TELUS (TSE:T) Shares Drop, Shedding C$2.7 Billion in Value — An Amount Parallel to Dividend Savings
1 August 2026

TELUS (TSE:T) Shares Drop, Shedding C$2.7 Billion in Value — An Amount Parallel to Dividend Savings

TORONTO, August 1, 2026, 12:10 ET — Closing bell rings as TELUS stock drops, wiping out around C$2.7 billion in market cap, an amount equal to projected dividend savings.

  • TELUS dropped 11.27% on Friday, closing at C$13.38. Trading volume was 50.34 million shares, nearly six times the usual amount.
  • The annual dividend of C$0.75 equates to a yield of approximately 5.6%. TELUS projects cumulative savings of C$2.7 billion through 2028.
  • Guidance for free cash flow dropped 26.5% to C$1.8 billion, while planned capital expenditures rose to C$2.6 billion.

TELUS Corporation saw its market value fall by roughly C$2.67 billion on Friday, a drop that closely aligns with the C$2.7 billion in dividend savings it aims to achieve by 2028. The initial figure reflects an investor estimate.

Stock chart for TSE:T

The alignment does not serve as an accounting offset. Market value incorporates expectations of future profits, capital requirements and associated risks. Friday’s development thus indicates skepticism over the broader reset, beyond just the dividend reduction.

The stock climbed 4.7% between July 24 and Thursday. On Friday, that advance was wiped out, pushing TELUS down 7.1% for the week.

The move was backed by volume. Shifts in price history, turnover, and the number of shares highlight the extent of the repricing.

Market measureFriday resultComparison
Closing priceC$13.38C$15.08 on Thursday
One-day move-11.27%Weekly move: -7.08%
Volume50.34 million5.9 times the recent average
Intraday lowC$12.93Marks a new 52-week low
Approximate equity value lostC$2.67 billionEquals 99% of planned dividend savings

The board reduced the quarterly dividend to C$0.1875 from C$0.4184. Additionally, it decreased the payout target and will eliminate the dividend-reinvestment-plan discount starting in October.

Dividend measurePrevious frameworkReset framework
Quarterly dividendC$0.4184C$0.1875
Annualized dividendC$1.6736C$0.75
Cash yield at relevant close11.1% based on July 30 close5.6% based on July 31 close
Free-cash-flow payout target60%-75% projected45%-60% for trailing 12 months

Following the reset, TELUS’s forward yield aligns more closely with BCE Inc. (TSE:BCE), no longer standing out as an outlier. The yield is still higher than that of Rogers Communications Inc. (TSE:RCI.B).

CompanyFriday closeAnnualized latest dividendForward yield
TELUSC$13.38C$0.755.61%
BCEC$30.41C$1.755.75%
RogersC$47.46C$2.004.21%

The primary worry centred on the operational reset. TELUS lowered its forecasts for revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. Adjusted EBITDA remains the company’s key operating profit indicator. The company’s capital expenditures also rose.

2026 outlookPreviousUpdated
Service revenue change2% to 4%Stable to -2%
Adjusted EBITDA change2% to 4%-2% to -4%
Capital investmentNear C$2.3 billionRoughly C$2.6 billion
Free cash flowApproximately C$2.45 billionRoughly C$1.8 billion

Free cash flow guidance declined by C$650 million, equal to 26.5%, reducing the immediate advantage from retained dividends.

The quarter’s profit and revenue came in below expectations. Adjusted earnings stood at C$0.16 per share, missing consensus by four cents. Operating revenue declined 3% to C$4.93 billion.

Cash generation outpaced income statement figures. Operating cash flow climbed 15% to C$1.34 billion, while free cash flow edged up 2% to C$545 million.

Core telecom was steady, but not robust. Revenue from mobile networks climbed 1%. The average revenue per mobile customer slipped 0.4%, and churn climbed to 1.08%.

New mobile phone subscriptions declined to 17,000 from 55,000 in the prior year. Internet subscriber growth eased to 20,000 compared to 27,000 previously. Competitive offers and slower population growth continue to weigh on results.

TELUS Digital was the primary contributor to the setback. The company recorded a C$2.1 billion impairment related to that division. According to management, roughly two-thirds of the lowered revenue guidance stemmed from TELUS Digital.

Maher Yaghi, an analyst with Scotiabank (TSE:BNS), described the quarter as weak. “The action is the right one, but the size of the guidance reduction shows it was not discretionary,” he wrote. MarketScreener

CEO Victor Dodig stated that “the macro environment has shifted.” TELUS has set a new net debt target of 3.0 times adjusted EBITDA or lower by the end of 2028, extending the timeline by one year. PR Newswire

The strategy relies on reducing expenses, cutting capital expenditure, and selling assets. TELUS is currently evaluating its health and real-estate assets considered non-core.

Toronto markets will reopen for trading on Tuesday following the Civic Holiday on Monday. Shares of TELUS listed on the NYSE remain active on Monday. BCE is set to announce its second-quarter earnings on Thursday, offering the sector’s next pricing benchmark.

Risks continue to be focused on wireless pricing, subscriber demand, and TELUS Digital performance. Increased spending and postponed asset sales may further delay deleveraging.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What caused TELUS shares to drop 11.3% on July 31?
TELUS lowered its 2026 free cash flow forecast by 26.5% to C$1.8 billion, and now anticipates service revenue to be unchanged or down by up to 2%. The company projects adjusted EBITDA to decline 2%-4%, instead of increasing. Q2 adjusted EPS dropped 27% to C$0.16. TELUS reduced its annual dividend by 55%. Shares ended at C$13.38. Telus
Can the lower dividend now be maintained?
The new annual dividend stands at C$0.75, for a yield of roughly 5.6%. TELUS has set a target range of 45% to 60% of trailing free cash flow. Before the adjustment, the trailing payout ratio as of June was 74%. Management forecasts cost savings of C$2.7 billion by 2028, with most of those funds allocated to debt repayment. Dividend safety has increased, though each quarterly payment remains subject to board approval. Telus
Is TELUS able to lower its leverage quickly enough?
TELUS reported net debt of C$25.96 billion as of June 30. Net debt stood at 3.5 times trailing adjusted EBITDA. The company aims to lower this to about 3.0 times by the end of 2028. A decline in 2026 EBITDA makes this target more difficult to achieve. The proceeds from asset sales are still unspecified, and the timing for them is unclear. SEC
Does the stock offer value following the decline?
TELUS is valued at about C$21.3 billion with a share price at C$13.38. The stock is trading at approximately 11.8 times its updated 2026 free cash flow, representing a free cash flow yield of 8.5%. The annualized dividend yield stands close to 5.6%. However, net debt surpasses market value and EBITDA guidance has been reduced. Reuters
What changes are needed for TELUS to return to growth?
Management is aiming for a minimum of 10% annual free cash flow growth in 2027–2028. TELUS Digital revenue declined by 6% in Q2, with adjusted EBITDA down 20% and a C$2.1 billion impairment reported. Core mobile network revenue posted a 1% rise. Achieving further growth hinges on stabilizing Digital, cutting costs, and reducing capital intensity. Additional balance sheet support could come from completed asset sales. Investing.com
What is the reliability of the present analyst price target?
Current published screens display Hold ratings and average targets of C$18.7–C$18.9, indicating about 40% potential upside from C$13.38. Still, the majority of these targets were set before the July 31 financial update. The apparent upside does not reflect a new analyst consensus. Revisions to target prices following earnings are now more relevant than the previous average. MarketScreener

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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