2027 Social Security COLA: June CPI Drop Dims Odds for 3.8% Hike
June’s steep drop in inflation offered some relief to bond and stock investors, but it also put a 3.8% Social Security COLA for 2027 out of easier reach. The CPI-W index, which feeds into the benefit calculation, dropped 0.5% for the month to 327.075. If that level holds through Q3, the COLA would be closer to 3.1% than to 3.8%. The difference is what matters now.