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Federal Reserve 2 December 2025 - 4 December 2025

US Stock Market Today: Futures Stall Near Record Highs as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Build – What to Know Before the Bell (Dec. 4, 2025)

US Stock Market Today: Futures Stall Near Record Highs as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Build – What to Know Before the Bell (Dec. 4, 2025)

U.S. stock futures were flat to slightly higher early Thursday after seven gains in eight sessions, with the Dow and S&P 500 near record highs. Weekly jobless claims fell to 191,000, the lowest since September 2022, surprising economists. European and Asian markets edged up. Traders await a likely Federal Reserve rate cut next week.
4 December 2025
Federal Reserve News Today: Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Trump Eyes New Fed Chair

Federal Reserve News Today: Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Trump Eyes New Fed Chair

Markets see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its December 10 meeting, following weak jobs data and a recent 0.25-point cut. Donald Trump is moving to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair, with Kevin Hassett now the leading candidate. The Fed has also ended quantitative tightening and stopped losing money amid growing political scrutiny. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75% to 4.00%.
U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. jobless claims rose to 219,000, slightly above forecasts, while Gallup reports economic confidence at its lowest since mid-2024. Stock futures held steady near record highs as traders anticipate a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The dollar weakened on those expectations. Fitch and the OECD raised 2025 U.S. growth forecasts, citing strong AI investment.
4 December 2025
German Stock Market Today, December 4, 2025: DAX Climbs on Auto Rally and Fed Cut Hopes but Still Fails to Clear 24,000

German Stock Market Today, December 4, 2025: DAX Climbs on Auto Rally and Fed Cut Hopes but Still Fails to Clear 24,000

The DAX rose 0.8% to 23,877 in late morning trading Thursday, its highest in several sessions but still below the 24,000 mark for a third week. Gains were driven by optimism over possible U.S. rate cuts and a surge in European auto stocks after a bullish sector call. The MDAX, TecDAX, and SDAX also advanced. Mercedes-Benz and Porsche SE led sector gains.
Kevin Hassett, Trump’s Expected Fed Chair, Sparks Market Alarm as Bessent Moves to Tighten White House Grip on the Federal Reserve

Kevin Hassett, Trump’s Expected Fed Chair, Sparks Market Alarm as Bessent Moves to Tighten White House Grip on the Federal Reserve

President Donald Trump is weighing whether to appoint economic adviser Kevin Hassett to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, drawing warnings from major bond investors about Hassett’s perceived willingness to cut rates despite inflation. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has canvassed Wall Street for feedback and is proposing rule changes to increase White House influence over the Fed. Betting markets put Hassett as the leading candidate.
4 December 2025
US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Jumps 400 Points as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Jumps 400 Points as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 408 points to 47,882.90 on Wednesday, closing near a record high as weak private payrolls data and easing bond yields fueled bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The S&P 500 rose 0.3% to 6,849.72, less than 1% from its all-time high. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year at 4.05% and the 2-year at 3.49%. Fed funds futures now price in up to a 90% chance of a December cut.
December 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets, AI Jitters and Fresh Opportunities for Investors

December 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets, AI Jitters and Fresh Opportunities for Investors

U.S. stocks rose Wednesday, with the Dow near 48,000, up about 1%, as weaker economic data and lower bond yields fueled bets on a December Fed rate cut. Small-cap stocks outperformed major indexes. Bitcoin rebounded to $93,000, gold traded near $4,245 an ounce, and oil hovered around $59 per barrel. The VIX held near 16, indicating calm in options markets.
Gold Holds Above $4,200 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Surge; Silver Hits Record High Near $59 on Supply Squeeze

Gold Holds Above $4,200 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Surge; Silver Hits Record High Near $59 on Supply Squeeze

Silver hit a record $58.98 an ounce Wednesday, up over 100% in 2025, as investors bet on a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Gold traded above $4,200, near its all-time high, with futures settling around $4,230 in New York. CME FedWatch shows a 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Copper also set a new record in London trading.
US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Near Record High as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Near Record High as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US stocks hovered near record highs Wednesday as the S&P 500 edged up 0.05%, the Dow gained 0.43%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.12% late in the session. ADP reported private payrolls fell by 32,000 in November, the largest drop since 2023. The ISM Services PMI stayed in expansion at 52.6. Rate-cut odds for next week’s Fed meeting rose to 89%.
NYSE Today: Dow Climbs, S&P 500 Near Record as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Cut Bets (Dec. 3, 2025)

NYSE Today: Dow Climbs, S&P 500 Near Record as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Cut Bets (Dec. 3, 2025)

The Dow rose 0.5% to 47,717 and the S&P 500 edged up 0.2% to 6,842, both near record highs, while the Nasdaq closed flat at 23,400. ADP reported U.S. private-sector payrolls fell by 32,000 in November, missing expectations. Treasury yields and the dollar slipped as traders bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Big tech lagged, with Microsoft under pressure.
US Economy News Today, December 3, 2025: Fed Cut Bets, Weaker Dollar, Data Deluge and Shutdown Fallout

US Economy News Today, December 3, 2025: Fed Cut Bets, Weaker Dollar, Data Deluge and Shutdown Fallout

U.S. markets are rising as traders bet the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its December 9–10 meeting, despite inflation holding near 3% and growth slowing. The dollar is on track for a ninth straight daily decline, while Treasury yields have eased. Kevin Hassett is seen as the frontrunner to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair next May. The recent 43-day government shutdown furloughed 670,000 federal workers and delayed nearly $14 billion in pay.
3 December 2025
Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Donald Trump said he has decided who will succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, with an announcement expected early next year. Trump repeatedly singled out Kevin Hassett at a White House event, prompting betting markets to give Hassett 75–85% odds for the job. Christopher Waller remains the main alternative. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent led interviews with five finalists.
3 December 2025
US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

U.S. stocks rose by early afternoon Tuesday, with the Dow up about 170 points and the Nasdaq near a three-week high as Bitcoin rebounded above $91,000. Tech and chip shares led gains, while most other sectors lagged. Investors increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, with futures markets pricing in an 87% chance. Equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes underperformed, highlighting narrow market leadership.
2 December 2025
Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 0.3% by late morning Tuesday, recovering part of Monday’s 427-point drop. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also gained as tech and crypto-linked stocks rebounded. Bitcoin climbed back near $89,000 after plunging below $85,000 the day before. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar remained stable.
US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

U.S. stocks opened higher Tuesday after Monday’s sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 up 0.3%, the Dow rising 0.1%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.6%. Calmer bond markets and a rebound in bitcoin, which recovered toward $89,000, supported the move. Investors showed renewed confidence ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Major indexes hovered near record highs reached in late October.
2 December 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • Morgan Stanley Launches Bitcoin ETF, Rated in Top 1% by Analyst
    April 13, 2026, 10:07 AM EDT. Morgan Stanley debuted its Bitcoin spot ETF, MSBT, with a low sponsor fee of 0.14%, generating over $25 million in half a day. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas ranked the launch in the top 1% of all ETF debuts. The ETF complements Morgan Stanley's crypto strategy, which includes Ethereum and Solana trusts. Despite muted investor interest in crypto this year, Bitcoin ETFs have garnered more than $1 billion in net inflows in 2026, with Morgan Stanley recommending a 2% to 4% crypto allocation to clients. Coinbase Institutional and BNY Mellon serve as custodians of MSBT, signaling growing financial sector acceptance. However, other major banks may hesitate to follow Morgan Stanley into crypto ETFs soon.

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Super Micro Stock Faces Fresh Test as China Probe Casts Shadow Over Nvidia Ties

Super Micro Stock Faces Fresh Test as China Probe Casts Shadow Over Nvidia Ties

13 April 2026
Super Micro Computer shares traded at $25.26 early Monday as the company faces a board-led probe into alleged diversions of servers to China. U.S. prosecutors in March accused three former associates of routing $2.5 billion in AI technology through Taiwan and Southeast Asia. Super Micro says the men no longer have ties to the firm. Shareholders will vote on directors, including CEO Charles Liang, at a virtual meeting April 15.
Asia Flight Delays and Cancellations Latest: Tokyo, Singapore, Dubai Show Low Disruption as Gulf Route Cuts Persist

Asia Flight Delays and Cancellations Latest: Tokyo, Singapore, Dubai Show Low Disruption as Gulf Route Cuts Persist

13 April 2026
Major Asian airports showed low delays Monday, with no regionwide shutdown, according to Cirium FlightStats. Emirates and Dubai Airports reported some cancellations and delays after a partial UAE airspace closure. Singapore Airlines and Cathay Pacific have suspended Dubai flights into June. Jet fuel shortages and longer routes are driving up costs, with India facing added pressure from Dubai’s flight restrictions.
ServiceNow Stock Slides as UBS Warns AI Threat Is Bigger Than First Thought

ServiceNow Stock Slides as UBS Warns AI Threat Is Bigger Than First Thought

13 April 2026
UBS downgraded ServiceNow to neutral from buy and cut its price target to $100 from $170, citing AI disruption risk and weaker demand for non-AI software. ServiceNow shares traded at $83.00 before the bell Monday, down 7.6% from the previous close and 44% lower year-to-date. The company has added AI features across all products. Bernstein reiterated an Outperform rating.
Trump Orders Iran Blockade as Oil Nears $150 in Europe and Stocks Slip

Trump Orders Iran Blockade as Oil Nears $150 in Europe and Stocks Slip

13 April 2026
Europe’s immediate-delivery crude surged to nearly $150 a barrel and U.S. stock futures dropped after the U.S. ordered a blockade on Iranian port traffic, set to begin at 1400 GMT. North Sea Forties crude hit a record $148.87, while Brent rose above $100. Shipping through the Gulf showed disruption, with tankers rerouting and Tehran warning of retaliation. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures all fell before the open.
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