Datadog Shares Climb 11% Despite Ongoing AI-Customer Uncertainty

Datadog Shares Climb 11% Despite Ongoing AI-Customer Uncertainty

NEW YORK, August 10, 2026, 17:46 EDT

  • Datadog finished Monday up 11.48% at $260.78.
  • The recovery restored approximately 56% of Thursday’s projected post-earnings decline.
  • Revenue in the second quarter increased by 36%, with free cash flow totaling $279 million.
  • The main challenge for guidance is the reduced usage by a major AI client.

Shares of Datadog Inc. rose 11.48% to $260.78 on Monday, rebounding after recording their steepest drop in over six years during the previous session.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:DDOG

The rebound was significant, though it did not amount to a complete reset.

Datadog shares dropped close to 17% to $233.85 on Thursday following its earnings release. By the end of Monday, the stock had regained approximately 56% of the dollar value lost in that initial decline. The share price remains around 7.4% below the level before the report, based on the rounded percentage decrease.

Price markerValueInvestor read-through
Thursday close after earnings$233.85Roughly 17% loss in a single day
Monday close$260.78Shares rose 11.48% on the day
Approximate pre-report level$281.75Calculated from the estimated 17% drop
52-week high$292.72Monday finished 10.9% below this mark

The market is weighing two developments. Datadog’s main business saw faster growth, but a significant AI client utilized less capacity than anticipated. That client has renewed a substantial contract and relies on 17 Datadog products, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Revenue for the second quarter climbed 36% to $1.12 billion. The non-GAAP operating margin stood at 23%, and the free-cash-flow margin increased to 25%. Datadog gained 870 more customers generating at least $100,000 in annual recurring revenue.

Second-quarter measure20262025Change
Revenue$1.12 billion$827 million+36%
Operating cash flow$316 million$200 million+58%
Free cash flow$279 million$165 million+69%
Free-cash-flow margin25%20%Up 5 percentage points
Customers with $100,000+ ARRRoughly 4,720Roughly 3,850+23%

The data is sourced from Datadog’s August 6 earnings report submitted to the SEC. Comparing cash flow is particularly informative, demonstrating that the quarter’s performance was supported by more than just revenue.

Co-founder and Chief Executive Olivier Pomel stated in the company release, “Our customers are building and deploying with AI, and they are using the Datadog platform to observe, secure, and act on their AI-enabled solutions.”

Guidance was also revised upwards from May. The midpoint for full-year revenue increased by roughly $140 million, while the midpoint for non-GAAP earnings per share rose by 12 cents.

Full-year 2026 guidanceAugust projectionMay projectionChange at midpoint
Revenue$4.45-$4.47 billion$4.30-$4.34 billion+$140 million
Non-GAAP operating income$1.01-$1.03 billion$940-$980 million+$60 million
Non-GAAP diluted EPS$2.50-$2.54$2.36-$2.44+$0.12

The August ranges originate from the second-quarter filing. The May ranges are sourced from Datadog’s first-quarter release. The improved profit outlook provides investors with a buffer from usage worries.

Nevertheless, expectations remained elevated. Datadog exceeded second-quarter projections by 11.45% for adjusted earnings and 4.00% for revenue. Thursday’s decline made clear that surpassing those targets was insufficient on its own.

Kirk Materne of Evercore ISI described the decline as “extreme,” Barron’s reported. The buying on Monday pushed the price nearer to the consensus target among Wall Street analysts, yet the discussion over the stock’s valuation persists.

AnalystFirmRecommendationTargetDate
Brad RebackStifel NicolausBuy, rating unchanged$305Aug. 10
Gil LuriaD.A. DavidsonBuy, rating reiterated$315Aug. 7
Saiyi HeCMB InternationalBuy, rating unchanged$274Aug. 7
Rob OwensPiper SandlerBuy, rating unchanged$275Aug. 7
Keith BachmanBMO CapitalBuy, rating unchanged$300Aug. 7

According to Google Finance, there are 34 buy recommendations, two hold ratings, and one analyst rates the stock as a sell. The consensus price target among 37 analysts stands at $288.86, representing a 10.77% premium to Monday’s closing price. Analysts’ targets range from a high of $330 to a low of $158.

Risks: Datadog’s pricing model is primarily based on usage. Any substantial reduction in activity from a significant AI client could impact growth prospects and highlight the stock’s premium valuation. Shares ended Monday trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 494, according to Google Finance data.

The following hurdle is meeting third-quarter revenue guidance in the range of $1.135 billion to $1.145 billion. Shares are likely to continue their rebound only if overall customer growth surpasses reduced demand from the major AI client.

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Further analysis

What drove Datadog shares to climb 11.48% on Monday?
Investors reconsidered the steep decline following earnings. Datadog posted 36% revenue growth, a free-cash-flow margin of 25%, and raised its full-year outlook. The recovery indicates that market participants saw Thursday's 17% drop as excessive. However, worries remain about decreased usage from a major AI customer.
To what extent has Datadog regained ground following its post-earnings decline?
Monday’s closing price of $260.78 recouped about 56% of the estimated dollar loss sustained on Thursday. The stock is still trading approximately 7.4% under the level prior to the report, reflecting an implied rounded 17% drop. This difference indicates that the market has only partly corrected the earlier valuation adjustment.
Has Datadog increased its forecast for 2026?
Yes. Datadog has lifted its full-year revenue forecast to between $4.45 billion and $4.47 billion, compared to its previous projection of $4.30 billion to $4.34 billion in May. The company also increased its non-GAAP diluted earnings outlook to $2.50-$2.54 from $2.36-$2.44. The improved profit guidance provides some support, though whether the revenue view is sustained will depend on usage patterns.
What is the next major event that could impact Datadog shares?
Meeting the third-quarter revenue forecast of $1.135 billion to $1.145 billion remains crucial. Investors are monitoring if an expanded customer base can compensate for reduced usage from the major AI client. A significant decrease in activity from this account would weigh on growth and might trigger renewed questions about the company’s valuation.
Mateusz Kaczmarek

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global market developments. A graduate of the Poznań University of Economics and Business, he previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. His reporting focuses on technology companies, market trends and the forces shaping global investment markets. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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