI investment and declining memory prices. Korea’s leveraged single-stock products might further intensify Wednesday’s market reaction.

A report in line with consensus would validate the surge in earnings, but it would leave the valuation argument unresolved. Investors require proof that present margins can endure beyond Tuesday’s turmoil.

Did SK hynix outperform forecasts with its second-quarter results?

SK hynix posted revenue of 79.32 trillion won and operating profit of 60.54 trillion won, both hitting all-time highs, up 51% and 61% quarter-on-quarter. However, revenue and operating profit were about 5.7% and 5.5% below local market forecasts. Net profit stood at 93.92 trillion won, exceeding consensus by approximately 54%. The company’s initial filing does not account for the 33.38 trillion won difference above operating profit. The net margin is reported at 118%, based on preliminary figures. PR Newswire

What caused shares to decline even with record profits recorded for the quarter?

Seoul shares settled at 1.55 million won on July 28, falling 14.65%. The KOSPI dropped 10.84% to finish at 6,023.66 in the same session. SKHY ended the day at $130.17, a loss of 8.98%, ahead of the earnings news. The most recent after-hours price was $125.09, down another 3.90%. Investors reduced holdings in AI-chip stocks amid concerns over competition from China and tighter financing. The disappointment from revenue and operating profit shortfalls appeared to add downward pressure. SK hynix

Does the narrative around AI-related memory demand remain valid?

Management reports that customer demand continues to surpass current supply. SK hynix has secured long-term contracts with approximately ten clients. HBM4 began mass shipment in Q2 and is expected to increase throughout this half. The company distributed HBM4E samples in the first half. These developments highlight visibility on demand, but SK hynix has not disclosed customer identities or specific contract volumes. Investment from Big Tech players remains significant. PR Newswire

What is most important regarding HBM4 at this moment?

SK hynix reported that its HBM4 product achieved customer-required speed benchmarks and delivered top-tier power efficiency. The company also highlighted cost competitiveness in manufacturing. Mass shipments commenced in the second quarter, with increased production scheduled for the latter half. The disclosure did not include data on shipment numbers, pricing, yields, or customer mix. Investors look to see whether scaling up production can maintain margins. Execution is critical. PR Newswire

Is SK hynix able to support expansion without putting pressure on its balance sheet?

Cash and equivalents stood at 88.0 trillion won at the end of the quarter. Total debt dropped to 18.6 trillion won, resulting in net cash of 69.4 trillion won. Management is speeding up work on M15X and getting Yongin ready for early 2027 capacity. P&T7 packaging and M17 NAND investments will proceed in line with demand. The balance sheet enables expansion plans. Oversupply risk persists if AI investment slows before new capacity is operational. PR Newswire

How did the Nasdaq listing impact investors?

SK hynix secured $26.5 billion by issuing 177.9 million ADSs at a price of $149 each. Each set of ten ADSs equates to a single Korean common share. Proceeds from the sale will support plant development and streamline access to U.S. markets. SKHY finished at $130.17, falling 12.6% from the issue price. The most recent after-hours quote, around $125.09, widened the difference to roughly 16%. Price gaps between ADRs and their Seoul equivalents can occur due to ongoing limits on conversion supply. Reuters

Does the stock offer good value following its substantial decline?

Seoul shares remain 48.1% under their June high of 2.987 million won. Recorded trailing price-to-earnings ratios were 14.67 in Seoul and 18.0 for SKHY. These figures were based on periods before the release of second-quarter results. Recurring earnings are not separated from significant non-operating gains in these multiples. The 118% net margin could distort headline valuation ratios. Normalized operating profits carry greater importance. SK hynix

What is the significance of the competitive threat from China?

Concerns over China were a major factor behind Tuesday’s semiconductor downturn. Market attention was on CXMT’s launch and new developments with local DUV equipment. Analysts quoted by Reuters noted that CXMT continues to lag significantly in HBM. The immediate challenge is expected to be downward pressure on standard DRAM and NAND prices. The potential longer-term impact from HBM hinges on yields, packaging, and securing customer approval. The timetable for these remains unclear. Reuters

What key factors should investors monitor in the upcoming week?

The July 29 earnings call is expected to provide details on the reported 118% net margin. Investors are also looking for data on HBM4 shipment volumes, 2027 pricing outlook, and contract length. Outlook on M15X, Yongin, and total capital expenditure could impact forecasts. Korea’s initial cash-session response will gauge if record margins compensate for shortfalls. Major U.S. tech earnings this week will influence AI-infrastructure sentiment. Volatility is likely. SK hynix

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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