QuantumScape (NASDAQ:QS) recoups part of recent $600 million loss—70% still outstanding as U.S. trading ends
27 July 2026
2 mins read

QuantumScape (NASDAQ:QS) recoups part of recent $600 million loss—70% still outstanding as U.S. trading ends

NEW YORK, July 27, 2026, 16:06 EDT — The U.S. regular session has ended.

  • The stock ended the session at $5.18, rising 5.9% following a 16.6% decline last week.
  • Monday brought back around $180 million in implied equity value, though approximately 70% of last week’s losses persist.
  • PowerCo’s payment cap dropped by roughly $55.6 million, significantly less than the amount wiped from its market value.

QuantumScape Corporation recovered on Monday following two sessions of losses after its results. Shares of the solid-state battery company ended the day at $5.18, gaining 5.9%.

The key number is the valuation gap yet to be closed. QuantumScape finished the previous week at $4.89, having dropped from $5.86.

QuantumScape (NASDAQ:QS) recoups part of recent $600 million loss—70% still outstanding as U.S. trading ends

With 619.1 million shares outstanding, the drop wiped out approximately $600 million in value. On Monday, the stock’s rebound recovered close to $180 million, about 30% of what was lost.

The weekly drop was close to 11 times greater than the PowerCo payment cut. This suggests a broader reevaluation of timing and execution risk.

ComparisonAmountInvestor reading
July 17 closing price$5.86Weekly reference point
July 24 closing price$4.89Fell 16.6%
July 27 closing price$5.18Rose 5.9% Monday
Last week’s implied value decreaseAbout $600 million10.8 times the reduction in payout
Implied value recovered on MondayAbout $180 millionRecovered about 30%
PowerCo reduction in payment ceilingAbout $55.6 millionDropped from roughly $131 million to $75.4 million

Volkswagen AG’s battery subsidiary, PowerCo, adjusted its program structure earlier this month. Instead of cost reimbursements, payments will now be linked to specific cell-delivery and validation milestones.

The program limit has been set at $75.4 million, factoring in payments that PowerCo has previously made.

Chief Financial Officer Kevin Hettrich stated that decreased project spending is expected to balance the drop in payments. He predicted a “net neutral financial impact in terms of cash.” Investing.com

The rest of the PowerCo payments were not individually specified. The company left its possible $130 million royalty prepayment at the same level. This prepayment continues to depend on achieving technical milestones and finalizing cell format terms.

The stock move reflected more than just the direct cash impact. PowerCo is still the sole partnership QuantumScape holds with a defined goal to bring its technology to market.

Second-quarter results highlight that caution remains warranted. Customer billings stood at $10.8 million, while adjusted EBITDA reflected a $64.2 million loss.

Billings represented approximately 17 cents for every dollar of adjusted EBITDA loss. Management emphasized that billings do not qualify as revenue under U.S. accounting standards.

Despite this, billings for the first half were $21.8 million, topping the total of $19.5 million reported for the whole of 2025. As of June 30, liquidity was $859 million.

QuantumScape reaffirmed its projection for an adjusted EBITDA loss of $250 million to $275 million in 2026. The company reduced its capital expenditure outlook to a range of $27 million to $37 million.

The focus of operations is now on the automated Eagle pilot line. Key equipment is running with more than 90% uptime, and management has set a goal to double cell production in the second half.

Chief Executive Siva Sivaram reaffirmed PowerCo’s output target for 2029. “We have not announced any change from our original plans,” he stated. Investing.com

Wall Street sentiment is cautious. StockAnalysis monitors nine analysts, who maintain a consensus Hold rating and set an average price target of $6.66.

QuantumScape shares rebounded on Monday absent any new regulatory disclosure. The most recent filing from the company was Friday’s quarterly update, with the official calendar showing no scheduled investor event as of market close.

Risks are still elevated. PowerCo payments and the royalty prepayment hinge on achieving technical milestones. QuantumScape has yet to post operating revenue, and production setbacks may impede its commercialization schedule.

How does QuantumScape’s stock currently compare to leading market benchmarks?

Shares of QS finished Monday, July 27, at approximately $5.17, posting a gain of 6%. The QQQ ETF dipped 0.4%, while IWM advanced around 0.6%. Trading volume stood at 33.9 million shares, about 24% higher than the recent average. Nonetheless, QS remains down almost 12% from its July 17 close. The stock trades only slightly above its 52-week low of $4.81. This divergence indicates a shift related to the company itself, rather than an uptick in the broader market. The Wall Street Journal

What has been modified in the PowerCo deal, and why is it significant?

PowerCo’s updated program cap stands at $75.4 million, including previous disbursements. The former agreement permitted up to $130.7 million over two years. Based on these caps, this marks a $55.3 million, or 42%, cut. Following payments of $10.4 million to date, approximately $65 million remains available. Disbursements are now tied to cell delivery, validation, and related milestones. The separate potential $130 million license royalty remains unchanged, though it is still contingent and has not been paid. SEC

Was there an improvement in financial results during the second quarter?

Operating expenses in the second quarter declined 14% from a year earlier to $106.1 million. Net loss reduced to $98.2 million, compared with $114.7 million previously. The loss per share improved to $0.16, from $0.20 in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $64.2 million, similar to the previous quarter. The company’s full-year outlook continues to project an adjusted EBITDA loss of $250 million-$275 million. Guidance for capital expenditures was lowered to a range of $27 million-$37 million from the previous $40 million-$60 million. SEC

How much time does QuantumScape have before it needs to secure additional funding?

QuantumScape reported total liquidity of $859.0 million at the end of June, comprising $132.9 million in cash and $726.1 million in marketable securities. Operating cash usage for the first half was $116.3 million, not including capital expenditures. Capital expenditures amounted to $14.6 million over the same period. A rough annualized estimate of cash burn indicates a runway of about 3.3 years. This is not official management guidance. The company states that it has funding secured for at least the next twelve months. SEC

Is commercial revenue now being generated from customer billings?

QuantumScape posted $10.8 million in customer billings for the second quarter. Combined customer billings for the first half totaled $21.8 million, surpassing the full-year total of $19.5 million for 2025 by almost 12%. Still, customer billings do not count as revenue according to United States accounting standards. The company continues to report no revenue from its operations. The $10.4 million payment from PowerCo was classified as equity, not as sales. SEC

Is Eagle Line demonstrating capability for scalable production?

Core Eagle Line systems are operating at over 90% uptime, management said. Key productivity indicators are on track with internal expectations. Shipments of customer samples have started from the automated pilot line. QuantumScape plans to double cell production in the latter half of 2026. Safety evaluations covered nail penetration, external shorts, and temperature stability up to 300°C, using a small number of comparator cells, with tests not applied to every sample. The company has not disclosed figures for total output, yield, or unit costs. SEC

Does the Honda deal significantly reduce the risk associated with commercialization?

Honda entered a multi-year joint research deal, with the announcement made on June 18. QuantumScape reports that it now has four customers from the world’s top ten automakers. The company also delivered cells to an additional automotive client during the quarter. These actions expand external technical validation for QuantumScape. Details on Honda payments, production levels, and start dates have not been revealed. This agreement does not represent a production award. SEC

Which will generate revenue faster: data centers or defense?

QuantumScape has formed specialized business units targeting the data-center and aerospace-defense sectors. The data-center group is working with original design manufacturers, while the defense division has delivered QSE-5 cells to a large U.S. prime contractor. Details on customers, order amounts, or revenue schedules remain undisclosed. These markets offer strategic flexibility beyond passenger EVs but do not yet provide dependable near-term revenue projections. SEC

What level of concern does dilution from financing activities and stock-based compensation present?

As of July 17, total shares outstanding stood at approximately 619.1 million, roughly 1.9% higher than the figure from December 2025. The weighted-average shares for the second quarter increased nearly 10% compared with a year ago. An additional 47.7 million options and stock awards, equivalent to around 7.7% of current shares prior to vesting, were not included in diluted EPS. There were no ATM proceeds reported in the first half of 2026. However, the 2025 ATM initiative generated $264.2 million from the sale of 29.5 million shares. SEC

Is QS undervalued at this point, or is it at risk from volatility caused by short selling?

QuantumScape is valued at about $3.2 billion with a share price near $5.17. Liquidity for June stands at around 27% of the firm’s market value. The company reported no operating revenue and posted a quarterly loss of $98.2 million. Shares have fallen roughly 73% from a 52-week high of $19.07. As of July 15, short interest was reported at 104.45 million shares, equal to around 21% of the float, marking an 8.1% rise since June’s data. These figures are delayed, and while high short interest points to potential volatility, it does not signal market direction. Investing.com

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global market developments. A graduate of the Poznań University of Economics and Business, he previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. His reporting focuses on technology companies, market trends and the forces shaping global investment markets. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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