Target stock drops after activist buzz fades; Fed minutes set the next test for TGT

Target stock drops after activist buzz fades; Fed minutes set the next test for TGT

NEW YORK, December 29, 2025, 21:25 ET — Market closed

  • Target slid 1.4% on Monday, trimming last week’s activist-driven bounce.
  • The stock traded in a narrow range as year-end volumes stayed light.
  • Traders are watching Tuesday’s Fed minutes and any next steps from the reported activist stake.

Target Corporation (TGT) shares fell 1.4% on Monday to $98.10, after trading between $97.72 and $100.20 in a muted year-end session. About 8.8 million shares changed hands.

The pullback matters because investors are recalibrating expectations around what, if anything, could force a faster turnaround at the big-box retailer as 2026 approaches.

A late-week report has kept the stock in focus. The Financial Times reported Friday that activist investor Toms Capital Investment Management — a shareholder that pushes for strategic changes — made a significant investment in Target, though the size of the stake and any demands were not disclosed. Target said its “top priority is getting back to growth” after three straight quarters of falling comparable sales, a gauge of performance at established stores. Retail analyst Neil Saunders of GlobalData wrote that “Financial games and monetization do not take Target in the right direction.” 1

The broader tape was not supportive. Wall Street’s main indexes ended lower as heavyweight technology shares retreated from last week’s rally, with the Dow down 0.51%, the S&P 500 off 0.35% and the Nasdaq down 0.5% in a holiday-shortened week that leaves investors watching Fed minutes and jobless claims. 2

Retail peers were mixed on the day, with Walmart up 0.7%, Costco down 0.6% and Amazon off 0.2%.

For Target, the retreat leaves the stock trading more on sentiment than fresh company headlines, with investor attention split between activist pressure and macro-driven risk appetite.

Before next session, investors will focus on the Federal Reserve’s minutes from its December meeting, due at 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday. 3

Target’s investor-relations events calendar showed no upcoming events scheduled. Wall Street tracking services expect the company to report again in early March, based on past reporting patterns. 4

On the charts, Target is trading above its 50-day moving average of about $92.5 and just above its 200-day average near $96.1 — moving averages are trend lines that smooth out day-to-day price swings. The stock’s 52-week range is $83.44 to $145.08. 5

Those reference points give traders clear levels to watch if volatility returns, particularly if a break below the longer-term average pulls in sellers.

Any clearer disclosure of Toms Capital’s position, or an explicit set of demands, would be the next stock-specific catalyst investors are watching as Target heads into its CEO transition early in 2026.

Until then, Target shares are likely to trade with the market, with Fed commentary and thin year-end positioning driving day-to-day swings more than company fundamentals.

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