AbCellera (NASDAQ:ABCL) jumps 37.5% as hot-flash trial hits all main and secondary goals

AbCellera (NASDAQ:ABCL) jumps 37.5% as hot-flash trial hits all main and secondary goals

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, August 10, 2026, 14:21 EDT — Trading on U.S. stock exchanges was still underway.

  • AbCellera stock rose 37.5% to $9.53 as of 13:58 EDT.
  • After receiving a single dose of ABCL635, hot-flash frequency decreased by 83%, while those given placebo saw a 33% decline.
  • The rise in share price raised market capitalization by about $797 million.

Shares of AbCellera Biologics Inc. jumped 37.5% after the company announced its menopause therapy met both primary endpoints in a Phase 2 study. The stock was last trading at $9.53 at 13:58 EDT, having earlier reached a session high of $10.01.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:ABCL

Market reaction saw investors assign notable value to one early-stage asset. With shares rising $2.60 each and 306.61 million shares outstanding, the increase equates to around $797 million—18% above AbCellera’s declared liquidity floor of over $675 million.

Market and balance-sheet metricLatest valueInvestor context
Share price at 13:58 EDT$9.53Up $2.60, or 37.52%
Intraday high$10.01Set a new 52-week high
Market capitalization$2.94 billionRoughly 4.4 times the minimum liquidity threshold
Trading volume38.47 millionApproximately 6.0 times its average volume
Calculated value added$797.2 million$2.60 gain multiplied by 306.61 million shares
Available liquidityMore than $675 millionAccording to company disclosure as of June 30

Market data and share figures are provided by Google Finance’s intraday service. AbCellera reported on August 5 that its available liquidity exceeded $675 million. For the second quarter, the company posted a net loss of $55.4 million and reported revenue of $4.1 million.

The study included 92 postmenopausal women, all experiencing around 10 moderate to severe hot flashes daily on average. Half of the participants, 46 women, received a one-time 600 mg subcutaneous injection, and the other 46 were administered a placebo.

Week-four Phase 2 measureABCL635PlaceboPlacebo-adjusted result
Daily event reduction8.83.55.3; p<0.001
Frequency reduction83%33%50 percentage points
Severity score reduction58%12%46 percentage points; p<0.001
Symptoms rated much or moderately improved84%27%57 percentage points
Adverse event (any)67.4%52.2%14.2 percentage points higher
Serious or grade 3-plus adverse event0One serious; two grade 3Top-line, four-week data

Both primary endpoints achieved statistical significance. According to the company’s SEC presentation, benefits began to appear in the first week and persisted through week four. Sleep scores also increased by 5.5 points over placebo.

BMO Capital Markets analyst Evan Seigerman, from Bank of Montreal , called the result “transformational,” Reuters reported. The assessment relies on Seigerman’s forecast, not on head-to-head data or results from a final-stage trial. Reuters

Dr. JoAnn V. Pinkerton of the University of Virginia highlighted an important point. “If validated in Phase 3, ABCL635 could offer a new treatment option with a more convenient dosing regimen and potentially less toxicity.” SEC Exhibit 99.1

User convenience is part of the investment case. ABCL635 demonstrated effects persisting for four weeks after just one injection. Astellas Pharma Inc. (TYO:4503) sells Veozah as a 45 mg pill taken daily. Bayer AG’s (ETR:BAYN) Lynkuet is administered as a 120 mg tablet per day.

These comparisons are drawn from separate trials, not from direct head-to-head studies. The trials differed in terms of their populations, trial phases, and study protocols. AbCellera has also warned that making such comparisons could be misleading.

Stifel Financial Corp. analyst Stephen Willey previously assigned a $9 price target for the stock—below its afternoon trading value. Willey set this target before the announcement of the Phase 2 results.

Preliminary safety data did not provide definitive results. No serious or severe adverse events occurred among participants administered ABCL635. Headaches were observed in 28.2% of the ABCL635 group, versus 13.0% among those receiving placebo. One participant in the treatment arm experienced a mild rise in liver enzyme levels, which normalized in less than a week. The duration of treatment exposure was four weeks.

Analyst and firmLatest actionRatingPrice target
Srikripa Devarakonda, Truist Financial Reaffirmed Aug. 10BuyNot listed
Allison Bratzel, Piper Sandler Reiterated Aug. 7Buy$12
Steven Seedhouse, Cantor FitzgeraldReconfirmed Aug. 5Buy$12
Stephen Willey, Stifel Financial Reiterated Aug. 6Buy$9
Brendan Smith, TD Cowen, part of Toronto-Dominion Bank Maintained Aug. 5BuyNot listed
Debanjana Chatterjee, JonesTradingReiterated July 29Buy$13
Evan Seigerman, BMO Capital Markets, part of Bank of Montreal Reiterated June 17Buy$7

All analysts tracked by Google Finance assigned a Buy rating to the stock. The average price target was $10.60, reflecting an 11.2% upside from the present $9.53 level. Price targets, which range from $7 to $13, reflect a wide range of opinions regarding the firm’s clinical outlook.

Risks: These results are based on preliminary figures from 92 patients after four weeks of double-blind observation. Efficacy could be weaker in Phase 3, new safety concerns could arise, or dosing could prove less convenient. Regulatory reviews may take longer, and higher late-stage costs could lower the current perceived value of the program.

The full 12-week follow-up assessment is upcoming. AbCellera is arranging regulatory discussions regarding late-stage development, and intends to disclose more findings at medical conferences later this year. These disclosures are necessary to support the durability already factored into the share price.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What caused AbCellera shares to increase on August 10?
ABCL635 achieved both main goals in its Phase 2 trial following a single 600 mg dose. Shares were priced at $9.53 at 13:58 EDT, rising 37.5%, as the menopause program attracted greater investor interest.
What were the findings of the ABCL635 trial?
By the end of week four, ABCL635 reduced moderate-to-severe hot-flash frequency by 83%, compared to a 33% reduction with placebo. Severity dropped by 58% with ABCL635, versus 12% for placebo. Both main comparisons showed statistical significance at p<0.001.
What significance does the single-dose outcome hold?
A single injection provided an effect lasting four weeks, suggesting the potential for less frequent dosing compared to currently approved daily tablets. However, this is still a preliminary comparison. ABCL635 has yet to finish Phase 3 trials, and no direct comparison with approved treatments has been carried out.
Does AbCellera possess sufficient cash to move the program forward?
As of June 30, AbCellera reported having over $675 million in available liquidity. The company reported a loss of $55.4 million for the second quarter. Advancing to Phase 3 development is expected to raise expenditures, making the specifics and timing of the trial significant factors.
What key risks follow the rally?
The data includes 92 patients observed over four weeks in a blinded follow-up. Extended use may show reduced durability or bring to light additional adverse events. Regulators could also seek larger or longer trials than investors anticipate.
What factors should investors monitor going forward?
Full 12-week follow-up data is the next milestone, with subsequent input from regulators on final-stage development. Later this year, medical conference results will indicate if the initial benefit continues over time.
Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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