Applied Materials stock slips premarket after $252 million China export settlement, with earnings hours away

Applied Materials stock slips premarket after $252 million China export settlement, with earnings hours away

New York, Feb 12, 2026, 06:11 EST — Premarket

Shares of Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT.O) slipped nearly 1% ahead of Thursday’s opening bell, following news that U.S. authorities hit the company with an approximately $252 million penalty linked to unlawful exports of chipmaking gear to China.

Shares gave back ground after Wednesday’s 3.29% gain to $339.88. Now traders face the settlement news while looking ahead to quarterly numbers expected after the bell.

Compliance and export licenses are suddenly in sharp focus for chip-tool makers, with China-linked shipments creating potential revenue headaches. Investors have leaned hard on earnings guidance as their compass, yet regulatory costs have a way of muscling into those calculations.

The Commerce Department, in documents out Wednesday, said Applied sent ion implanters—these are tools for doping silicon wafers—to its South Korean facility for assembly, then routed them into China without securing an export license. According to the filings, the shipments ended up at Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) after the company was added to the U.S. “Entity List,” a blacklist curbing exports. The department tallied the value of those unauthorized goods at roughly $126 million, spread over 56 shipments in 2021 and 2022. Reuters

Applied said it will pay $252.5 million to resolve claims that certain shipments to China, made from November 2020 through July 2022, fell short of U.S. Export Administration Regulations—calling it a misunderstanding over the rules. The company added that the Justice Department and SEC wrapped up their own probes, deciding not to take action.

The company has continued to spotlight its long-range pipeline. On Wednesday, it announced that Samsung Electronics is signing on to its planned $5 billion EPIC Center in Silicon Valley. The project focuses on collaborative R&D around advanced node scaling and emerging memory architectures. “The global buildout of AI infrastructure is driving unprecedented demand for energy-efficient chips,” CEO Gary Dickerson said. GlobeNewswire

Applied this week introduced fresh deposition and etch tools, targeting better results for 2-nanometer-class Gate-All-Around transistors—a newer structure aimed at driving greater efficiency as chip dimensions shrink. “The rapid progress of AI is pushing compute performance to the limit,” said Dr. Prabu Raja, who heads the company’s Semiconductor Products Group. GlobeNewswire

Options are pointing to a sizable post-earnings shift—roughly 6% up or down, based on current pricing. Revenue, according to Visible Alpha’s analyst poll, is projected to dip 1% to $6.89 billion, with EPS seen dropping 6% to $2.23, Investopedia noted.

Investors are likely to zero in on how Applied discusses export controls in China, specifically if tougher licensing or more compliance checks are dragging out shipments. Shifts in demand — whether it’s foundry, logic, or memory — could outweigh the noise from just one quarter’s results.

The settlement leaves the core risk in place. Export regulations may shift on short notice, and tighter enforcement could come unexpectedly. If management signals caution, or if China demand shows signs of slowing more sharply than anticipated, shares—now close to their highs—could take a hit.

Applied Materials will release its fiscal first-quarter numbers after the U.S. bell on Thursday, with the earnings call set for 4:30 p.m. ET.

Shan Ahmed Khan

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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