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Canadian Economy News 21 December 2025 - 21 January 2026

Trump’s Greenland tariff threat hits TSX as Canadian stocks slide and inflation keeps BoC in focus

Trump’s Greenland tariff threat hits TSX as Canadian stocks slide and inflation keeps BoC in focus

Canadian and U.S. stocks dropped sharply Tuesday after new U.S. tariff threats linked to Greenland and global bond market jitters. The S&P/TSX Composite fell 1%, its worst day in two months, led by a 4% slide in technology shares. Gold jumped as investors sought safety. The Canadian dollar gained, trading near 1.3865 per U.S. dollar, after inflation data and currency moves.
Constellation Software resets CSU.DB debenture rate to 8.6% as Canada’s inflation cools

Constellation Software resets CSU.DB debenture rate to 8.6% as Canada’s inflation cools

Constellation Software will cut the interest rate on its Series 1 debentures to 8.6% from 8.9% effective March 31, 2026. The new rate reflects Canada’s 2025 annual-average CPI increase of 2.1% plus a fixed 6.5% spread. Statistics Canada reported the CPI figure earlier this month. The current 8.9% rate remains in place until March 30.
Canada debt survey: 71% expect cost of living to worsen in 2026, MNP index shows

Canada debt survey: 71% expect cost of living to worsen in 2026, MNP index shows

Seventy-one percent of Canadians expect the cost of living to worsen in 2026, according to MNP’s Consumer Debt Index. Forty-one percent are just $200 away from missing bill payments. In Atlantic Canada, 61% foresee greater housing pressures, but few seek professional help. Many are cutting expenses, while about a third avoid addressing financial issues.
CRA locks in the 2026 TFSA limit at C$7,000 — and warns your room number may be wrong for months

CRA locks in the 2026 TFSA limit at C$7,000 — and warns your room number may be wrong for months

The Canada Revenue Agency set the 2026 TFSA contribution limit at C$7,000 and warned that 2025 records won’t be updated until April. Early deposits may risk over-contribution penalties if savers miscalculate their available room. Investors are favoring low-cost funds and dividend stocks such as Fortis and Bank of Montreal, both offering yields above 3%.
Gas prices jump again in Canada’s Maritimes: What drivers in Halifax, N.B. and P.E.I. paid overnight

Gas prices jump again in Canada’s Maritimes: What drivers in Halifax, N.B. and P.E.I. paid overnight

HALIFAX, Nova Scotia, Jan 16, 2026, 19:14 AST Gasoline and diesel prices climbed Friday in Canada’s Maritime provinces, pushing up pump costs in Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward Island following an overnight adjustment by regulators. In Halifax, the price of regular self-serve gasoline jumped 4.9 cents at midnight, hitting 132.4 cents per litre. Diesel saw an even bigger rise, up 5.7 cents to 160.1 cents per litre. CityNews Halifax The spike is crucial now since the region’s weekly pricing system quickly feeds changes through, affecting commuters and small businesses almost right away. In Nova Scotia, prices had stayed
17 January 2026
BCE price target shake-up: RBC lifts to C$38 as Scotiabank, Desjardins trim theirs

BCE price target shake-up: RBC lifts to C$38 as Scotiabank, Desjardins trim theirs

Toronto, Jan 15, 2026, 10:58 EST RBC Capital Markets bumped up its price target on BCE Inc to C$38 from C$37 on Tuesday, maintaining its Outperform rating. The upgrade reflects expectations for a boost in operating growth next year. BCE shares were trading near C$33.6 on the Toronto Stock Exchange Thursday morning. https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/bce-stock-price-target-raised-to-c38-from-c37-at-rbc-capital-93CH-4444905 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BCE:TSE BCE’s three-year forecast has become the linchpin of the story: growth either bounces back in 2026, or the stock remains stuck at a low valuation. In Canada, many investors still see BCE as a reliable dividend play, so any change in cash-flow expectations spreads quickly. Targets
Debt worries rise: MNP survey says most Canadians expect higher costs and weaker economy in 2026

Debt worries rise: MNP survey says most Canadians expect higher costs and weaker economy in 2026

TORONTO, Jan 13, 2026, 07:16 EST Most Canadians are bracing for a tougher cost of living in 2026, according to a quarterly survey from insolvency firm MNP Ltd. Released Monday, the poll revealed that 71% expect living expenses to rise, while 59% anticipate the overall economy will take a hit this year. Concerns about housing are also mounting. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/12/3216872/0/en/MNP-Consumer-Debt-Index-Canadians-Brace-for-Challenging-2026.html The snapshot is crucial now as households enter the year still wary of borrowing costs, following a series of rate changes that altered mortgage and credit payments. In December, the Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate target steady at 2.25%,
RBC stock: What to know before markets reopen after Canada’s jobs report

RBC stock: What to know before markets reopen after Canada’s jobs report

Toronto, Jan 11, 2026, 15:11 EST — The market has closed. Shares of Royal Bank of Canada (RY.TO) finished Friday at C$235.52, edging up 0.2%. Across the border in New York, RBC’s stock (RY) slipped 0.2% to close at $169.19, ahead of Monday’s trading session. (FinancialContent) RBC shares remain closely tied to moves in interest rates. Shifts in bond yields and central bank policies typically drive bank stocks, since they affect lenders’ margins between loan earnings and deposit costs. Canada added 8,200 jobs in December, but the unemployment rate ticked up to 6.8% as more people entered the labor force,
RBC stock: Eurasia Group pact and Canada jobs put two dates on investors’ radar

RBC stock: Eurasia Group pact and Canada jobs put two dates on investors’ radar

Toronto, Jan 10, 2026, 15:29 EST — Market closed. Royal Bank of Canada announced plans to launch a three-year strategic partnership with political risk consultancy Eurasia Group starting in 2026. On Friday, RBC’s U.S. shares slipped 0.2% to close at $169.19, while its Toronto-listed stock edged up 0.2% to C$235.52. (Fidelity Fixed Income) The deal comes as officials and companies gear up for the initial six-year joint review of the USMCA, the North American trade agreement, set for July 1, 2026. Trade policy is creeping back into market pricing, and cross-border lenders are once again fielding questions about the fallout
Canada’s 2026 TFSA limit is $7,000 as tax brackets rise: key CRA dates ahead

Canada’s 2026 TFSA limit is $7,000 as tax brackets rise: key CRA dates ahead

NEW YORK, December 30, 2025, 11:34 ET Canada’s federal income tax brackets for 2026 will rise 2% with inflation and the lowest federal rate will be 14%, Canada Revenue Agency payroll tables show. The first bracket runs to C$58,523 and the top threshold begins at C$258,482, the tables show. Canada Why it matters now: employers set January payroll withholdings in days, and households are already lining up their first-quarter cash flows and registered-account contributions. The new year also brings a fresh set of deadlines for the 2025 tax season. Missing a filing date or misreading contribution room can quickly turn
Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) Weekend Briefing: Canadian Stocks Head Into the Final 2025 Sessions Near Record Highs as Gold and Silver Smash Records

Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) Weekend Briefing: Canadian Stocks Head Into the Final 2025 Sessions Near Record Highs as Gold and Silver Smash Records

NEW YORK, Dec. 27, 2025, 8:35 a.m. ET — Market closed The Toronto Stock Exchange is shut for the weekend, and Canadian equities are effectively in “pause mode” after a holiday-shortened stretch that left the benchmark S&P/TSX Composite hovering just below a psychological milestone: 32,000. That “quiet” headline hides a louder reality. The last full trading pulse from Toronto came in a thin, early-closing Christmas Eve session—and since then, the global market narrative has been dominated by two forces TSX investors obsess over for good reason: commodities and rates. With trading set to resume Monday, Dec. 29, Canadian investors are
Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) Today: S&P/TSX Composite Hits a Record High, Holiday Trading Hours, and 2026 Forecasts — Dec. 21, 2025

Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) Today: S&P/TSX Composite Hits a Record High, Holiday Trading Hours, and 2026 Forecasts — Dec. 21, 2025

TORONTO — Bay Street is heading into the Christmas-shortened trading week with the kind of momentum that makes both optimists and risk managers feel uncomfortably alive. On Friday, Canada’s benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index closed at 31,755.77, up 1% on the day, in heavy volume—a fresh record close that capped a choppy but ultimately positive pre-holiday stretch. The index finished the week up 0.7%, and it has gained 28.4% year-to-date, putting 2025 on track for its biggest annual advance since 2009. Reuters As of Sunday, Dec. 21, 2025, that backdrop sets up a very TSX-flavored storyline: commodities and financials remain the
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Stock Market Today

GSK share price set for Monday watch after EU clears Nucala COPD use

GSK share price set for Monday watch after EU clears Nucala COPD use

7 February 2026
GSK shares closed Friday up 0.83% at a 52-week high after the EU approved Nucala for certain uncontrolled COPD patients. Insider filings showed chairman Jonathan Symonds bought 2,500 shares while executive David Redfern sold 100,000. The FTSE 100 rose 0.6%. Broker ratings on GSK remained mixed.
Aye Finance IPO: Rs 454-crore anchor haul follows valuation cut below last round

Aye Finance IPO: Rs 454-crore anchor haul follows valuation cut below last round

7 February 2026
Aye Finance raised Rs 454.5 crore from 19 anchor investors ahead of its Feb 9 IPO, pricing shares at the top of a Rs 122–129 range. The company’s profit fell 40% to Rs 64.3 crore in the six months to September as bad loans rose to 4.85%. The IPO values Aye at about Rs 3,200 crore, below its last private round. Major investors include Nippon Life India and Goldman Sachs funds.
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