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International Relations News 19 September 2025 - 18 October 2025

Indonesia’s $9B Chinese Fighter Jet Deal Shocks the World

Indonesia’s $9B Chinese Fighter Jet Deal Shocks the World

Indonesia’s abrupt pivot to Chinese fighters has captured global attention. Defense analysts say it underscores Jakarta’s insistence on strategic autonomy. “Foreign actors can spread disinformation, but at the end of the day, Indonesia buys what it chooses,” writes analyst Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat asiatimes.com. In practice, Jakarta is “quietly demonstrating that strategic autonomy is possible” – fielding the latest jets from East and West while balancing great-power pressures asiatimes.com. For now, Southeast Asian neighbors and global arms makers will be watching closely how this deal unfolds and how it reshapes the region’s airpower balance. Sources: Official statements and budget documents; reporting
18 October 2025
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Hanwha Ocean’s High-Stakes Turnaround: Shares Drop on China Sanctions – But New Submarine & Green Ship Deals Light the Way

Hanwha Ocean’s High-Stakes Turnaround: Shares Drop on China Sanctions – But New Submarine & Green Ship Deals Light the Way

Market Reaction & China Sanctions On Oct. 14, Chinese authorities banned Chinese entities from working with five Hanwha Ocean subsidiaries in the U.S. (including its Philadelphia shipyard and related firms) reuters.com. Beijing accused these affiliates of “assisting… U.S. investigative activities” that threatened China’s security reuters.com. The move was widely seen as retaliation in the broader U.S.–China maritime trade dispute. Hanwha Ocean’s share price in Seoul instantly slid about 9% intraday, closing roughly 6% lower on Oct. 14 apnews.com. (Peer HD Hyundai Heavy also fell over 4% reuters.com.) Hanwha Ocean reacted by saying it is “closely reviewing” the potential business impact
14 October 2025
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Stock Market on Edge: U.S. Futures Slide as US-China Trade War Heats Up

Stock Market on Edge: U.S. Futures Slide as US-China Trade War Heats Up

Market Update – Futures and Indices U.S. stock futures opened sharply lower on Tuesday, Oct. 14, after an overnight escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions. By early trading, CME Dow mini futures were down about 208 points (–0.45%), S&P 500 e-minis off 49.75 points (–0.74%), and Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.2% reuters.com economictimes.indiatimes.com. This slide erased much of Monday’s gains. On Oct. 13, Wall Street had rebounded from Friday’s selloff: the Dow jumped +1.29%, the S&P +1.56% (to ~6,654), and Nasdaq +2.21% (to ~22,695) reuters.com ts2.tech, fueled by tech and easing trade fears. But fresh news—China’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs and
14 October 2025
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Trump’s $20B Argentina Lifeline Shocks Markets – Will It Save Milei?

Trump’s $20B Argentina Lifeline Shocks Markets – Will It Save Milei?

Details of the US Support Package President Trump’s Treasury used its seldom-invoked crisis tools to prop up Argentina. The centerpiece is a $20 billion currency swap line between the US and Argentina’s central banks reuters.com – effectively a short-term dollar loan facility. In parallel, Treasury officials have directly bought pesos in open markets (in undisclosed amounts) to blunt the currency’s slide. Bessent announced these steps on Oct. 9 after several days of intensive talks in Washington with Economy Minister Luis Caputo (with IMF officials present) reuters.com aljazeera.com. On Truth Social, Bessent hailed Argentina’s “strong economic fundamentals” and Milei’s tough austerity
10 October 2025
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Turkey’s Gas Revolution: Erdogan’s LNG Pivot Threatens Russia & Iran’s Energy Grip

Turkey’s Gas Revolution: Erdogan’s LNG Pivot Threatens Russia & Iran’s Energy Grip

Turkey’s Gas Pivot: LNG Deals and Domestic Production Turkey is undertaking a strategic overhaul of its gas supply. Once overwhelmingly dependent on pipeline gas from Russia and Iran, Ankara is now doubling down on alternative sources. State energy company BOTAŞ has struck a flurry of long-term LNG deals with a range of suppliers. In September, it signed a landmark 20-year agreement with Mercuria to import about 4 bcm of U.S. LNG annually starting in 2026 tradingview.com. This single deal will total roughly 70 bcm over two decades. Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar hailed it as a “milestone” for Turkey’s energy security,
8 October 2025
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UK Satellites Under Siege: Top Space General Warns of Russia’s “Weekly” Attacks

UK Satellites Under Siege: Top Space General Warns of Russia’s “Weekly” Attacks

Russia’s New Frontier: Satellite Warfare Senior UK officials say the war in Ukraine has spilled into space. In interviews with the BBC, Space Command chief Paul Tedman detailed how Russia regularly monitors and jams British military satellites. These jamming attacks are conducted from the ground by powerful transmitters that drown out the satellites’ signals ontheradar.csis.org portsmouth.co.uk. Crucially, jamming is non-kinetic: it disrupts data links but does not physically destroy the satellite ontheradar.csis.org. Once the interference stops, normal communications can resume. Tedman stressed that since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, these attempts have become “persistent, deliberate, and increasingly aggressive” united24media.com. When pressed on
3 October 2025
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Rate Cut Fever, Crypto Records & Tariff Turmoil: August 2025’s Global Business Bombshells

Europe’s First DC Power Bridge to Africa + Fresh €55m for Tunisian SMEs: What Italy–Tunisia’s ELMED Cable and New Credit Line Mean for Growth, Jobs and Energy Prices

Key facts (what’s new & why it matters) The in‑depth report 1) What just happened? Prysmian’s award signals ELMED has moved from paperwork to execution. The regulated disclosure shows Prysmian and the TSOs finalized the tender, with a conditional contract that “could reach a value of around €460 million.” It confirms the Partanna–Mlaabi route and details installation with the Monna Lisa vessel.  emarketstorage.it Two days earlier, von der Leyen framed ELMED as a strategic Global Gateway flagship: “the first direct current link between Europe and Africa,” a physical energy bridge to accelerate a North Africa–EU “Green Corridor” for clean industry and hydrogen.  Agenzia Nova In parallel, Italy activated “Linea di Credito 55”—a
26 September 2025
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Trump’s Tariff Tsunami: 100% Drug Tax and New Import Levies Rock Global Trade

Trump’s Tariff Tsunami: 100% Drug Tax and New Import Levies Rock Global Trade

Trump’s New Tariff Salvo: Drugs, Trucks and Cabinets Under Fire In a dramatic escalation of his trade war, President Donald Trump on Thursday unveiled a new wave of tariffs targeting pharmaceuticals, trucks, and home furnishings. In a Truth Social post on September 25, Trump announced the U.S. will impose a 100% import tariff on any branded or patented pharmaceutical products starting October 1 – effectively doubling their price – “unless a company is building a manufacturing plant in the U.S.” reuters.com. “There will, therefore, be no Tariff on these pharmaceutical products if construction has started,” Trump clarified, incentivizing drugmakers to
26 September 2025
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AI Superpower Showdown: U.S. vs. China vs. Europe – Who’s Winning the Global AI Race?

AI Superpower Showdown: U.S. vs. China vs. Europe – Who’s Winning the Global AI Race?

AI Research & Academic Output: Publications, Patents and Breakthroughs China has emerged as the global research powerhouse in AI by volume. A 2025 analysis shows China’s AI publication output in 2024 matched the combined output of the US, UK, and EU digital-science.com. Chinese researchers not only publish the most papers, they also garner the largest share of citations (over 40% globally) – a sign that China leads in influential AI research digital-science.com. The country’s academic ecosystem for AI is vast: China boasts some 30,000 active AI researchers and hundreds of institutions conducting AI research, far dwarfing other nations digital-science.com. It
22 September 2025
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Brazen Baltic Sky Showdown: Estonia Accuses Russia of Reckless Airspace Violation, Triggers NATO Alarm

Brazen Baltic Sky Showdown: Estonia Accuses Russia of Reckless Airspace Violation, Triggers NATO Alarm

Estonia Confronts a “Brazen” Airspace Violation Estonia is accusing Russia of a deliberate and unprecedented breach of its sovereign airspace in a flare-up that has heightened tensions in the Baltics. On September 19, Estonian radars detected three Russian MiG-31 Foxhound interceptor jets crossing into Estonian territory near Vaindloo Island, a small islet in the Gulf of Finland near the Russian border. According to Estonia’s military, the high-speed jets penetrated about 5 nautical miles (9 km) into Estonian airspace and remained inside for around 12 minutes before turning back reuters.com reuters.com. During the incursion, the Russian planes had no flight plans filed,
20 September 2025
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Inside the Ukraine–Russia Drone War: $500 FPVs vs. Multi‑Million Dollar UAVs

Russian Drones Breach Polish Airspace, NATO Scrambles Jets Amid Article 5 Jitters

Key Facts Russian Drone Incursion: What Happened and How NATO Responded Polish security forces inspect debris of a downed Russian drone in eastern Poland’s Lublin province after multiple UAVs violated Polish airspace on September 10, 2025. Overnight Drone Swarm: On the night of September 10, 2025, waves of Russian drones penetrated Polish airspace during a broader Russian barrage against Ukraine apnews.com. The incursions stretched roughly 11:30 PM to 6:30 AM, with Poland’s military later confirming 19 drone violations across a wide area apnews.com apnews.com. Polish air defenses, aided by NATO aircraft, scrambled repeatedly to track and destroy the unmanned intruders. In an unprecedented development,
19 September 2025
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Poland Shoots Down Russian Drones, Testing NATO’s Eastern Flank Air Defense Shield

Russian Drones Breach Poland’s Sky – A NATO Showdown in the Making?

Background: Drones Over Polish Territory In the pre-dawn hours of September 10, residents of eastern Poland awoke to an unprecedented security alarm. Over the course of seven hours, wave after wave of small unmanned aerial vehicles – later identified as Russian-made drones – penetrated Polish airspace amid a broader Russian bombardment of neighboring Ukraine washingtonpost.com. Polish military radars picked up dozens of objects coming in from the direction of Belarus and Ukraine. According to Poland’s Operational Command, the drones were believed to be part of a Russian long-range attack targeting western Ukraine, somehow veering off course into Poland’s skies tmj4.com
19 September 2025
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