UNG sinks as U.S. natural gas hits fresh low; what to watch before Monday

UNG sinks as U.S. natural gas hits fresh low; what to watch before Monday

New York, Jan 10, 2026, 12:47 EST — Market closed

  • UNG tumbled almost 8% Friday after U.S. natural gas futures fell to roughly $3.14.
  • Leveraged gas funds took a sharper hit, dragging down gas-heavy producers as well.
  • Traders are zeroing in on mid-January weather changes and Thursday’s U.S. storage report.

The United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) slid 7.7% on Friday, closing at $10.40, mirroring a steep decline in front-month NYMEX natural gas prices, which dipped to about $3.141 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), reaching a low of $3.131 during the session. Leveraged ProShares ETFs showed bigger moves: BOIL dropped 13.6%, while its inverse counterpart KOLD jumped 13.9%. Gas producers EQT and Coterra both slipped roughly 2%. (MarketWatch)

U.S. markets are closed for the weekend, but the setup remains crucial as natural gas prices move almost like a weather forecast with a cost attached. These wild swings are directly impacting the most popular “gas price” tickers that retail traders follow.

This matters beyond just the immediate market. Natural gas, crucial for heating and power, can drag down shares of gas-heavy producers when the strip weakens—especially as many are already struggling to keep spending in check.

UNG tracks daily percentage changes in Henry Hub-linked natural gas through near-month futures, not the spot market directly, which means sharp moves in the front month can quickly impact the shares. (SEC)

Friday’s drop came after a tough run for the contract, even as traders brushed off a larger-than-expected U.S. storage withdrawal. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a 119 billion cubic feet (Bcf) draw for the week ended Jan. 2. Total working gas was 3,256 Bcf, about 3.6% lower than last year but roughly 1% above the five-year average, according to Sprague Energy. (Sprague Energy)

The price action has felt one-sided at times: cold risks pop up in the models, then quickly vanish, pushing the tape back toward “mild.” That’s the battle set for Monday.

Supply signals offered little relief to bulls. Baker Hughes’ weekly tally revealed U.S. gas rigs fell by one to 124, marking their lowest point since October. At the same time, the total oil-and-gas rig count edged down to 544, according to a Reuters report. (BOE Report)

Eli Rubin at EBW Analytics noted that daily weather-driven demand might hit a short-term low before climbing again over the next week. He pointed to an “increasing consensus” around a “chilly back half of January,” but also cautioned that a rising storage surplus could pressure prices after winter. (Fastbull)

Still, it can blow up fast. A persistent cold snap or any glitch in production during a freeze can send the front month into chaos. Leveraged products only ramp up the swings, for better or worse. If forecasts stay mild and supply remains strong, traders will keep pushing at the big round numbers.

The next key event is Thursday’s U.S. storage report (Jan. 15, 10:30 a.m. ET). It arrives after fresh weather-model updates and might shift the debate over how tight—or loose—late-winter supply balances truly are. (Investing)

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