TSX Sets New Record Even as Oil Stocks Drop

TSX Sets New Record Even as Oil Stocks Drop

Toronto, May 25, 2026, 16:39 EDT

  • S&P/TSX Composite ended at a new record, settling at 34,830.89 after rising 1%.
  • Tech stocks and metal miners were up. Energy names trailed after crude declined.
  • Trading was thin in North America with the U.S. on holiday, though Canadian exchanges stayed open.

Tech and metal miners pushed Canada’s main stock index to a fresh record close Monday, as traders looked to progress on a possible U.S.-Iran peace deal to help pull down oil prices and chill inflation fears. The S&P/TSX Composite Index ended the session up 359.53 points, or 1%, at 34,830.89.

The TSX has seen mixed forces, with strong oil prices lifting energy names, but also adding to inflation and rate worries. Oil sliding can hit drillers, but may give a lift to banks, growth names and miners if it cools bond yields, which set the bar for government debt returns.

The move happened during light North American trading. U.S. markets were closed for Memorial Day, but Canadian exchanges stayed open. Special settlement rules applied to U.S.-dollar issues.

Brent crude fell sharply, losing almost 7% to hit $96.30 a barrel in afternoon trading as traders focused on the Strait of Hormuz amid the Middle East standoff. Reuters said optimism over possible movement between Washington and Tehran hit oil prices, though officials cautioned that no quick agreement was likely.

“There have been repeated false hopes,” Brian Madden, chief investment officer at First Avenue Investment Counsel, told Reuters. He said “even a non-zero chance the conflict ends” was enough to send stocks up and push oil lower. Reuters

Materials stocks, including miners, moved higher as gold prices climbed. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo told Reuters, “financial assets are strongly influenced by oil prices.” Gold is getting support on hopes that falling crude prices may make it easier for U.S. rates to come down. Reuters

Tech gave support again. The TSX leaned on the sector Friday after a surge from BlackBerry, helping the index notch its strongest close since March. Allan Small at iA Private Wealth said at the time that investors were looking to the tech sector.

Energy lagged, hit by weaker crude. That pulled on Canadian Natural Resources and Suncor. Miners like Agnico Eagle, Barrick, and Wheaton Precious Metals picked up some slack. Trading Economics said financials held steady, with investors watching for results this week from Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank and Bank of Montreal.

Loonie was up 0.1% at 1.3800 to the U.S. dollar as risk sentiment picked up and the greenback slipped. Canadian two-year yields stuck well under U.S. counterparts, pointing to a big gap in rate bets between the two countries.

Bank of Canada policy is still in the background. Its key overnight rate target was at 2.25% after the April 29 decision. The next rate decision is set for June 10.

The rally looks shaky. Rory Johnston, who runs Commodity Context, told Reuters talks have “collapsed on the details” before. UBS’s Staunovo said flows through Hormuz “remain restricted.” If supply doesn’t loosen or talks break down, crude could bounce back, bringing inflation worries and dulling Monday’s record close. Reuters

Trade risk hasn’t gone away. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said last week the first formal USMCA talks with Mexico are set for this week in Mexico City, where regional content rules and economic security will be discussed. Canada’s banks, autos, and industrials tie the TSX to North American trade policy.

Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company working with customers worldwide. His experience spans satellite communications, telecommunications and technology ventures. He graduated from the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and writes about space technology, artificial intelligence, stocks and the technology companies and industries he follows. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook or LinkedIn.

US Stock Market Today Updates

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Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 Strong buy

Alphabet

NASDAQ:GOOGL 92/100 • ★★★★½
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

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MARKET CALENDAR

Key Events Today

The catalysts most likely to move markets.

#1

U.S. index futures reopen at 18:00 ET

This is the clearest scheduled U.S.-market price-discovery point today and can transmit weekend news into equity-index futures before Monday's cash session.

#2

New Zealand retail sales at 18:45 ET

The Q2 retail package can move NZD and regional risk sentiment. Spillover to U.S. assets is usually secondary unless the result is unusually large.

#3

No scheduled domestic U.S. data or corporate reports

The absence of U.S. releases, earnings, IPO pricings and split events leaves fewer scheduled catalysts, increasing the relative importance of weekend headlines and positioning at the futures reopen.

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Times and estimates may change. Verify before trading.
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