Today: 22 July 2026
Micron (NASDAQ:MU) shares rise 10% as outlook signals 7.7-times run-rate multiple (The Wall Street Journal)
22 July 2026
2 mins read

Micron (NASDAQ:MU) shares jump 12% as AI-driven memory prices come under scrutiny

NEW YORK, July 22, 2026, 11:15 a.m. (EDT)

  • U.S. markets traded as scheduled, with Micron hovering around $968 following a 12.2% surge on Tuesday.
  • The action increased the total by about $119 billion, surpassing approximately $100 billion in strategic-agreement commitments.
  • Price increases drove growth in the fiscal third quarter. The upcoming indicator for Alphabet’s performance will be its capital expenditure.

Shares of Micron Technology, Inc. dipped 0.3% on Wednesday following a 12.2% jump in the previous session. The surge lifted the company’s market capitalization by roughly $119 billion, according to an initial estimate.

That amount surpassed Micron’s approximately $100 billion in remaining performance obligations from strategic agreements. These metrics are not equivalent under accounting standards. The comparison indicates that investors assign value to scarcity that goes beyond existing signed contracts.

Micron’s financial figures support the market’s outlook. In the fiscal third quarter, most of the growth was driven by higher prices rather than increased shipments.

The shortfall was seen in both major product lines. DRAM revenue climbed 343% compared to a year ago.

ProductSales change y/yAverage selling pricesBit shipments
DRAM+343%In the low-260% rangeIn the low-20% range
NAND+361%In the mid-310% rangeIn the low double-digit range

The price and shipment data represent Micron’s estimated annual changes.

The shift in pricing pushed consolidated gross margin up to 85%, compared to 38% in the prior year. Revenue totaled $41.46 billion, and adjusted free cash flow amounted to $18.3 billion.

Micron projected fourth-quarter revenue of $50 billion, with a possible variance of $1 billion. The company anticipates a gross margin of approximately 86%.

The share is essentially a wager on the duration of the supply shortage. That remains the fundamental question.

The $119 billion estimate was generated from Tuesday’s share price increase of $105.36. This figure is based on 1.129 billion shares outstanding as of June 17.

Micron holds 16 key customer agreements representing $22 billion in commitments. The contracts feature deposits, take-or-pay provisions, and pricing floors.

Chief Executive Sanjay Mehrotra anticipates “tight conditions to persist beyond calendar 2027.” That outlook underpins the existing pricing scenario. Reuters

The recovery extended beyond Micron. Sandisk Corp. advanced 14.3% on Tuesday, and Western Digital Corp. increased by 12.5%. The PHLX Semiconductor Sector (INDEXNASDAQ:SOX) was up 5.2%.

Western Digital rose 1.6% as of 11 a.m. Wednesday, while Sandisk was unchanged. Micron dipped 0.3%, whereas the chip index climbed 1.1%. Micron’s underperformance draws investor focus to Alphabet’s expected spending plans.

According to CFRA strategist Sam Stovall, “the magnitude of capex spending will be central.” Alphabet Inc. is set to announce its second-quarter earnings after the close on Wednesday. Reuters

Bank of America Corp. analyst Vivek Arya reaffirmed a Buy rating on Tuesday. Arya’s price target of $1,550 was approximately 60% higher than Micron’s price by late morning.

Risks: Micron notes that memory prices have fluctuated significantly during the past five fiscal years. An increase in industry supply may drive prices down, and a slowdown in AI-related spending could affect profit margins.

Micron is still trading roughly 20% beneath its record closing price set on June 25. On Tuesday, shares regained just 30% of the loss from their peak to Monday’s low. The ongoing rebound may hinge on signals from Alphabet’s capital expenditures.

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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