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Interest Rates News 25 November 2025 - 4 December 2025

U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

The U.S. economy is sending a mix of signals on Thursday, December 4, 2025. Financial markets are calm near record highs and forecasters are nudging growth estimates up. At the same time, new data show jobless claims edging higher, the dollar weakening on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, and Americans’ confidence in the economy sinking to its lowest level in more than a year. Semafor+3Reuters+3Investing.com+3 Quick snapshot of today’s U.S. economy: Below is a closer look at the major U.S. economy stories shaping markets and households today. Fed rate‑cut bets dominate Wall Street’s view of the
4 December 2025
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Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as Miners Rally and RBA Rate-Hike Bets Build – 4 December 2025

Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as Miners Rally and RBA Rate-Hike Bets Build – 4 December 2025

The Australia stock market finished Thursday, 4 December 2025, modestly higher, with the S&P/ASX 200 once again leaning on heavyweight miners and materials stocks while traders priced in a higher chance of future Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hikes and a stronger Australian dollar. Market snapshot: ASX 200 edges higher on resource strength The S&P/ASX 200 closed around 8,618 points, up roughly 23 points (about 0.27–0.3%), after recovering from an early slump and tracking a generally positive tone across global equities. ABC+2The Economic Times+2 Key takeaways from today’s close: Even with the index in the green, market breadth was mixed. Decliners outnumbered
4 December 2025
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Australia Economy Today: Q3 GDP Data, Inflation Shock and Interest Rate Jitters – 3 December 2025

Australia Economy Today: Q3 GDP Data, Inflation Shock and Interest Rate Jitters – 3 December 2025

Australia’s economy is back in the spotlight today after fresh national accounts and inflation figures painted a picture of solid headline growth, stubborn price pressures and still‑squeezed living standards. On 3 December 2025, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.4% in the September quarter and 2.1% over the year, slightly below market expectations but the fastest annual pace in two years. Australian Bureau of Statistics+1 At the same time, inflation is running at 3.8% – above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 2–3% target – leaving the central bank facing a difficult choice
3 December 2025
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Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as GDP Data, Rate Bets and Bond Yields Collide – 3 December 2025

Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as GDP Data, Rate Bets and Bond Yields Collide – 3 December 2025

Australia’s stock market finished slightly higher on Wednesday, 3 December 2025, as investors rode a classic “data day” rollercoaster – cheering better‑than‑feared GDP numbers, then trimming enthusiasm as bond yields and interest‑rate expectations reasserted themselves. The S&P/ASX 200 ended up 15.5 points (+0.18%) at 8,595.2, while the All Ordinaries added 16.7 points (+0.19%) to 8,894.2. Kyabram Free Press+2Market Index+2 Market snapshot: a green close after a choppy session Market breadth was slightly positive: advancing stocks narrowly outnumbered decliners, and the S&P/ASX 200 VIX slid to around 10.9, a fresh one‑month low, signalling a relatively calm risk environment despite the macro noise. Investing.com+1 GDP miss: softer growth, but no hard landing (so far)
3 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The U.S. Federal Reserve entered December 2025 with three big shifts all hitting at once: its balance‑sheet tightening has officially ended, markets are betting heavily on another rate cut next week, and regulators are rolling out a fresh assessment of the banking system just as internal divisions at the Fed deepen. Federal Reserve+2Reuters+2 Below is a detailed rundown of what happened on 1 December 2025, and how the latest coverage on 2 December 2025is interpreting those moves for interest rates, banks, and the broader economy. 1. The Big Picture: Three Fed Storylines Collide As of early December, Fed watchers are focused on three
2 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Updated: December 2, 2025 The U.S. Federal Reserve enters the final stretch before its December 9–10 FOMC meeting with three big storylines converging: Below is a complete rundown of today’s key Federal Reserve news, forecasts, and analysis — and what it all might mean for rates, markets, and your money. Key Takeaways Where Fed Policy Stands Right Now The current rate setting The Fed’s main policy rate — the federal funds rate — is currently targeted in a range of 3.75% to 4.00%. That’s the result of two 25‑basis‑point cuts at the September and October FOMC meetings, which followed a long period of rates above
2 December 2025
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Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

As of December 1, 2025, financial markets are betting heavily that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again at its December 9–10 meeting — even as the central bank itself looks more fractured than it has in years. Futures tracked by the CME FedWatch tool now imply roughly an 80–90% chance of a 25-basis-point cut, according to multiple analyses and bank research notes.AOL+4Reuters+4BBH+4 Major Wall Street firms that only weeks ago were on the fence have swung behind a December move, led most recently by JPMorgan and Bank of America.Reuters+1 Yet minutes from the Fed’s October meeting, fresh commentary
1 December 2025
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NS&I £1bn Budget Shake-Up: What It Means for Premium Bonds, Interest Rates and UK Savers in 2025

NS&I £1bn Budget Shake-Up: What It Means for Premium Bonds, Interest Rates and UK Savers in 2025

As of 30 November 2025, Premium Bond savers are at the centre of a quiet revolution in the UK’s savings landscape. Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s Autumn Budget has ordered National Savings & Investments (NS&I) to raise an extra £1 billion from the public, while also cutting future cash ISA limits. Together with rising NS&I bond rates and a possible Bank of England rate cut in December, that puts Premium Bonds and other NS&I products firmly in the spotlight. Bank of England+3GOV.UK+3NS&I Corporate+3 In this explainer, we’ll unpack all the key news and analysis up to 30 November 2025 and what it
1 December 2025
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Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

As of November 30, 2025, prediction markets led by Polymarket are putting sky‑high odds on a December Fed rate cut—just as its 27‑year‑old founder becomes the world’s youngest self‑made billionaire and the Federal Reserve faces one of its most divided meetings in years. Key takeaways A Gen Z founder at the center of global rate‑cut speculation Until a few months ago, Shayne Coplan was a niche name in crypto and prediction‑market circles. Now, thanks to a massive Wall Street deal and a suddenly pivotal Federal Reserve meeting, he has become one of the most talked‑about figures in modern finance. In
1 December 2025
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World Stock Markets Poised for December 1, 2025 Open as Fed Ends QT and Rate‑Cut Bets Surge

World Stock Markets Poised for December 1, 2025 Open as Fed Ends QT and Rate‑Cut Bets Surge

As the final month of 2025 begins, global investors head into Monday’s open with equity indices near record levels, central banks pivoting toward easier policy, commodities sending mixed signals, and fresh data out of China and Europe challenging the bullish narrative. Monday, December 1, 2025, won’t just mark the start of the last trading month of the year. It’s also the day the U.S. Federal Reserve formally ends its quantitative tightening (QT) program, a shift that could add liquidity to markets already buoyed by strong November gains and rising expectations of a December rate cut. Reuters+2svb.com+2 Holiday Rally Sets the
30 November 2025
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Premium Bonds Rate Rise Looms as Budget 2025 Hands NS&I a £1bn Target – What Savers Need to Know Today

Premium Bonds Rate Rise Looms as Budget 2025 Hands NS&I a £1bn Target – What Savers Need to Know Today

London, 28 November 2025 The Autumn Budget has quietly turned Premium Bonds and other NS&I products into the most talked‑about corner of the UK savings market. A technical change in the small print – telling National Savings & Investments (NS&I) to raise an extra £1 billion from savers this year – has triggered a wave of speculation that rates on Premium Bonds and government‑backed savings could soon rise. NS&I Corporate+2nsandi-adviser.com+2 At the same time, from 2027 millions of savers face higher tax on interest and a sharply reduced cash ISA allowance, making NS&I’s tax‑free Premium Bond prizes and government‑guaranteed bonds
28 November 2025
Premium Bonds £1bn Boost: How NS&I’s New Budget 2025 Target Could Change Interest Rates for Savers

Premium Bonds £1bn Boost: How NS&I’s New Budget 2025 Target Could Change Interest Rates for Savers

London – 28 November 2025 Premium Bonds savers have been handed rare good news in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s Autumn Budget: the government has quietly ordered National Savings & Investments (NS&I) to raise an extra £1 billion from the public this year, fuelling speculation that prize rates and savings interest could be pushed higher to hit the new target. NS&I Adviser+1 Today, regional and consumer outlets are splashing on a “£1 billion Premium Bonds change” that offers “real hope” for bondholders, while national titles report that the Treasury wants at least £1 billion more from savers via NS&I. GB News+2Telegraph+2 Here’s what has actually
28 November 2025
US Stock Market Today: Wall Street Extends Rally as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Surge (Nov. 26, 2025)

US Stock Market Today: Wall Street Extends Rally as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Surge (Nov. 26, 2025)

U.S. stocks climbed again on Wednesday, November 26, 2025, with all three major indexes logging a fourth straight day of gains as investors doubled down on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December ahead of the Thanksgiving market break.Reuters+1 Key takeaways for November 26, 2025 Indexes log a fourth straight gain ahead of Thanksgiving Wednesday’s session extended the rebound that began earlier in the week, helping Wall Street recover from last week’s tech‑led wobble over frothy AI valuations. Breadth was notably strong. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners outpaced losers by more than 3–4 to 1, and the S&P 500 recorded dozens of
26 November 2025
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Canada Stock Market Today (Nov. 26, 2025): TSX Pushes Past 31,000 as Gold Miners and Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Power Early Trade

Canada Stock Market Today (Nov. 26, 2025): TSX Pushes Past 31,000 as Gold Miners and Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Power Early Trade

In the first minutes after Wednesday’s opening bell, Canada’s stock market picked up exactly where it left off. The S&P/TSX Composite Index opened higher and quickly traded above the 31,000 level for the first time ever, extending a three‑day, near‑1,000‑point surge as investors bet on interest‑rate cuts and crowd back into commodities and financials. Reuters+2MarketScreener+2 TSX Today: Fresh Records and a Break Above 31,000 Canada’s benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) started Wednesday’s session modestly higher, up about 0.2% at the official open, around 30,958, according to a brief from Reuters. TradingView By 9:31 a.m. ET, the early momentum had built: the index
26 November 2025
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Euronext Today: CAC 40, AEX and Euronext 100 Edge Higher on Fed Rate Cut Bets – 26 November 2025

Euronext Today: CAC 40, AEX and Euronext 100 Edge Higher on Fed Rate Cut Bets – 26 November 2025

European equities listed on Euronext traded modestly higher on Wednesday, 26 November 2025, as investors leaned into expectations of a December U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut, digested fresh evidence of cheap European valuations, and reacted to a dense stream of tech, biotech and capital‑raising news across the continent. From Paris to Amsterdam and Oslo, the tone was cautiously risk‑on rather than euphoric—a rally fueled more by falling discount rates and structural stories than by a sudden surge in growth optimism. Euronext indices in the green by late morning By late morning in Paris, France’s benchmark CAC 40 hovered just above
26 November 2025
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Australia Inflation Jumps to 3.8% as Energy Rebates Fade, Raising RBA Rate Hike Bets

Australia Inflation Jumps to 3.8% as Energy Rebates Fade, Raising RBA Rate Hike Bets

Australia’s new monthly CPI shows inflation at 3.8% in October 2025, driven by power and housing, as markets rethink RBA cuts and watch energy rebate plans. Australia’s inflation fight has taken a sharp and politically sensitive turn. Fresh figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) show annual inflation rising to 3.8% in October 2025, up from 3.6% in September, as soaring electricity and housing costs squeeze households and upend expectations of early interest rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Australian Bureau of Statistics+1 The jump comes just as Treasurer Jim Chalmers hints at a possible extension
26 November 2025
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RBNZ Cuts Official Cash Rate to 2.25% and Signals End of Easing Cycle as New Zealand Economy Starts to Recover

RBNZ Cuts Official Cash Rate to 2.25% and Signals End of Easing Cycle as New Zealand Economy Starts to Recover

On 26 November 2025, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by a further 25 basis points to 2.25%, taking interest rates to their lowest level since mid‑2022 and likely marking the bottom of this long easing cycle. Reuters+1 The move was widely expected – but the message around it was just as important as the cut itself. Key points at a glance RBNZ delivers another 25‑point cut – and hints the bottom is in Meeting in Auckland for its last review of 2025, the RBNZ reduced the OCR from 2.50% to 2.25%, saying
26 November 2025
US Dollar Index Slips Below 100 as Weak US Data Turbocharges December Fed Rate‑Cut Bets (DXY Today: 25 November 2025, After the Bell)

US Dollar Index Slips Below 100 as Weak US Data Turbocharges December Fed Rate‑Cut Bets (DXY Today: 25 November 2025, After the Bell)

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) finished Tuesday’s session under pressure, sliding back below the psychologically important 100 level as a batch of delayed U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. By around 4:05 p.m. ET, the dollar index was hovering just under 100 near 99.8–99.9, down roughly 0.3–0.5% on the day, according to closing data from multiple providers.Investopedia+2Investing.com+2 That move extends a broader year‑on‑year decline of about 6–7%, even though the index is still up around 1% over the past month after briefly reclaiming the 100 handle.The Chronicle-Journal Key takeaways on the
25 November 2025
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US Stock Market Today, November 25, 2025: Dow Surges as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Rise While Nvidia Slumps on Google–Meta AI Chip Shock

US Stock Market Today, November 25, 2025: Dow Surges as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Rise While Nvidia Slumps on Google–Meta AI Chip Shock

All figures in this article are based on early‑afternoon U.S. trading on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. Levels and percentages may change by the closing bell. Key takeaways Wall Street extends its rebound as Dow takes the lead The U.S. stock market is building on Monday’s powerful rebound, but today’s advance has a different flavor. As of early afternoon Eastern time: The advance keeps Wall Street on track for a third straight day of gains, capping a volatile November that has seen a tech‑led selloff, a government shutdown, and now a relief rally fueled by rising expectations of easier policy from the Federal
25 November 2025
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Gold Near $4,150 as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Surge on Tame US PPI and Dovish Signals

Gold Near $4,150 as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Surge on Tame US PPI and Dovish Signals

Gold prices are back on the offensive today, 25 November 2025, after briefly stalling at the start of the week. Spot gold has traded in the $4,130–$4,175 per ounce range, not far from an intraday high above $4,140, its strongest level since 14 November, as traders ramp up bets that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. TradingView+2Reuters+2 At the same time, fresh US wholesale inflation data (PPI) show only moderate price pressures, reinforcing the idea that producer inflation is unlikely to derail rate cuts – a theme highlighted by Kitco’s latest gold market update. Bureau of
25 November 2025
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Stock Market Today

TE Connectivity stock jumps 3.5% into the weekend — what to watch for TEL next week

TE Connectivity stock jumps 3.5% into the weekend — what to watch for TEL next week

8 February 2026
TE Connectivity (NYSE: TEL) closed Friday up 3.46% at $215.91, rebounding after a 3.29% drop Thursday, but remains 5% lower for the week and 14% below its 52-week high. The company expects to close a $750 million senior notes offering on Monday and pay a $0.71 dividend March 13. Investors await Friday’s U.S. CPI report, seen as a key market driver.
SMIC stock set for results test this week as Hong Kong market reopens

SMIC stock set for results test this week as Hong Kong market reopens

8 February 2026
SMIC shares closed up 0.22% at HK$67.60 on Friday in Hong Kong. The board will announce unaudited results on Feb. 10, and shareholders vote Feb. 12 on acquiring the remaining 49% of SMNC. The register of members closes Feb. 9–12. SMIC plans to pay mainly with new RMB shares.
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