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Federal Reserve 2 December 2025 - 4 December 2025

Federal Reserve News Today: Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Trump Eyes New Fed Chair

Federal Reserve News Today: Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Trump Eyes New Fed Chair

Markets see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its December 10 meeting, following weak jobs data and a recent 0.25-point cut. Donald Trump is moving to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair, with Kevin Hassett now the leading candidate. The Fed has also ended quantitative tightening and stopped losing money amid growing political scrutiny. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75% to 4.00%.
4 December 2025
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U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. jobless claims rose to 219,000, slightly above forecasts, while Gallup reports economic confidence at its lowest since mid-2024. Stock futures held steady near record highs as traders anticipate a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The dollar weakened on those expectations. Fitch and the OECD raised 2025 U.S. growth forecasts, citing strong AI investment.
4 December 2025
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German Stock Market Today, December 4, 2025: DAX Climbs on Auto Rally and Fed Cut Hopes but Still Fails to Clear 24,000

German Stock Market Today, December 4, 2025: DAX Climbs on Auto Rally and Fed Cut Hopes but Still Fails to Clear 24,000

The DAX rose 0.8% to 23,877 in late morning trading Thursday, its highest in several sessions but still below the 24,000 mark for a third week. Gains were driven by optimism over possible U.S. rate cuts and a surge in European auto stocks after a bullish sector call. The MDAX, TecDAX, and SDAX also advanced. Mercedes-Benz and Porsche SE led sector gains.
4 December 2025
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Kevin Hassett, Trump’s Expected Fed Chair, Sparks Market Alarm as Bessent Moves to Tighten White House Grip on the Federal Reserve

Kevin Hassett, Trump’s Expected Fed Chair, Sparks Market Alarm as Bessent Moves to Tighten White House Grip on the Federal Reserve

President Donald Trump is weighing whether to appoint economic adviser Kevin Hassett to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, drawing warnings from major bond investors about Hassett’s perceived willingness to cut rates despite inflation. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has canvassed Wall Street for feedback and is proposing rule changes to increase White House influence over the Fed. Betting markets put Hassett as the leading candidate.
4 December 2025
US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Jumps 400 Points as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Jumps 400 Points as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 408 points to 47,882.90 on Wednesday, closing near a record high as weak private payrolls data and easing bond yields fueled bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The S&P 500 rose 0.3% to 6,849.72, less than 1% from its all-time high. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year at 4.05% and the 2-year at 3.49%. Fed funds futures now price in up to a 90% chance of a December cut.
3 December 2025
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December 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets, AI Jitters and Fresh Opportunities for Investors

December 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets, AI Jitters and Fresh Opportunities for Investors

U.S. stocks rose Wednesday, with the Dow near 48,000, up about 1%, as weaker economic data and lower bond yields fueled bets on a December Fed rate cut. Small-cap stocks outperformed major indexes. Bitcoin rebounded to $93,000, gold traded near $4,245 an ounce, and oil hovered around $59 per barrel. The VIX held near 16, indicating calm in options markets.
3 December 2025
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Gold Holds Above $4,200 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Surge; Silver Hits Record High Near $59 on Supply Squeeze

Gold Holds Above $4,200 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Surge; Silver Hits Record High Near $59 on Supply Squeeze

Silver hit a record $58.98 an ounce Wednesday, up over 100% in 2025, as investors bet on a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Gold traded above $4,200, near its all-time high, with futures settling around $4,230 in New York. CME FedWatch shows a 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Copper also set a new record in London trading.
3 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Near Record High as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US Stock Market Today, December 3, 2025: Dow Near Record High as Weak Jobs Data Supercharges Fed Cut Bets

US stocks hovered near record highs Wednesday as the S&P 500 edged up 0.05%, the Dow gained 0.43%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.12% late in the session. ADP reported private payrolls fell by 32,000 in November, the largest drop since 2023. The ISM Services PMI stayed in expansion at 52.6. Rate-cut odds for next week’s Fed meeting rose to 89%.
3 December 2025
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NYSE Today: Dow Climbs, S&P 500 Near Record as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Cut Bets (Dec. 3, 2025)

NYSE Today: Dow Climbs, S&P 500 Near Record as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Cut Bets (Dec. 3, 2025)

The Dow rose 0.5% to 47,717 and the S&P 500 edged up 0.2% to 6,842, both near record highs, while the Nasdaq closed flat at 23,400. ADP reported U.S. private-sector payrolls fell by 32,000 in November, missing expectations. Treasury yields and the dollar slipped as traders bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Big tech lagged, with Microsoft under pressure.
3 December 2025
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US Economy News Today, December 3, 2025: Fed Cut Bets, Weaker Dollar, Data Deluge and Shutdown Fallout

US Economy News Today, December 3, 2025: Fed Cut Bets, Weaker Dollar, Data Deluge and Shutdown Fallout

U.S. markets are rising as traders bet the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its December 9–10 meeting, despite inflation holding near 3% and growth slowing. The dollar is on track for a ninth straight daily decline, while Treasury yields have eased. Kevin Hassett is seen as the frontrunner to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair next May. The recent 43-day government shutdown furloughed 670,000 federal workers and delayed nearly $14 billion in pay.
3 December 2025
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Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Donald Trump said he has decided who will succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, with an announcement expected early next year. Trump repeatedly singled out Kevin Hassett at a White House event, prompting betting markets to give Hassett 75–85% odds for the job. Christopher Waller remains the main alternative. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent led interviews with five finalists.
3 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

U.S. stocks rose by early afternoon Tuesday, with the Dow up about 170 points and the Nasdaq near a three-week high as Bitcoin rebounded above $91,000. Tech and chip shares led gains, while most other sectors lagged. Investors increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, with futures markets pricing in an 87% chance. Equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes underperformed, highlighting narrow market leadership.
2 December 2025
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Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 0.3% by late morning Tuesday, recovering part of Monday’s 427-point drop. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also gained as tech and crypto-linked stocks rebounded. Bitcoin climbed back near $89,000 after plunging below $85,000 the day before. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar remained stable.
2 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

U.S. stocks opened higher Tuesday after Monday’s sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 up 0.3%, the Dow rising 0.1%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.6%. Calmer bond markets and a rebound in bitcoin, which recovered toward $89,000, supported the move. Investors showed renewed confidence ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Major indexes hovered near record highs reached in late October.
2 December 2025
Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The Federal Reserve ended its balance-sheet tightening on December 1, 2025, halting reductions to its securities portfolio. Markets now price in a nearly 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Internal divisions have surfaced within the FOMC, with up to five members reportedly skeptical of further cuts. Regulators released a new banking system assessment as Vice Chair Bowman described banks as “sound and resilient.”
2 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

The Federal Reserve ended its quantitative tightening program on December 1, after more than $2.2 trillion in securities runoff. Futures markets now price in an 85–88% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75%–4.00%. At least five of 12 voting members oppose further cuts, signaling deep divisions.
2 December 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • Delivery Hero Stock Surges 72% in a Month But Still Undervalued: DCF Analysis
    May 24, 2026, 3:54 AM EDT. Delivery Hero (XTRA:DHER) surged 72.3% over the past month, trading at €33.59 after a sharp rally with a 13.9% weekly gain and 37.4% yearly return. Despite this strong short-term performance, its 3- and 5-year returns declined 10.2% and 69.8%, reflecting longer-term challenges. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests the stock is undervalued by roughly 41.9%, estimating an intrinsic value of €57.78. This uses projected free cash flows rising from losses currently to positive figures by 2026. Delivery Hero also scores 5 out of 6 on Simply Wall St's valuation metrics, indicating potential value despite recent market exuberance. Investors face the question whether current prices mark a reset in risk perception or a rebound from prior lows.

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Nifty Faces Oil Moves, Rupee and Short Week

Nifty Faces Oil Moves, Rupee and Short Week

24 May 2026
The Nifty 50 rose 0.27% Friday to 23,719.3 and the Sensex gained 0.31% to 75,415.35, but both indexes remain down sharply since the Iran war began. The rupee hit record lows, prompting Reserve Bank intervention, and foreign investors have sold $23 billion in Indian shares this year. Markets will close Thursday for Bakri Id, leaving four trading sessions in the week.
Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Stalls Near 9,000 as NAB Slides, Oil Shock Keeps Traders on Edge. (Indo Premier)

ASX on Watch as Inflation Test Looms After Volatile Week

24 May 2026
The ASX 200 closed up 0.41% at 8,657 on Friday, gaining 0.3% for the week after volatile trading. Investors await April inflation data due Wednesday, seen as key for Reserve Bank of Australia rate expectations after weak April jobs figures cooled rate-hike bets. The Australian dollar traded at 71.36 U.S. cents late Friday. Miners and energy stocks led gains, while consumer and telecom shares fell.
FTSE 100 Today: BP Rally Lifts UK Stocks as Barclays and Taylor Wimpey Fall

UK stocks steady as rate fears ease, but FTSE 100 faces Iran, retail in coming week

24 May 2026
The FTSE 100 rose 2.66% last week, ending a four-week losing streak as traders scaled back expectations for a near-term Bank of England rate hike. Retail sales volumes fell 1.3% in April, and the UK composite PMI dropped to 48.5 in May. The London Stock Exchange is closed Monday for the Spring Bank Holiday. Bodycote shares jumped 19% after a £1.52 billion takeover proposal from Apollo.
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