Ford Shares Edge Down 0.5% as $4 Billion EV Deficit Challenges $11 Billion Profit Target

Ford Shares Edge Down 0.5% as $4 Billion EV Deficit Challenges $11 Billion Profit Target

DEARBORN, Michigan, August 30, 2026, 15:58 (ET)

  • Ford ended Friday’s session at $13.88, slipping 0.5%, with 40.25 million shares changing hands.
  • The company increased its forecast for adjusted EBIT in 2026 to a range of $10 billion–$11 billion.
  • The company’s EV and software division posted a loss of $919 million during the second quarter.
  • Analysts expect 2026 EPS at $1.85 with a consensus price target of $15.81.

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) declined by 0.5% on Friday, even as it raised its profit forecast. The stock ended the session at $13.88, with trading volume reaching 75% of its 65-day average MarketWatch.

Stock chart for NYSE:F

The slight change conceals a more significant challenge in capital allocation. Ford’s $919 million loss from its EV and software unit took up 37% of its adjusted operating profit for the quarter.

This matters to Ford, as the company now forecasts 2026 adjusted EBIT to fall between $10 billion and $11 billion. An annual loss of around $4 billion in its EV division would account for 36% to 40% of that total.

Ford metricLatest readingInvestor read
Q2 revenue$48.3 billion; down 3.8%Higher pricing made up for weaker volumes
Q2 adjusted EBIT$2.5 billion; up nearly 20%Core brands posted profits
Q2 adjusted EPS$0.42 vs. $0.35 estimate20% above consensus
EV/software loss$919 millionAccounts for 37% of adjusted EBIT
2026 adjusted EBIT guide$10 billion–$11 billionLifted from $8.5 billion–$10.5 billion

Adjusted EBIT for the second quarter climbed nearly 20% to $2.5 billion. Adjusted earnings reached $0.42 per share, surpassing the LSEG forecast of $0.35 Reuters.

Ford’s revenue dropped 3.8% to $48.3 billion. The company posted a GAAP loss of $1.3 billion following a $3.6 billion charge related to its battery venture.

Demand continues to fluctuate. Ford’s U.S. vehicle sales declined by 9.6% in the first half, with electric-vehicle sales plunging 57.4%.

The company intends to introduce a $30,000 electric pickup truck from Kentucky in 2027. The launch aims to boost EV utilization rates while maintaining both pricing and cash flow.

The stock trades at a modest headline multiple, with Friday’s closing price representing 7.5 times the consensus 2026 earnings forecast of $1.85.

The consensus price target from analysts stands at $15.81, pointing to a potential upside of 13.9%. The ratings are broken down into seven Buys, 13 Holds, and three recommendations on the cautious side.

Management’s outlook takes into account net tariff expenses just under $1 billion. As a result, trucks and commercial vehicles are required to support costs linked to trade tensions and the shift to electric vehicles.

Risks: Margins could benefit from improved pricing, reduced battery expenses or quicker EV adoption. On the other hand, softer U.S. demand, tariffs or postponed launches may eliminate the valuation discount.

Ford is set to release its third-quarter results on October 28, marking its next key test. Investors are watching closely for proof that the updated guidance will lead to steady cash flow Ford investor relations.

Ford investor dashboard

The cheap multiple depends on containing EV losses.

Market snapshot: Aug. 28, 2026, 4:00 p.m. ET
Close
$13.88
−0.50% Friday
Volume
40.25M
75% of 65-day average
Market value
$55.34B
Aug. 28 close
2026 P/E
7.5×
$1.85 consensus EPS

Profit bridge

MeasureLatestSignal
Q2 revenue$48.3B−3.8% YoY
Adjusted EBIT$2.5B~+20% YoY
Adjusted EPS$0.4220% beat
EV/software EBIT−$919M37% of total EBIT
2026 EBIT guide$10B–$11BRaised

Valuation and expectations

Average target$15.81
Implied upside13.9%
FY2027 EPS$1.96
52-week range$11.11–$17.78
Next reportOct. 28, 2026
Target progress

What moved attention

Ford raised 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance after a 20% earnings beat. Friday’s subdued trading shows investors are still discounting the durability of that profit.

The key burden: a roughly $4 billion annual EV loss equals 36%–40% of guided company EBIT.

Next checkpoints

Tariff cost<$1B expected
EV launch$30K pickup, 2027
U.S. sales−9.6% H1
U.S. EV sales−57.4% H1
Price, volume, consensus and target: MarketWatch/market data, Aug. 28–30, 2026. Q2 results and guidance: Ford and Reuters, July 28, 2026. Figures may be delayed; estimates can change.
Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and semiconductors to AI and the broader global markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and worked in investment analysis before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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