Reddit (NYSE:RDDT) shares surge $4.6 billion on AI deal before firm books licensing revenue

Reddit, Inc. heads into Thursday’s New York premarket with investors looking at the numbers: shares jumped 13.7% Wednesday, closing at $197.42. That move adds about $4.6 billion in equity value, based on MarketBeat’s listed $38.01 billion market cap. In its March-quarter filing, Reddit reported $120.6 million in performance obligations tied mostly to long-term content licensing contracts longer than a year.

New York, July 2, 2026, 05:05 EDT

  • Reddit, Inc. jumped 13.7% to $197.42 on Wednesday. Call option trading was busy, coming in 45% above its usual volume.
  • Shares added about $4.6 billion in market value in one session, based on reported market cap. That’s against $120.6 million in long-term obligations, most from content licensing.
  • Reddit traded at $196.10 ahead of Thursday’s open, according to Google Finance.
  • NYSE stocks will close Friday, July 3, for the Independence Day holiday.

Reddit, Inc. heads into Thursday’s New York premarket with investors looking at the numbers: shares jumped 13.7% Wednesday, closing at $197.42. That move adds about $4.6 billion in equity value, based on MarketBeat’s listed $38.01 billion market cap. In its March-quarter filing, Reddit reported $120.6 million in performance obligations tied mostly to long-term content licensing contracts longer than a year.

The gap matters as the stock is trading on future AI data renewal hopes, not what Reddit has already signed. If the new licensing deals don’t come in higher, investors are just getting a high-priced ad stock growing fast.

MarketBeat and Google Finance listed the most recent trades like this: MarketBeat

MeasureLatest read
Wednesday close$197.42
Wednesday moveup 13.7%
Wednesday volume8.75 million shares
Average volume cited5.23 million shares
Call options bought61,156
Normal call volume cited42,052
Thursday premarket quote$196.10
52-week range$119.27-$282.95

Shares outperformed the internet sector. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.66% on Wednesday, while the S&P 500 was down 0.22%. The semiconductor index slid 6.3%. Meta Platforms jumped 8.8% after reports said it’s working on a cloud unit to sell unused AI compute.

NameJuly 1 moveRead-through for Reddit
Reddit +13.7%Hopes on AI licensing, calls active
Meta Platforms +8.8%AI infra gives more upside
S&P 500-0.22%Overall tape soft
Nasdaq Composite-0.66%Tech names fell
Semiconductor index-6.3%AI chip stocks dropped

Reddit’s filing lays out the numbers. First-quarter revenue came in at $663.4 million, with $624.7 million from ads and $38.7 million from other sources. The company also reported some content licensing and direct-to-user product sales, but said revenue from direct user products didn’t matter much for the reported periods.

MetricQ1 2026Q1 2025Change
Total revenue$663.4 million$392.4 millionup 69%
Advertising revenue$624.7 million$358.6 millionup 74%
Other revenue$38.7 million$33.7 millionup 15%
DAUq126.8 million108.1 millionup 17%
Global ARPU$5.23$3.63up 44%

Steve Huffman, who founded Reddit and runs it as CEO, called Reddit a “one-of-one business” that runs on people and conversation in the April report. He said this set Reddit apart and gave it “a unique advantage in the age of AI.” Reddit Investor Relations

Needham’s Laura Martin, quoted by Blockonomi, kept a Buy rating and a $300 target. She put it simply: “human authentication is a mission-critical layer for LLMs.” Blockonomi

OpenAI said in 2024 it would use Reddit’s Data API to access real-time and structured data, and also become a Reddit advertising partner. Google said it has a Reddit deal as well, giving it Data API access for fresher information, display, training and other uses. Reuters reported in 2024 that Reddit’s arrangement with Google is valued at about $60 million per year.

Reddit says it’s still in the early days with content licensing, calling the market new and noting almost all licensing revenue is tied to just two partners. The company warned those contracts might not get renewed, or could be renewed with worse terms.

As of the dateline, NYSE core trading was still closed. The regular NYSE session is 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. The exchange also marks Friday, July 3, as its 2026 Independence Day holiday.

Reddit put out second-quarter revenue guidance between $715 million and $725 million, and sees adjusted EBITDA at $285 million to $295 million. On Thursday, the focus is tighter: will traders keep paying now when licensing revenue is still small in the filings, with ads carrying the weight? Reddit Investor Relations

Khadija Saeed

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech. Her coverage ranges from stocks and technology to emerging industries and developments across global markets. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and worked in market research before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

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