Uber (NYSE:UBER) shares recover with cash reserves supporting $10 billion robotaxi initiative

Uber (NYSE:UBER) shares recover with cash reserves supporting $10 billion robotaxi initiative

NEW YORK, August 7, 2026, 18:08 EDT — U.S. regular session ended; after-hours trading underway.

  • Uber shares finished at $75.02, rising 6.4%, boosting their gain for the week to 6.6%.
  • Trailing free cash flow topped $10 billion, closely aligning with the total value of Uber’s multi-year commitment to autonomous vehicles.
  • Among seven firms surveyed after results, the mean target dropped 8.1% to $97.43, still 29.9% higher than Friday’s closing price.

Uber Technologies, Inc. ended Friday at $75.02, marking a 6.4% rise. Shares closed 6.6% higher than July 31, although they fell 5.3% on Wednesday. The stock bounced back with a 10.0% gain over Thursday and Friday.

Stock chart for NYSE:UBER

Analysts lowered their long-term valuations, prompting the change. Of the seven firms listed below, six reduced their price targets. All maintained positive ratings, with no switches to neutral or negative.

The division brings the main investor focus into sharper relief. Is existing cash sufficient to maintain financial independence while still allowing room for buyback activity? Chief Financial Officer Balaji Krishnamurthy stated that trailing free cash flow had “exceeded $10 billion for the first time.” At a market capitalization of $153.8 billion as of Friday, this calculates to a trailing free-cash-flow yield of at least 6.5%. Uber Investor Relations

BrokerageRating retainedOld targetNew targetChange
MizuhoOutperform$110$112+1.8%
Wells FargoOverweight$100$89-11.0%
SusquehannaPositive$110$90-18.2%
BarclaysOverweight$107$106-0.9%
D.A. DavidsonBuy$107$100-6.5%
BernsteinOutperform$110$95-13.6%
Cantor FitzgeraldOverweight$98$90-8.2%
Average for seven firmsPositive recommendations$106.00$97.43-8.1%

The sample includes target actions disclosed after the August 5 results. Average changes are calculated using precise, unrounded numbers.

Friday trading provided positive momentum, though the movement was not limited to Uber. Lyft climbed 7.2% following its earnings release. DoorDash was up 1.4%. The wider U.S. market also moved higher as softer payroll numbers helped to lessen worries over interest rates.

Relevant platform stockFriday closeDaily moveMarket value
Uber$75.02up 6.4%$153.8 billion
Lyft$17.46up 7.2%$7.0 billion
DoorDash$216.26rising 1.4%$95.0 billion

Friday’s prices and market valuations are sourced from the most recent U.S. market feed.

The quarter demonstrated robust operating leverage, with gross bookings increasing by 24% and non-GAAP operating income up 40%. Diluted shares decreased 3.5%, allowing adjusted EPS to grow faster than net income.

Q2 operating measure20252026Change
Gross bookings$46.76 billion$58.02 billionup 24%
Revenue$12.65 billion$14.19 billionup 12%
Non-GAAP operating income$1.53 billion$2.14 billionup 40%
Free cash flow$2.48 billion$2.79 billionup 13%
Diluted weighted shares2.126 billion2.050 billiondown 3.5%

Uber released its financial results. The decrease in shares is based on its diluted weighted average calculations.

Revenue climbed at a slower pace than bookings, as adjustments to the business model cut the reported growth rate by eight percentage points. The non-GAAP operating margin increased to 3.7% of bookings, up from 3.3%.

Delivery posted the quickest profit growth, with segment operating income up 38% to $1.06 billion. Mobility advanced 28% to $2.22 billion, holding its position as the primary profit driver.

The outlook was murkier. The midpoint for third-quarter bookings was roughly in line with the LSEG consensus. The midpoint for adjusted EPS fell 3.4% short of consensus. Additionally, currency headwinds are projected to reduce reported bookings growth by about one percentage point.

Q3 measureUber guidanceMidpointLSEG consensusMidpoint gap
Gross bookings$58.25–$60.25 billion$59.25 billion$59.21 billion+0.1%
Non-GAAP EPS$0.84–$0.88$0.86$0.89-3.4%

LSEG gathered the consensus data. Differences are determined using midpoints.

The autonomous-vehicle pledge is not a one-time cash outlay. According to Krishnamurthy, it is spread across several years. Uber plans to utilize equity investments, fleet backing and vehicle pledges. For every dollar Uber puts in, partners have contributed an additional $2.50.

Adam Ballantyne, senior analyst at shareholder Cambiar Investors, said the $10 billion estimate matched his expectations. Spreading the amount over his four-to-five-year outlook amounts to $2.0 billion to $2.5 billion each year, equal to around 20% to 25% of current trailing free cash flow. This figure is for illustrative purposes and does not constitute company guidance.

The scale is still limited. Uber reported that autonomous vehicles account for under 0.5% of its approximately 300 million trips each week. Its AV operations are active in seven cities, with ambitions to reach 15 cities by the end of the year. CEO Dara Khosrowshahi noted that Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet , continues to be a key partner as Uber broadens its collaboration with additional companies.

The key question for the market next week is if Uber remains above Tuesday’s pre-earnings close of $71.99. Investors are also looking for additional updates to estimates and more information on AV profit effects. Management has not provided a specific figure for that impact.

Risks: Third-quarter EPS outlook falls short of consensus. Competition is driving up two-wheeler supply expenses in Brazil. Autonomous investment could use up cash before deployments generate significant revenue.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Did the Q2 expansion result in improved economics?
Gross bookings totaled $58.02 billion, an increase of 24% as reported and 22% in constant currency. Trips grew by 18% to 3.87 billion, and monthly active consumers increased 16% to 208 million. Revenue advanced 12%, with changes to the business model reducing growth by eight percentage points. Non-GAAP operating income was up 40% at $2.14 billion. Free cash flow increased 13% to $2.79 billion. GAAP earnings per share reached $1.17, with investment revaluations contributing $1.6 billion pre-tax.
How cautious is Uber’s forecast for the third quarter?
Uber’s bookings outlook ranges between $58.25 billion and $60.25 billion, implying constant-currency growth of 18% to 22%. The midpoint of $59.25 billion is close to LSEG’s projection of $59.21 billion. Earnings per share guidance stands at $0.84–$0.88. Reuters put consensus at $0.89; MarketWatch reported $0.87. The extent of the profit miss depends on which comparison is used. Currency effects are expected to trim reported bookings growth by about one percentage point.
What is the current valuation following Friday’s recovery?
Uber finished Friday at $75.02, climbing 6.46%, as the Nasdaq rose 1.3%. The company’s market capitalization is around $154 billion. With about $10.1 billion in trailing free cash flow, this results in a yield of 6.6%. Q2’s $1.6 billion investment gain makes straightforward earnings multiples less directly comparable.
What level of balance-sheet strain does Delivery Hero introduce?
The all-cash bid gives Delivery Hero a valuation of $14.8 billion, or $13.7 billion excluding previous shareholdings. Uber will fund the deal using current cash reserves and new debt, secured by a €14 billion bridge loan. As of the end of June, Uber's cash and short-term assets stood at $5.39 billion, with total debt at $12.72 billion. Share buybacks in the second quarter dropped to $518 million, down from $1.36 billion a year earlier. Management expects to achieve gross leverage under 2x and deliver high-single-digit EPS accretion by the third year post-deal. The transaction is anticipated to close in the second half of 2027, pending regulatory review.
Is there sufficient evidence to support the $10 billion robotaxi initiative?
Uber forecasts autonomous-vehicle investments to top $10 billion in the next few years. Rides using AVs make up less than 0.5% of all trips on the platform. Over 100,000 London residents have registered interest in Wayve. Licensed safety drivers are still present during initial rides. The company states Waymo continues to play a vital role in Austin and Atlanta. Reports about a larger split are still challenged.
Shan Ahmed Khan

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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