Today: 19 November 2025
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economic policy

No, the IRS Isn’t Sending Stimulus Checks in November 2025—But Trump Just Floated a $2,000 ‘Tariff Dividend’

No, the IRS Isn’t Sending Stimulus Checks in November 2025—But Trump Just Floated a $2,000 ‘Tariff Dividend’

What changed today (Nov. 9, 2025) On Sunday morning, President Trump wrote that a “dividend of at least $2000 a person (not including high income people!) will be paid to everyone,” framing it as a payout funded by tariff revenues. This is a political proposal, not a program with money going out today. Any such payment would need enabling legislation; none has passed. The Guardian That post builds on earlier talk of tariff-funded rebates (and separate “DOGE” savings ideas), none of which have cleared Congress. Even outlets highlighting the post note that congressional approval is the necessary step before Americans
9 November 2025
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IMF WARNING: Europe’s ‘Explosive’ Debt Could Blow by 2040—Calls Grow for New Social Contract and EU‑Wide Borrowing

IMF WARNING: Europe’s ‘Explosive’ Debt Could Blow by 2040—Calls Grow for New Social Contract and EU‑Wide Borrowing

The story Europe’s debt burden is re‑entering the danger zone—and the IMF says the continent needs to rewrite the policy playbook to avoid a crunch in the 2030s. In a speech at the ECB’s House of the Euro on November 4, 2025, IMF European Department director Alfred Kammer warned that, absent faster growth and fiscal effort, the average public‑debt ratio in Europe would lurch toward ~130% of GDP by 2040—an “explosive” trajectory that would put elements of the European social model at risk. “Doing nothing is not an option,” he said. IMF+1 The Fund’s latest Regional Economic Outlook for Europe
5 November 2025
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Powell’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Fed’s Dilemma Sparks Market Turmoil and Record Highs

Powell’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Fed’s Dilemma Sparks Market Turmoil and Record Highs

Fed’s Balancing Act: Growth vs. Inflation In his remarks, Powell emphasized the unusual mix of a robust economy (above-trend GDP growth and surging productivity) alongside persistent inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve economists now face “a duel” of forces – big fiscal and trade shock versus a tech/AI-driven boom – as EY’s Gregory Daco puts it reuters.com. Fed Governor Christopher Waller bluntly noted the contradiction: “You can’t have negative job growth and 4% GDP growth” reuters.com. In other words, either hiring must rebound to match output, or growth will slow. This tension has shaped policy: the Fed’s Sept. rate cut was portrayed
14 October 2025
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Powell’s Next Move Could Make or Break 2025’s Record Stock Rally

Powell’s Next Move Could Make or Break 2025’s Record Stock Rally

Record Highs Amid a Tech-Fueled Rally Wall Street’s momentum in 2025 is undeniable – and increasingly historic. Stocks have been on a tear, repeatedly smashing records. After seven consecutive daily gains to start October, the market took only a brief pause before charging higher again. On October 8, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite clinched fresh all-time highs (around 6,754 and 23,043 respectively) ts2.tech. These milestones extend what has already been a remarkable year; the S&P is up roughly 18% year-to-date, with the Nasdaq not far behind ts2.tech. Even the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average, while slightly lagging, is near
9 October 2025
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