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Federal Reserve 1 December 2025 - 3 December 2025

December 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets, AI Jitters and Fresh Opportunities for Investors

December 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets, AI Jitters and Fresh Opportunities for Investors

U.S. stocks rose Wednesday, with the Dow near 48,000, up about 1%, as weaker economic data and lower bond yields fueled bets on a December Fed rate cut. Small-cap stocks outperformed major indexes. Bitcoin rebounded to $93,000, gold traded near $4,245 an ounce, and oil hovered around $59 per barrel. The VIX held near 16, indicating calm in options markets.
3 December 2025
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Gold Holds Above $4,200 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Surge; Silver Hits Record High Near $59 on Supply Squeeze

Gold Holds Above $4,200 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Surge; Silver Hits Record High Near $59 on Supply Squeeze

Silver hit a record $58.98 an ounce Wednesday, up over 100% in 2025, as investors bet on a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Gold traded above $4,200, near its all-time high, with futures settling around $4,230 in New York. CME FedWatch shows a 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Copper also set a new record in London trading.
3 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Near Record High as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Near Record High as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US stocks hovered near record highs Wednesday as the S&P 500 edged up 0.05%, the Dow gained 0.43%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.12% late in the session. ADP reported private payrolls fell by 32,000 in November, the largest drop since 2023. The ISM Services PMI stayed in expansion at 52.6. Rate-cut odds for next week’s Fed meeting rose to 89%.
3 December 2025
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NYSE Today: Dow Climbs, S&P 500 Near Record as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Cut Bets (Dec. 3, 2025)

NYSE Today: Dow Climbs, S&P 500 Near Record as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Cut Bets (Dec. 3, 2025)

The Dow rose 0.5% to 47,717 and the S&P 500 edged up 0.2% to 6,842, both near record highs, while the Nasdaq closed flat at 23,400. ADP reported U.S. private-sector payrolls fell by 32,000 in November, missing expectations. Treasury yields and the dollar slipped as traders bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Big tech lagged, with Microsoft under pressure.
3 December 2025
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US Economy News Today, December 3, 2025: Fed Cut Bets, Weaker Dollar, Data Deluge and Shutdown Fallout

US Economy News Today, December 3, 2025: Fed Cut Bets, Weaker Dollar, Data Deluge and Shutdown Fallout

U.S. markets are rising as traders bet the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its December 9–10 meeting, despite inflation holding near 3% and growth slowing. The dollar is on track for a ninth straight daily decline, while Treasury yields have eased. Kevin Hassett is seen as the frontrunner to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair next May. The recent 43-day government shutdown furloughed 670,000 federal workers and delayed nearly $14 billion in pay.
3 December 2025
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Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Donald Trump said he has decided who will succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, with an announcement expected early next year. Trump repeatedly singled out Kevin Hassett at a White House event, prompting betting markets to give Hassett 75–85% odds for the job. Christopher Waller remains the main alternative. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent led interviews with five finalists.
3 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

U.S. stocks rose by early afternoon Tuesday, with the Dow up about 170 points and the Nasdaq near a three-week high as Bitcoin rebounded above $91,000. Tech and chip shares led gains, while most other sectors lagged. Investors increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, with futures markets pricing in an 87% chance. Equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes underperformed, highlighting narrow market leadership.
2 December 2025
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Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 0.3% by late morning Tuesday, recovering part of Monday’s 427-point drop. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also gained as tech and crypto-linked stocks rebounded. Bitcoin climbed back near $89,000 after plunging below $85,000 the day before. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar remained stable.
2 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

U.S. stocks opened higher Tuesday after Monday’s sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 up 0.3%, the Dow rising 0.1%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.6%. Calmer bond markets and a rebound in bitcoin, which recovered toward $89,000, supported the move. Investors showed renewed confidence ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Major indexes hovered near record highs reached in late October.
2 December 2025
Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The Federal Reserve ended its balance-sheet tightening on December 1, 2025, halting reductions to its securities portfolio. Markets now price in a nearly 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Internal divisions have surfaced within the FOMC, with up to five members reportedly skeptical of further cuts. Regulators released a new banking system assessment as Vice Chair Bowman described banks as “sound and resilient.”
2 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

The Federal Reserve ended its quantitative tightening program on December 1, after more than $2.2 trillion in securities runoff. Futures markets now price in an 85–88% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75%–4.00%. At least five of 12 voting members oppose further cuts, signaling deep divisions.
2 December 2025
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Kevin Hassett Emerges as Trump’s Frontrunner to Replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair — What a Dovish Pick Could Mean for Markets

Kevin Hassett Emerges as Trump’s Frontrunner to Replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair — What a Dovish Pick Could Mean for Markets

President Trump said he has chosen Jerome Powell’s successor as Federal Reserve chair and will announce the pick before Christmas. Betting markets and bank analysts now see Kevin Hassett as the clear frontrunner, with odds above 70%. Major banks have shifted rate forecasts, expecting earlier cuts. Trump has not confirmed the nominee’s name.
2 December 2025
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Stock Market Today: Dow Drops 296 Points as Bitcoin Slumps and Fed Jitters Hit Wall Street

Stock Market Today: Dow Drops 296 Points as Bitcoin Slumps and Fed Jitters Hit Wall Street

The Dow fell 296 points to 47,420.77 Monday as the S&P 500 lost 0.34% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.29%. The ISM Manufacturing PMI slid to 48.2, marking a ninth month of contraction. Bitcoin tumbled 7%, dragging crypto stocks lower. Futures markets still price in a December Fed rate cut despite rising dissent within the Fed.
1 December 2025
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SPY Stock Outlook Today: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Starts December 2025 in the Red as Santa Rally Hopes Meet Fed Jitters

SPY Stock Outlook Today: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Starts December 2025 in the Red as Santa Rally Hopes Meet Fed Jitters

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) traded around $680.69 late Monday morning, down about 0.4% from Friday’s $683.39 close, mirroring a broader U.S. market pullback. SPY remains within a few dollars of its all-time high of $689.70, with year-to-date total return near 17%. Investors are watching for economic data and a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell later this month.
1 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today (Dec. 1, 2025): Wall Street Slips as Bitcoin Tumbles and Fed Jitters Build

US Stock Market Today (Dec. 1, 2025): Wall Street Slips as Bitcoin Tumbles and Fed Jitters Build

U.S. stocks fell Monday, with the Dow near 47,500 and the S&P 500 below 6,840, both down about 0.3%–0.5% as investors reacted to weak manufacturing data, a Bitcoin selloff, and rising bond yields. The CBOE Volatility Index climbed into the high teens. Traders awaited a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and eyed next week’s rate decision, with futures markets pricing in a high chance of a quarter-point cut.
1 December 2025
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Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Traders now see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its December 9–10 meeting, according to CME FedWatch futures. Major banks including JPMorgan and Bank of America have shifted to expecting a cut. Fed minutes and recent commentary show deep internal divisions, raising the risk of multiple dissents and a muddled policy message.
1 December 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • Lean Hog Futures Decline as USDA Reports Drop in National Base Price
    March 23, 2026, 2:07 AM EDT. Lean hog futures fell on Friday, with declines ranging from 20 to 77 cents by the close, including a $2.175 weekly drop for April contracts. The USDA's national base hog price decreased by $2.42 to $90.38, while the CME Lean Hog Index rose slightly to $92.04 on March 18. The Commitment of Traders report showed speculators reduced their net long position by 11,151 contracts as of March 17. USDA's pork carcass cutout value increased by $1.15 to $99.20 per hundredweight, supported by higher rib and ham prices. Federally inspected hog slaughter estimates were down from last week but up year-on-year. Futures for April, May, and June all closed lower.
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