Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Shares Up 22% for the Week as Company Confronts Key Revenue Growth Challenge

Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Shares Up 22% for the Week as Company Confronts Key Revenue Growth Challenge

NEW YORK, August 9, 2026, 11:07 a.m. EDT

  • Ondas closed Friday at $9.11, rising 4.2% during the session and advancing 21.6% over the week.
  • The firm will announce its second-quarter earnings before markets open on Thursday. Early projections suggest revenue around $68 million with a per-share loss of $0.10.
  • Reaching the $525 million annual target suggests quarterly revenue of about $203.5 million in the second half. That figure is approximately triple the preliminary second-quarter estimate.

Ondas Inc. approaches Thursday’s earnings following a 21.6% share increase over the past week. The operational challenge remains. Achieving its revenue goal through recent acquisitions depends on a substantial acceleration in the second half.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:ONDS

With a preliminary estimate for Q2 revenue close to $68 million, total sales for the first half would be around $118 million. To reach the $525 million full-year goal, the company would need approximately $407 million in revenue during the second half. That amounts to about $203.5 million per quarter, which is nearly triple the anticipated Q2 level.

U.S. cash markets did not open on Sunday. Nasdaq’s standard trading hours will continue on Monday, and Ondas is scheduled to release results on Thursday at 8:30 a.m. EDT, ahead of the opening bell.

Ondas finished Friday at $9.11, rising 4.2%, with 72.9 million shares traded. The gains this week also spread to other stocks in the autonomous-defense sector.

SecurityJuly 31 closeAugust 7 closeWeekly change
Ondas Inc. $7.49$9.11up 21.6%
AeroVironment Inc. $149.37$186.73gained 25.0%
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. $46.60$60.77rose 30.4%
Red Cat Holdings Inc. $7.53$9.21increased 22.3%

Weekly shifts based on closing prices from July 31 and August 7.

The comparison is significant. Ondas performed similarly to Red Cat but trailed behind Kratos and AeroVironment, indicating that some of the movement was due to broader sector momentum.

Company news continued to lend support. Friday’s decision by the Jacksonville Jaguars saw Sentrycs expand its presence to professional-stadium security. No financial terms for the contract were revealed.

Previously, Ondas reported receiving an Army contract worth over $50 million, alongside an Air Force research award exceeding $6 million. “Our focus now is on execution,” Chief Executive Eric Brock stated following the Army contract. Ondas Inc.

Announcement dateCustomer or programmeDisclosed valueInvestor read-through
August 5U.S. Army lethal unmanned systemsMore than $50 millionBuilds on a production programme with cumulative awards topping $240 million
August 6Air Force Research Laboratory Grasshopper developmentMore than $6 millionAllocated to the development phase but not to large-scale production
August 7Jacksonville Jaguars counter-drone protectionUndisclosedProvides Sentrycs with an additional reference in non-military security

The awards vary in both schedule and quality. The Army order increases production transparency. The research contract pushes technology forward, while the Jaguars agreement expands Ondas’ range of commercial validation.

The earnings bridge highlights the reason guidance will take precedence during Thursday’s call.

2026 revenue bridgeAmount
Q1 revenue announced$50.1 million
Q2 preliminary figure applied$68.0 million
First-half revenue, implied$118.1 million
Most recent company goalAt least $525.0 million
Second-half revenue neededAt least $406.9 million
H2 quarterly average neededAt least $203.5 million
Quarterly rate needed vs Q2 preliminaryAbout 3.0 times

The Q2 number is an initial estimate. The $525 million goal is considered directly aligned with the reported revenue for this calculation. Management could present an alternative acquisition or pro-forma reconciliation on Thursday.

The target increased from $390 million following Ondas’ acquisition of DZYNE in July. The figure factors in both DZYNE and Omnisys while omitting the anticipated Cyberhawk addition. DZYNE had been projected to deliver $191 million in revenue for 2026 and achieve positive EBITDA.

The acquisition of DZYNE involved significant equity as part of the deal. Ondas issued approximately 85 million shares, providing the seller group with an estimated 13.8% ownership stake. This emphasizes that per-share growth, rather than just revenue, takes on added significance.

Analysts continue to express optimism, even as the stock trades significantly under their target levels.

Analyst measureCurrentThree months ago
Buy recommendations98
Hold recommendations01
Sell recommendations00
ConsensusBuyBuy
Average price target$19.81
Target range$16 to $25
Implied upside from $9.11117.5%

Thursday’s main metrics include revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and backlog conversion. The company’s management had earlier indicated that adjusted EBITDA losses in Q2 were expected to reach their highest point, with better financial results anticipated as both revenue and gross profit increase in the back half of the year.

Liquidity remains a key metric. Ondas reported $1.48 billion in cash, restricted cash, and short-term investments as of March 31. This amount was recorded before the subsequent acquisitions, which included $200 million in cash used to purchase DZYNE.

Risks: Contract wins could materialise at a gradual pace, and fluctuations in product mix may lead to significant changes in margins. Acquisitions carry both integration and dilution risks. A cut to the $525 million goal could challenge the stock’s recent gains.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Is Ondas positioned to achieve its revised $525 million revenue goal?
Ondas increased its 2026 outlook following the additions of DZYNE and Omnisys. First quarter revenue came in at $50.1 million, leaving $474.9 million to be achieved over Q2–Q4, an average of $158.3 million each quarter. The DZYNE deal closed July 2, after the end of the second quarter. The August 13 update is expected to clarify how the company plans to reach its targets in the second half.
Is the pace at which recent orders are translating to revenue sufficient?
Ondas reported on July 22 that it had secured $70 million in new orders, followed by the announcement of a separate Army contract worth over $50 million. Mistral’s total Army contract value now surpasses $240 million. Initial shipments for the $190.8 million contract are scheduled to commence in Q3. The company’s ability to fulfill its backlog and delivery commitments will be tested against the August 13 schedule.
Could the August 13 report reflect genuine operating leverage?
Ondas posted a first-quarter operating loss of $42.7 million, although net income totaled $361.2 million. The results featured a $389.5 million gain from warrants and a $51.5 million gain from deconsolidation. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $10.9 million and used $51.3 million in operating cash. Management stated adjusted EBITDA losses are expected to peak in the second quarter.
What level of dilution is associated with the acquisition strategy?
The number of outstanding shares climbed 49.7%, increasing from 380.8 million to 569.9 million. An additional 45 million DZYNE shares are scheduled for release on January 4, 2027. The board has also set aside 20 million shares for new-hire incentive plans. This allocation represents potential dilution rather than currently issued stock. Ondas ended Friday at $9.11 per share, giving the company a market value of approximately $5.19 billion. That equates to 9.9 times the lowest stated 2026 revenue goal.
Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Cracow University of Economics, he previously worked in investment research and corporate finance. His coverage helps readers understand the key forces driving global financial markets and emerging industries. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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