Rocket Companies (NYSE:RKT) Shares Recover to $13.72 After Servicing Deal Maintains Refinance Potential

Rocket Companies (NYSE:RKT) Shares Recover to $13.72 After Servicing Deal Maintains Refinance Potential

NEW YORK, August 8, 2026, 15:06 (EDT)

U.S. cash markets did not open on Saturday. Shares of Rocket Companies closed at $13.72 on Friday, an increase of 3.8% for the session. The stock was up 6.4% over the week. The most notable investor development in the report was a $795 million cash sale of servicing rights.

Stock chart for NYSE:RKT

Rocket sold mortgage-servicing rights tied to $53 billion in unpaid principal balance. Based on the quarter-end book, this represented just 2.7% of its $2.0 trillion servicing portfolio. Subservicing and recapture services were retained on almost 80% of the pool sold. By calculation, cash received was equal to 104% of quarterly adjusted EBITDA.

Roughly $42 billion of sold principal continued to receive those services, according to the filing. The cash was not classified as operating profit. However, it contributed to $11.2 billion in total liquidity. The purchase share climbed to 6.2%, while the refinance share rose to 14.3%, both representing company highs.

Calculating servicing-sale

MeasureReported Q2 valueCalculated comparison
Total servicing portfolio$2.0 trillion40.7 times Q2 originations
Servicing rights sold$53 billion2.7% of servicing book
Cash proceeds$795 million104% of adjusted EBITDA
Services retainedNearly 80%Roughly $42 billion of principal sold
Total liquidity$11.2 billionComprises $3.1 billion in cash

Revenue almost doubled in the latest quarter, reaching $2.784 billion, with GAAP net income climbing to $229 million. CEO Varun Krishna described it as “our most profitable quarter in four years.” The following numbers are unaudited. Rocket Companies

Rocket second quarter comparison

MetricQ2 2026Q2 2025Year-on-year change
Total revenue$2.784 billion$1.451 billion+91.9%
GAAP net income$229 million$34 million+574%
Adjusted revenue$2.761 billion$1.431 billion+92.9%
Adjusted net income$441 million$75 million+488%
Adjusted EBITDA$766 million$172 million+345%
Adjusted diluted EPS$0.16$0.04+300%

Headline figures fell short of multiple expectations. GAAP EPS came in at $0.08, below the $0.11 estimate. Revenue was under the $2.81 billion projection. Adjusted EBITDA failed to meet the $805 million target, with adjusted EPS in line at $0.16.

Operating leverage continued to strengthen. Adjusted EBITDA margin climbed to 27.7%, compared to 12.0% in the same period last year. By calculation, mortgage contribution margin increased to 52.2% from 36.0%.

Rocket’s scale can be compared with those of its peers. UWM Holdings Corporation posted a net loss of $451.9 million. loanDepot, Inc. recorded a quarterly loss of $6.6 million.

Comparison of nonbank lenders in Q2

CompanyMortgage originationsReported gain marginAdjusted EBITDAGAAP net income/(loss)
Rocket$49.1 billion2.48%$766 million$229 million
UWM$39.7 billion1.33%$185.9 million$(451.9) million
loanDepot$7.99 billion2.86%$20.5 million$(6.6) million

Rocket delivered adjusted EBITDA at 4.1 times UWM’s level on origination volume that was 24% higher. UWM reported $2.05 billion in equity and halted its dividend distribution. In comparison, Rocket generated cash from a minor portion of a pre-existing servicing asset. Lenders vary in how they define margin and structure their channel mixes.

Rocket’s internal data highlights the channel mix impact. Direct-to-consumer delivered a gain margin of 4.13%. Rocket Pro registered 0.69%, and correspondent lending reported 0.19%.

The release saw turbulent trading. Shares dropped 4.6% during Thursday’s regular hours and slid another 5.6% in after-market trading. On Friday, the stock gained 3.8%, recovering much of Thursday’s session loss. Trading volume hit 42.1 million shares, marking the week’s highest tally.

On Friday, five companies reduced their targets while keeping their existing ratings unchanged. Among them were Bank of America Corporation and Wells Fargo & Co. , as well as RBC Capital Markets, a division of Royal Bank of Canada .

Analyst ratings following Q2

FirmRecommendationPrevious targetNew targetUpside to $13.72
Bank of AmericaBuy$18.00$16.0016.6%
BenchmarkBuy$21.00$19.0038.5%
RBC Capital MarketsSector Perform$20.00$15.009.3%
Wells FargoEqual Weight$17.00$15.009.3%
StephensOverweight$22.50$20.0045.8%

The updated five targets now average $17, which is 23.9% higher than Friday’s closing price. However, all targets decreased. Wells Fargo’s Donald Fandetti noted that Rocket “continues to gain market share.” Fandetti maintained that elevated 10-year yields remain a limiting factor for the mortgage market. TipRanks

Interest rates continue to drive short-term moves. Freddie Mac reported the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.69% on August 6, an increase from 6.66% the week prior. The latest figures will be released Thursday.

U.S. markets reopen on Monday, August 10. July consumer price index data is due on Wednesday, followed by producer price figures on Thursday. Early estimates from a Reuters poll forecast headline CPI at 3.4% and core CPI at 2.5% year-on-year. On Friday, the 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.64%.

Risks: Rising inflation or higher Treasury yields could weaken purchase demand and postpone refinancing activity. Rocket projects Q3 adjusted revenue between $2.5 billion and $2.7 billion, with the midpoint 5.8% lower than Q2. Adjusted net income stands at $441 million, while tax-effected net income after add-backs totals $209 million.

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Further analysis

Did Rocket outperform Wall Street forecasts in the second quarter?
Rocket missed expectations on several metrics. GAAP EPS came in at $0.08, compared to the forecast of $0.11. Revenue totaled $2.78 billion, slightly under the $2.81 billion estimate. Adjusted EBITDA was $39 million below expectations, but adjusted EPS matched estimates at $0.16. Shares rebounded on Friday, ending up 3.78% at $13.72.
What portion of Rocket's stated growth was driven by acquisitions?
Revenue reported climbed 92% year-on-year. The SEC's unaudited pro forma 2025 revenue stood at $2.564 billion. Compared to this acquisition-adjusted baseline, Q2 recorded growth of around 8.6%. The main driver of the headline gain was added scale from acquisitions.
Do record market-share increases lead to sustained margins?
The purchase share stood at 6.2%, with the refinance share at 14.3%. Closed loan volume climbed 69% to $49.1 billion. The ex-correspondent gain-on-sale margin increased by 31 basis points to 3.11%. However, total margin declined by 32 basis points as channels with lower margins grew.
What makes Rocket’s outlook for the third quarter the primary near-term risk?
Rocket set its adjusted revenue outlook at $2.5 billion to $2.7 billion, with the midpoint of $2.6 billion indicating a sequential decrease of 5.8%. Freddie Mac reported an average 30-year mortgage rate of 6.69% as of August 6, which continues to restrict both affordability and demand for refinancing.
Have Redfin and Mr. Cooper shown concrete results so far?
Rocket finished migrating its servicing operations to a single platform. Recapture rates for legacy Mr. Cooper achieved a new high in Q2. Redfin mortgage leads were up twofold year over year in June. However, Rocket is unable to report separate figures for acquired results during integration. Quarterly interest expense increased to $374 million from $155 million.
Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global financial markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and previously worked in investment analysis before moving into financial journalism. His daily coverage focuses on the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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