Apple Overtakes Nvidia as Markets Reward Capital Discipline
28 July 2026
1 min read

Apple Overtakes Nvidia as Markets Reward Capital Discipline

NEW YORK, July 28, 2026, 07:22 EDT

U.S. core equity trading had not opened before Tuesday’s 9:30 a.m. start. Apple Inc. entered the session as the world’s largest listed company. Its shares closed Monday at a record $336.91, up 1.2%.

Nvidia Corp. fell 5.1% to $196.51. Market-cap estimates placed Apple near $4.93 trillion to $4.96 trillion. Nvidia stood around $4.78 trillion to $4.79 trillion. The difference was roughly $150 billion to $170 billion.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:AAPL

The gap looks like a capital-efficiency premium, not faster current growth. Apple traded at 40.8 times trailing earnings. Nvidia traded at 29.9 times. Apple’s multiple was therefore about 36% higher.

The growth comparison runs the other way. Apple’s latest quarterly revenue rose 17% from a year earlier. Nvidia’s latest quarterly revenue jumped 85%.

Apple spent $4.34 billion on property and equipment over six months. That equaled 1.7% of sales and fell 28% year-on-year. Operating cash flow exceeded that spending by $78.3 billion.

Nvidia is also capital-light on its own balance sheet. Its latest equipment and intangible spending equaled 2.2% of quarterly revenue. However, data centers supplied 92% of total sales. Its growth remains tied closely to customers’ infrastructure budgets.

“Once criticized for not spending more on AI,” Apple avoided some capital-spending pitfalls, said Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets. Yahoo Finance

Alphabet Inc. illustrates those pressures. It raised 2026 capital-spending guidance to $195 billion-$205 billion. The company also reported $5.9 billion of negative quarterly free cash flow. Its shares fell roughly 3% after the update.

Investor measureAppleNvidia
Monday share price$336.91$196.51
Monday share move+1.2%-5.1%
Market value estimate$4.93T-$4.96T$4.78T-$4.79T
Trailing price-to-earnings ratio40.8 times29.9 times
Latest quarterly revenue growth17%85%
Cash investment relative to revenue1.7%2.2%
Data-center share of revenueNot reported92%

Apple’s measure covers six months through March 28. Nvidia’s covers the quarter through April 26 and includes intangible purchases. The periods and definitions are not directly comparable.

Both businesses remain strongly cash-generative. Yet investors now assign Apple the richer earnings multiple. Durability is outranking growth. For now.

Apple’s March-quarter revenue reached $111.2 billion. Diluted earnings rose 22% to $2.01 per share. iPhone revenue increased 22%, while Services advanced 16%.

Chief Financial Officer Kevan Parekh said Apple generated “over $28 billion in operating cash flow.” The board also authorized another $100 billion share-repurchase program. Apple

Thursday, July 30, brings the next test. Preliminary consensus estimates vary by provider. One recent compilation forecasts $108.9 billion of revenue and earnings of $1.89 per share. That implies roughly 16% sales growth and 20% earnings growth. Apple’s conference call begins at 5 p.m. EDT.

Risks: Apple’s valuation leaves little room for softer guidance. Barron’s cited analyst Brandon Nispel’s Underweight rating and roughly 26% downside estimate. His concerns include iPhone demand, pricing and weaker Services activity. That remains one bearish view, not consensus.

Apple’s market crown is therefore a wager on disciplined spending and durable cash flow. Thursday’s numbers will show whether earnings can carry that premium.

What was AAPL’s closing level, and how near is it to reaching $5 trillion?

Apple ended Monday’s session at $336.91, rising 1.17%. The stock reached an all-time intraday peak of $339.57 before pulling back. Reuters Apple’s closing market capitalization stood at about $4.95 trillion, ahead of Nvidia’s $4.76 trillion. If Apple were to finish near $340.43, its value would sit close to $5 trillion. The difference between the two companies is just 1%. The Wall Street Journal

Which figures does Apple have to surpass on Thursday?

Apple is set to announce fiscal third-quarter results on Thursday, July 30. The earnings call is scheduled to begin at 5 p.m. Eastern. Apple Analysts project revenue of approximately $108.9 billion and diluted EPS of $1.89. AppleInsider This points to annual increases of about 16% in revenue and 20% in EPS. In the same period a year ago, Apple reported $94.0 billion in revenue and $1.57 in EPS. Apple With high expectations already in place, a standard beat could fall short.

Which business segments will be key in judging if earnings appear robust?

Visible Alpha forecasts iPhone revenue at approximately $53.0 billion, accounting for nearly half of total sales. Services revenue is estimated at $31.4 billion, representing close to 29% of the total. The gross margin for Services tops 70%, compared with about 37% for Products. Combined, these segments comprise about 78% of expected revenue for the quarter. Performance in Services could have a greater impact than its revenue share indicates. S&P Global

Is Apple able to maintain its recent momentum in iPhone sales and growth in China?

iPhone revenue increased by 22% to $56.99 billion in the March quarter. Revenue from Greater China rose 28% to $20.50 billion. According to Apple, increased sales of Pro models were a key factor behind the iPhone revenue growth. Securities and Exchange Commission Analysts’ consensus for the June quarter forecasts iPhone revenue at $53.0 billion. S&P Global Revenue alone does not delineate between increases from unit sales, pricing, or product mix. A significant revenue miss could challenge assumptions about the ongoing upgrade cycle.

Are rising memory prices likely to put pressure on Apple’s profit margins?

Apple forecast a June-quarter gross margin of 47.5%-48.5%, down from March’s 49.3%. AppleInsider The company increased Mac and iPad prices in June amid rising memory costs, lifting the MacBook Neo by $100 and the MacBook Air by $200. Reuters While higher pricing is expected to support revenue per device, the effect on demand is uncertain. September-quarter margin guidance could prove more significant than a marginal EPS outperformance.

Is Apple’s approach to AI turning into a quantifiable driver for financial performance?

Apple opened new Siri AI features for developer trials from June 8, with some server-side functions subject to usage caps and extra availability offered via iCloud+ subscriptions. The financial effects remain undetermined for shareholders. Apple Capital expenditure remains flat, and investment in AI infrastructure stays relatively modest, according to Visible Alpha. S&P Global Deployment across the European Union is postponed under Digital Markets Act regulations. Commercial results are so far unproven. Apple

Has AAPL become overpriced following its historic surge?

Apple closed Monday with a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of around 40.8. Based on FactSet’s projected 2027 fiscal-year EPS of $9.69, the forward P/E stands at 34.8. The average price target from FactSet is $325.41, which trails the current share price at $336.91. Analysts’ targets range from $240 to $400, marking a broad spread. The Wall Street Journal This valuation offers little buffer for routine guidance.

What is the level of support provided by dividends and buybacks?

Apple approved a new $100 billion share buyback program in April, representing about 2% of its present market capitalisation. Apple The company spent $11.0 billion on share repurchases in the March quarter. It lifted its quarterly dividend to $0.27 a share. Securities and Exchange Commission The dividend yield stands at just about 0.32% based on a $336.91 share price. Buybacks are more significant, though the authorisation does not require a set amount to be spent.

Is Apple’s investment outlook likely to shift with the upcoming CEO transition?

John Ternus will take over as CEO on September 1, with Tim Cook moving into the role of executive chairman. Apple Thursday’s call is expected to be Cook’s last as CEO. Investors are likely to look for guidance for the September quarter before the leadership changes. Attention will also be on whether Ternus hints at increased AI or product spending. While the transition is scheduled, the execution risk remains difficult to measure.

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and emerging industries. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and previously worked in market research before moving into financial journalism. Her coverage focuses on the companies, innovations and economic trends influencing global investors. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

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