US Stock Market Forecast for December 2025: S&P 500 Outlook After the Fed Cut, Delayed Jobs & CPI Data, and the Santa Rally Question
The S&P 500 closed at a record 6,901.00 on Thursday, Dec. 11, then fell 1.07% to 6,827.41 on Friday as Treasury yields jumped and investors reassessed AI-linked stocks. The Nasdaq dropped 1.69% to 23,195.17 and the Dow slipped 0.51% to 48,458.05. The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter point to 3.50%–3.75% but signaled a likely pause, with a divided 9–3 vote.