Wall Street Feels the Heat (and Thrill): Fed Cuts, Tariffs & Mega-Mergers Set NYSE Buzz
23 February 2026
60 mins read

Stock Market Today 23.02.2026


LIVEMarkets rolling coverageStarted: Updated:

Markets Unfazed by Trump's Latest Tariff Increase, Analysts Urge Patience

February 23, 2026, 1:59 AM EST. U.S. President Donald Trump's recent move to raise global tariffs from 10% to 15% has elicited a muted market response. Investors appear to view the hike as a temporary procedural adjustment following the Supreme Court's ruling that invalidated previous tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Market strategists note that tariffs remain in place under other provisions targeting steel, autos and China, but see no fundamental shift unsettling markets. Analysts from Atlas Funds Management recommend patience, describing the tariff news as short-term noise unlikely to affect earnings or market stability. The prevailing view is to "sit still and do nothing," as President Trump's trade policy remains unpredictable and subject to recalibration.

Is It Too Late to Invest in BAE Systems Shares After 20% Gain in 2026?

February 23, 2026, 1:58 AM EST. BAE Systems shares have surged 20% in 2026, reflecting a broader uptick in global defence spending amid ongoing conflicts. The company posted a 10% rise in sales and earnings per share in fiscal 2025. Despite a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31 compared to the FTSE 100 average of 18, analysts forecast this will ease to 23 in 2027 as earnings grow. BAE, a key UK defence manufacturer with half its revenue from the US, faces risks tied to global conflicts; peaceful resolutions could pressure the stock. However, the sustained rise in defence budgets suggests BAE remains a compelling investment, with the post-peace dividend era seemingly over.

Virtu Financial's Costly Growth Strategy May Squeeze Margins, Pressure Stock

February 23, 2026, 1:56 AM EST. Virtu Financial Inc. (VIRT) is driving aggressive growth through heavy spending on hiring, employee pay, and technology upgrades. This push, disclosed as a new risk in Corporate Activity and Growth, risks squeezing profit margins if investments don't deliver quick returns. The firm might face write-downs, restructuring, and stock price declines. Wall Street holds a cautious stance with a consensus Hold rating based on 2 Buys, 1 Sell, and 3 Holds. Investors should watch how Virtu manages rising operating and capital costs amid its growth ambition.

Nifty Range-Bound Amid Rising Volatility and IT Sector Lag on February 23

February 23, 2026, 1:55 AM EST. Nifty is expected to trade within the 25,300-25,800 range after Friday's rebound, with the midpoint near 25,550 acting as a key pivot. The India VIX jumped 6.7%, signaling increased volatility and intraday swings. Information Technology (IT) stocks lag due to cautious earnings outlooks, while banks and autos may provide support. Global risk sentiment improved on positive tariff court developments in the US and Europe, but geopolitical tensions limit upside potential. German investors focusing on India-based ETFs are advised to maintain tight risk controls and stagger entries. Market participants should prefer buying dips near 25,300 and fading strength near 25,800, with stops tighter than usual amid heightened volatility.

Custom Packaging Stickers Drive Brand Recognition and Customer Engagement in Australia

February 23, 2026, 1:44 AM EST.Custom packaging stickers are gaining traction in Australia's retail and e-commerce sectors as affordable, effective branding tools. They enhance packaging by adding professional, cohesive visuals that build brand recognition and trust, which influence repeat sales. The stickers also elevate the unboxing experience, turning deliveries into memorable moments. Their flexibility supports quick updates for promotions or limited editions, often including functional features like QR codes. Financially, stickers offer a cost-effective way to polish packaging without full redesigns. Technological advances ensure durable, high-quality prints on recyclable paper or PET materials, balancing performance with growing sustainability demands. These trends underscore how subtle packaging details can significantly impact customer perception and brand loyalty.

Cotton Futures Rally as US Export Sales Hit Marketing Year High

February 23, 2026, 1:43 AM EST. Cotton futures surged by 110 to 150 points on Friday, with March contracts closing up 92 points. The USDA's Export Sales report revealed a marketing year high of 466,253 running bales (RB) sold for the week ending Feb. 12, led by strong demand from Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Pakistan. Despite the rally, shipments fell to a five-week low at 172,615 RB. Managed money increased net short positions by 3,906 contracts, totaling 79,508. The Cotlook A Index rose 15 points to 73.70 cents/lb, while the Adjusted World Price gained 66 points to 50.05 cents/lb. ICE certified cotton stocks also climbed to 119,457 bales. Crude oil dipped slightly to $66.36 per barrel, and the U.S. dollar index declined to 97.685.

Sensex and Nifty Rise on US Tariff Ruling and Strong Earnings

February 23, 2026, 1:42 AM EST. The Indian stock market opened Monday with strong gains, led by the Sensex rising 563 points (0.68%) to 83,375 and Nifty gaining 170 points (0.67%) to 25,741. Gains followed the US Supreme Court ruling that struck down President Trump's tariffs, easing trade tensions. Broad indices such as Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 rose modestly. Sectoral gains were led by PSU banks (up 1.13%), metals, and autos, while IT and chemicals saw slight losses. Analysts noted the delayed Indian trade team visit to the US reflects the new scenario but cautioned gains may not spark a long rally. Asian markets were mixed; Japan's Nikkei fell, while Hong Kong and South Korea advanced. US markets ended mostly lower in their last session. Foreign investors sold equities as domestic investors bought.

European Stocks Slip as Trump Announces New 15% Global Tariffs

February 23, 2026, 1:40 AM EST.European stocks are set to open lower following U.S. President Donald Trump's unexpected announcement of a new 15% global tariff, an increase from the previous 10%. The FTSE, DAX, CAC 40, and FTSE MIB are all expected to fall, reflecting investor concerns over rising trade tensions. Trump's move reverses optimism after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down parts of his earlier tariff policy. U.S. stock futures dropped Sunday amid worries about inflation and global growth. Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific markets showed resilience, gaining despite the tariff news. The week starts quietly on corporate earnings, with focus shifting to Germany's Ifo business climate survey and Italy's latest inflation data, which could offer further insight into Europe's economic outlook.

Natural Gas Prices Rise on Colder US Weather Forecasts and Tight Supply

February 23, 2026, 1:28 AM EST. March Nymex natural gas prices rose 1.7% on Friday, driven by revised US weather forecasts predicting below-normal temperatures in the Midwest through Feb. 24, raising heating demand. US dry gas production reached 113.4 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d), up 12.5% year-on-year, but demand dropped 30.3% year-on-year. Despite forecasts for increased 2026 production, near-record high drilling activity supports output levels. Winter cold in late January caused supply disruptions, with 15% of US production offline due to freeze-ups. Inventory draws were smaller than expected, reflecting tight supplies, with stocks 5.6% below the 5-year average. European gas storage remains low at 32% full versus a 49% average. Active drilling rigs held steady at a 2.5-year peak of 133, highlighting ongoing production strength amid colder weather concerns.

Dollar Falls After US Supreme Court Blocks Trump's Global Tariffs

February 23, 2026, 1:27 AM EST. The U.S. dollar index dipped 0.13% from a four-week high on Friday after the Supreme Court struck down President Trump's global tariffs, citing overreach of federal emergency powers. The ruling may increase the budget deficit by removing tariff revenue. Weaker U.S. economic data also pressured the dollar. Q4 GDP rose 1.4%, below the expected 2.8%, while the February S&P manufacturing PMI and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index disappointed. However, the dollar's losses were capped as core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge, rose 2.7% annually, hinting at continued Fed tightening. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic backed keeping interest rates moderately restrictive, supporting the dollar amid these mixed signals.

US futures and bitcoin fall post-Supreme Court tariff ruling as Asian markets show mixed trends

February 23, 2026, 1:25 AM EST.US futures slipped after the Supreme Court struck down most of former President Trump's tariffs. The S&P 500 futures fell 0.8%, and the Nasdaq futures dropped 1%. Bitcoin tumbled over 5%, breaching $65,000 amid regulatory concerns and risk-off sentiment. Asian markets showed mixed moves: Hong Kong's Hang Seng surged 2.2%, while South Korea's Kospi fell 0.1% and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.6%. The ruling benefits countries previously disadvantaged by U.S. tariff policy, said Rabobank's Benjamin Picton, but uncertainty remains. Trump announced plans for new tariffs via an executive order, adding a 15% global tariff potentially limited to 150 days. Akamai Technologies tumbled 14.1% despite strong 2025 results, citing higher capital expenditures amid AI-driven memory shortages.

Nifty and Bank Nifty Outlook for Feb 23-27 with Top Stock Picks

February 23, 2026, 1:24 AM EST. SBI Securities' Sudeep Shah recommends KEI Industries and Punjab National Bank as key buys for the week starting February 23. The Nifty index remains in a tight consolidation range between 25,400 and 26,000 points, showing elevated volatility despite flat momentum indicators. The market could gap up 350-400 points on the back of a positive Supreme Court ruling against Trumpera tariffs. Critical support levels lie at 25,350 while resistance hovers near 26,000. Meanwhile, the Bank Nifty outperforms and trades near record highs, supported by strong sector momentum and bullish technicals, signalling banking stocks remain market leaders. Investors should watch price action around these pivotal zones for cues on a breakout or breakdown.

Is Amgen (AMGN) Undervalued Despite Strong Multi-Year Gains?

February 23, 2026, 1:13 AM EST.Amgen Inc (AMGN) closed at $374.75 with strong gains: 27.6% over 1 year and 76.2% over 3 years. Yet, a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis estimating future cash flows suggests an intrinsic value of $647.81 per share, implying the stock trades at a 42.2% discount. This signals potential undervaluation despite recent market strength. The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, a measure relating share price to company earnings, also factors into assessing valuation by comparing what investors pay against profits amid growth expectations and risks. Amgen's valuation score of 4 out of 6 further frames investor sentiment amid its pharmaceutical and biotech portfolio. While returns outperform some peers, the stock's pricing may not fully reflect its fundamental value, warranting a closer look for potential investment opportunities.

3 Consumer Stocks to Buy at a Discount Amid Market Uncertainty

February 23, 2026, 1:12 AM EST. Amid market uncertainty, Conagra Brands, Macy's, and Signet Jewelers emerge as undervalued consumer stocks with strong growth prospects. Conagra shares have dipped over 20% in the past year due to inflation and changing consumer habits but offer a 7.6% forward dividend yield, backed by management's AI-led 'Project Catalyst' initiative and strategic brand moves. Macy's stock soared 75% in six months, benefiting from cost cuts and a focus on affluent shoppers, yet still trades at a 12 times forward earnings, suggesting room for further gains. Signet Jewelers, owner of Kay and Zales, surged 80% post-restructuring and lab-grown diamond adoption, positioning it as a compelling post-rally bargain. These stocks provide potential for long-term portfolio growth despite short-term volatility.

Energy Demand Concerns Pressure Crude Oil Prices Amid Geopolitical Risks

February 23, 2026, 1:11 AM EST.Crude oil and gasoline prices dipped on Friday following weaker U.S. economic data that sparked concerns about energy demand. The U.S. Q4 GDP growth of 1.4%, below expectations of 2.8%, alongside a drop in manufacturing activity and consumer sentiment, weighed on markets. Despite these factors, crude oil losses were limited due to a softer U.S. dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions. President Trump increased pressure on Iran regarding its nuclear program, hinting at possible military action, which supports oil prices. Meanwhile, unresolved conflict between Russia and Ukraine sustains restrictions on Russian crude, keeping supply tight. However, an increase in crude held in floating storage by Russia and Iran presents a bearish factor for prices. The complex balance between demand worries and geopolitical risks keeps energy markets unsettled.

Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF Offers Broad Small-Cap Market Exposure at Low Cost

February 23, 2026, 1:10 AM EST. The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO) tracks the Russell 2000 index, providing broad exposure to approximately 2,000 U.S. small-cap stocks ranked between 1,001 and 3,000 by market capitalization. With a low expense ratio of 0.06%, it stands out as an affordable option for investors seeking this segment. Unlike the S&P 600, which applies a quality filter for positive earnings, the Russell 2000 includes all stocks in its range, encompassing both profitable and unprofitable firms. This approach can benefit long-term investors by offering comprehensive market coverage and potential for higher returns in bull markets. The ETF consistently holds every stock in the index, ensuring tight tracking. Its inclusive methodology makes it a preferred choice for those aiming to capture full small-cap market dynamics over investment cycles.

Australian Shares Slip as Austal Reports Higher Earnings Demand

February 23, 2026, 1:09 AM EST. Australian shares dropped 0.61% to close at 9,026 amid U.S. tariff tensions initiated by President Trump's new 15% import duties. The S&P/ASX 200 fell as investors sought safer assets like gold, which rose 1% to $5,161.64 per ounce. Domestically, Commonwealth Bank forecasts headline inflation easing to 3.7% in January. Austal reported fiscal first-half earnings grew to AU$0.071 per share with revenues rising to AU$1.11 billion, yet its shares tumbled 10%. Perenti posted stable revenue of AU$1.73 billion but saw shares fall 13%. Regis Healthcare delivered almost flat earnings but raised revenues to AU$667.7 million, with shares closing 7% higher. Trade policy uncertainty and mixed company results influenced market movements today.

IDFC First Bank Executes Rs. 41.53 Crore Block Trade on NSE

February 23, 2026, 1:08 AM EST. IDFC First Bank Ltd. saw a significant block trade on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) with a transaction value of Rs. 41.53 crore. Approximately 5.9 million shares were traded at Rs. 70.33 per share, signaling substantial institutional activity. Block trades involve large-scale transactions executed outside regular market hours to reduce price disruption. This move points to potential portfolio adjustments by major investors such as mutual funds or foreign institutional investors. The trade underscores notable market interest in IDFC First Bank amid prevailing market conditions.

IDFC First Bank Sees Rs. 40.08 Crore Block Trade on NSE

February 23, 2026, 12:59 AM EST. IDFC First Bank Ltd. witnessed a significant block trade worth Rs. 40.08 crore on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). A total of 5,974,176 shares changed hands at Rs. 67.09 per share. Block trades facilitate large-volume institutional transactions without disturbing regular market prices. This deal highlights robust institutional interest in the bank's stock, signaling possible portfolio adjustments or stake transfers. The trade also offers insight into institutional valuation of IDFC First Bank, contributing to price discovery in India's banking sector.

Spotify Technology Shares Rise After Strong Q4 Earnings Beat and 2026 Profitability Guidance

February 23, 2026, 12:58 AM EST. Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) reported Q4 2025 sales of €4.531 billion, up from €4.242 billion a year earlier, with net income soaring to €1.174 billion, eclipsing €367 million previously. Full year 2025 sales reached €17.186 billion, bolstering net income to €2.212 billion. Basic earnings per share nearly doubled to €10.77. For Q1 2026, Spotify guided revenue of €4.5 billion and operating income of €660 million, signaling a focus on profitability alongside growth. The stock rose 7.04% over seven days, trading at $490.60 below fair value estimates near $770, reflecting investor interest. This aligns with Spotify's strategy to grow premium subscribers with a higher average revenue per user (ARPU), boosting free cash flow and shareholder value amid renewed pricing power with music labels.

Caterpillar Stock Surges 36% in 3 Months but Valuation Raises Concerns

February 23, 2026, 12:57 AM EST. Caterpillar (CAT) shares have climbed 21.2% in the past month and about 36% over three months, fueled by strong total shareholder returns of 126.5% over one year and 285.9% over five years. Despite recent gains, Caterpillar's Q3 2024 sales fell 4% year-on-year, impacted by weaker volume in construction and resource industries across key regions like the U.S. and Europe. The company posted a 16.3% net income margin, exceeding forecasts. However, a valuation analysis indicates Caterpillar is currently overvalued at $759.74 per share, compared to a fair value estimate near $338.56. Investors are advised to weigh future growth assumptions, profit margins, and geopolitical factors before repositioning in the heavy industry sector.

Coffee Prices Show Mixed Close Amid Supply Boosts from Brazil and Vietnam

February 23, 2026, 12:56 AM EST.Coffee prices closed mixed on Friday, with May Arabica up 0.11% and May Robusta down 0.80%, as markets consolidated recent losses. A weaker U.S. dollar prompted some short covering in coffee futures. The market faces pressure due to improved global supply outlooks, highlighted by Brazil's forecasted 17.2% rise in coffee production for 2026 to a record 66.2 million bags, driven by favorable weather and abundant rainfall in major growing regions. Vietnam's coffee exports surged significantly, adding to supply concerns. Meanwhile, recovering inventories monitored by ICE for both Arabica and Robusta also weigh on prices. However, reduced output in Colombia and a 42.4% drop in Brazil's January coffee exports provide some support. The USDA projects global coffee production will reach a record in 2025/26, with robusta growth offsetting arabica declines.

IDFC First Bank Executes Rs. 152.99 Crore Block Trade on NSE

February 23, 2026, 12:51 AM EST. IDFC First Bank Ltd completed a significant block trade on the National Stock Exchange (NSE), involving 21.91 million shares valued at Rs. 152.99 crore. The shares were traded at Rs. 69.81 each, illustrating strong institutional interest in the bank's stock. Block trades refer to large-volume transactions conducted by institutional investors to facilitate substantial trades without disrupting market prices. This sizable transaction signals possible portfolio adjustments or strategic moves by large market participants in IDFC First Bank's shares.

Cattle Futures Slip Ahead of USDA Cattle on Feed Report

February 23, 2026, 12:35 AM EST. Live cattle futures dropped between 80 cents and $1.60 as traders await the USDA Cattle on Feed report. Cash cattle trade remains quiet, with bids near $245 across the U.S. The recent Fed Cattle Exchange auction saw no sales at offered prices. Feeder cattle futures declined $2.50 to $3 midday, despite the CME Feeder Cattle Index rising 90 cents to $376.92 on Feb. 18. USDA Export Sales reported 14,694 MT of beef sold in the week ending Feb. 12, a five-week low. Anticipated January cattle placements are down 3.5% year-over-year, with marketings down 12.9%. Boxed beef prices rose, with Choice boxes up $1.50 to $366.67. Federally inspected slaughter reached 112,000 head on Thursday, boosting the weekly total but remaining below last year's level.

US Futures Dip as Asian Markets Rise Following Supreme Court's Rejection of Trump's Tariffs

February 23, 2026, 12:27 AM EST. US futures declined Monday while most Asian markets advanced after the Supreme Court struck down key portions of former President Donald Trump's tariffs. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index surged 2.2%, and South Korea's Kospi gained 1.1%, reflecting regional winners from the tariff policy shifts. However, China's Shanghai Composite fell 1.3%, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.4%. The ruling injects uncertainty as US tariffs remain but will be implemented differently. Trump announced plans for a new 15% global tariff via executive order, signaling continued trade tensions. Market reactions remain mixed amid concerns over inflation and economic growth, as investors weigh the evolving trade landscape and its impact on global equities.

IDFC First Bank Shares Plunge Nearly 19% Following Rs 590-Crore Employee Fraud Disclosure

February 23, 2026, 12:25 AM EST. IDFC First Bank shares dropped nearly 19% on February 23 after the lender revealed a Rs 590-crore fraud linked to certain employees and accounts held by the Haryana government. The bank reported the case to regulators and police. The fraudulent amount equals roughly 0.9% of the bank's net worth and about 20% of its estimated fiscal 2026 pre-tax profit, according to brokerages UBS and Morgan Stanley. Haryana government suspended the bank from handling state business. Four bank officials were suspended. IDFC First Bank continues a reconciliation exercise to assess the exact loss and potential recoveries. Market reaction indicates investor concerns over fraud risks in private lenders and possible wider impact.

US Supreme Court Ruling Lifts Sugar Prices Amid Brazil Export Prospects

February 23, 2026, 12:24 AM EST. Sugar prices surged with March NY world sugar up 1.63% and May London ICE white sugar rising 0.82% after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump's tariffs, potentially easing U.S. imports from Brazil and shrinking global sugar supply. A weaker U.S. dollar also supported the rally. Brazil's sugar output showed mixed signals, with January's Center-South production down 36% year-on-year but cumulative output slightly higher. Despite earlier worries about a global sugar surplus projected by analysts from Czarnikow, Green Pool, and StoneX, production declines in Brazil and approved additional Indian exports-India being the world's second-largest sugar producer-are adding uncertainty. India raised its 2025/26 sugar production estimate by nearly 19%, while the Thai sugar outlook weighs bearish on prices. The complex interplay of judicial rulings, production data, and export policies is keeping sugar markets volatile.

IDFC First Bank Sees Rs. 178.57 Crore Block Trade on NSE

February 23, 2026, 12:22 AM EST. IDFC First Bank experienced a major block trade on the National Stock Exchange (NSE), with 25.16 million shares changing hands at Rs. 70.98 per share, totaling Rs. 178.57 crore. Block trades involve large transactions by institutional investors conducted outside regular hours to avoid market disruption. This notable activity signals strong institutional interest and possible portfolio adjustments in the private sector bank's stock.

BetaPro Crude Oil Inverse Leveraged Daily Bear ETF (HOD:CA) Shows Weak Ratings, Short Trading Signal Advised

February 23, 2026, 12:21 AM EST. BetaPro Crude Oil Inverse Leveraged Daily Bear ETF (HOD:CA) displays weak ratings across near, mid, and long-term assessments as of February 23, 2026. Current trading advice recommends a short position near 4.47, with a stop loss set at 4.49, indicating bearish sentiment. No long-term buying plans are suggested, reflecting cautious market outlook for this ETF.

Avon Technologies Valuation Holds Steady Amid Sector M&A Influences

February 23, 2026, 12:08 AM EST. Avon Technologies' fair value remains at £21.28, influenced slightly by changes in the discount rate, as analysts weigh recent sector mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The Mission Produce acquisition of Calavo Growers serves as a key benchmark, with Roth Capital and Lake Street noting the deal's positive strategic impact and prompting sector consolidation comparisons. Despite less explicit commentary on Avon itself, investors watch for clearer growth indicators. Avon declared a final dividend of 17 US cents per share, payable in GBP, due March 6, 2026, and secured a $20.6 million European order for CBRN protection products under a NATO contract, aligning with fiscal 2026 guidance. The evolving M&A backdrop frames Avon's valuation story as investors assess risk and reward within this dynamic sector context.

Cocoa Prices Rise on Dollar Weakness and Short Covering Amid Oversupply

February 23, 2026, 12:07 AM EST. Cocoa futures rallied Friday with March ICE NY cocoa up 3.77% and London cocoa gaining 6.25%, driven by dollar weakness that spurred technical short covering. Prices had sunk to 2.75-year lows during a six-week selloff fueled by oversupply and weak demand. Ivory Coast and Ghana, which supply over half the world's cocoa, are cutting farm-gate prices amid reluctant buyers and rising inventories reaching a 5.25-month high. Global cocoa stocks grew 4.2% year-on-year, with forecasts expecting surpluses into 2026/27. Demand weakness continues, reflected in a 22% sales drop at Barry Callebaut and sharp declines in European and Asian cocoa grindings. Favorable weather in West Africa signals larger crops ahead, adding to bearish pressure despite Friday's price rebound.

India Market Snapshot: Stocks, Rupee, Bonds, Swaps Update at 10 a.m. IST

February 23, 2026, 12:06 AM EST. India's financial markets opened with key movements in stocks, the rupee, bond yields, and interest rate swaps at 10 a.m. IST. Market participants are closely monitoring these indicators for signals on economic momentum and monetary policy impact. Data sourced from ICE Data Services and FactSet highlights the early trends shaping investor sentiment across asset classes today.

US Short Seller Targets ASX's Nova Minerals Over Alaska Mine Project Risks

February 23, 2026, 12:04 AM EST. Nova Minerals, an ASX-listed company, faced a trading halt after New York hedge fund Spruce Point Capital issued a 61-page report accusing the company of obstacles on its flagship Estelle gold-antimony mine in Alaska. The report highlighted risks including infrastructure shortfalls, community opposition, and harsh weather, raising doubts about meeting project deadlines. Spruce Point also questioned the credentials of a key company advisor. The development added pressure on Nova's shares amid growing US short-seller criticisms of hot Australian stocks.

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