TTD Stock Today (Nov. 6, 2025): The Trade Desk beats Q3 estimates, guides above Street, adds $500M buyback—but shares slip after hours
6 November 2025
3 mins read

TTD Stock Today (Nov. 6, 2025): The Trade Desk beats Q3 estimates, guides above Street, adds $500M buyback—but shares slip after hours

Date: November 6, 2025

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) reported third‑quarter 2025 results after the bell that topped Wall Street expectations on revenue and adjusted EPS, issued better‑than‑expected Q4 guidance, and unveiled a fresh $500 million share‑repurchase authorization. Despite the beats, the stock traded lower in late action. 1


Quick take

  • Q3 revenue:$739.4M, +18% YoY, above consensus (~$719M).
    Non‑GAAP EPS:$0.45 vs. ~$0.44 expected. GAAP EPS: $0.23. 1
  • Q4 outlook: Revenue at least $840M; Adjusted EBITDA ≈ $375M. 1
  • Capital returns: New $500M buyback; used $310M for repurchases in Q3. 1
  • Stock move (today): As of ~4:57 p.m. ET, TTD $45.90 (-3.8%); regular‑session range $45.59–$47.96. After‑hours trading remained choppy. 2

Market reaction: why shares are down despite a beat

Into the close and in early after‑hours, Trade Desk shares faded even as the company cleared modest top‑ and bottom‑line bars and guided above Street for the holiday quarter. Initial headlines flagged a dip of ~2% in late trading; subsequent prints showed a deeper slide as liquidity thinned after the call, a not‑uncommon pattern for high‑beta ad‑tech names on earnings day. 3

More broadly, risk appetite across tech remains fragile this week, with investors whipsawing on AI‑exposed names and macro jitters—an environment that can amplify post‑earnings volatility. 4


By the numbers (Q3 FY2025)

  • Revenue:$739.4M (vs. $628.0M YoY), +18%. 1
  • GAAP net income:$115.5M (net margin 16%); GAAP diluted EPS:$0.23. 1
  • Non‑GAAP diluted EPS:$0.45; Adjusted EBITDA:$317M (43% margin). 1
  • Cash & equivalents:$653M; Short‑term investments:$792M (end of Q3). 1
  • Customer retention:>95% for the 11th straight year. 1

Stock context (today): Latest trade $45.90; prior close $47.70; open $47.72; day range $45.59–$47.96. 2


Guidance and holiday setup

For Q4—a seasonally pivotal stretch—Trade Desk projected revenue of at least $840M and adjusted EBITDA around $375M, both ahead of typical sell‑side models heading into the report. Management framed demand drivers across connected TV (CTV), retail media and the “open internet,” highlighting new product momentum on its Kokai platform. 1


What changed this quarter

Product & platform updates. The company pointed to several product and ecosystem moves intended to deepen data‑driven buying on the open web:

  • Audience Unlimited (upgrade to the third‑party data marketplace).
  • OpenAds, an open‑source auction initiative to boost transparency for buyers and publishers.
  • A pharma ad marketplace with integrations including IQVIA and Swoop.
  • Koddi integration to bring retail/commerce media formats (with Gopuff as a first retail partner). 1

CTV momentum & partnerships. The release reiterated premium CTV access globally and noted collaborations including OSN (MENA) and DAZN in Europe; it also flagged a plan with DIRECTV to develop a custom version of Ventura TV OS. 1

Leadership. Trade Desk named Anders Mortensen (ex‑Google) as Chief Revenue Officer to scale go‑to‑market execution. 1

Capital returns. After spending $310M repurchasing stock in Q3 and finishing the prior authorization in October, the board approved a new $500M buyback. In total, the company has leaned more heavily into buybacks this year while maintaining a strong balance sheet. 1


How the print stacked up to expectations

Independent tallies show Trade Desk outpaced revenue consensus by ~$20M and inched past adjusted EPS forecasts, even as traders “sold the news” post‑close. Several wire services and market data aggregators pegged consensus revenue near $719M and non‑GAAP EPS at $0.44, levels exceeded by the official release ($739M / $0.45). 5


What to watch next

  1. Holiday ad budgets & CTV share gains. With Q4 guidance above Street, watch for signals that streaming ad dollars continue to shift from linear TV and walled gardens toward Trade Desk’s open‑internet stack. 1
  2. UID2 & data partnerships. Adoption milestones across identity (UID2) and clean‑room integrations (e.g., Treasure Data) could underpin measurement and performance wins. 1
  3. Open auction transparency. Any traction from OpenAds could strengthen the company’s pitch on efficiency and brand safety versus opaque supply paths. 1
  4. Operating discipline. EBITDA margin (43% in Q3) and buyback cadence will be monitored as management balances investment in AI‑driven bidding and data with shareholder returns. 1

Bottom line

Trade Desk delivered a clean beat and a confident holiday guide, pairing it with a larger buyback and commercial hires—but the stock reaction shows how exacting the market remains with ad‑tech. If Q4 plays out in line with management’s view, CTV and retail media tailwinds could help rebuild investor confidence after a volatile year for the shares. 1


Earnings call details (today)

  • Time: 5:00 p.m. ET (2:00 p.m. PT)
  • Access: webcast via Trade Desk IR; replay available after the event. 1

Disclosure: This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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