PCE

Wall Street Rebounds: PCE In‑Line, Tariff Shock, and Fed‑Cut Bets — What It All Means (Sept. 26, 2025)

Key facts (today) The U.S. stock market today — what moved prices 1) The data that mattered: PCE & spendingMarkets exhaled as the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge arrived exactly as expected: headline PCE +0.3% m/m (2.7% y/y), core +0.2% m/m (2.9% y/y). Treasury yields drifted lower, with the 10‑yr near 4.18% and the 2‑yr around 3.65%, signaling relief that there was no upside shock. Futures ticked higher on the print. Reuters “This should give some reassurances on the inflation side,” said Doug Beath of Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Reuters Consumer spending stayed solid in August, adding to this week’s Q2 GDP revision to 3.8%. The resilience complicates the Fed’s job (growth strong, inflation easing

26 September 2025

Tariff Shock and Fed Jitters: Asian Markets Stumble as Rally Meets Reality

PCE Inflation Today: “Goldilocks” or Head Fake? What the 26 Sept 2025 Report Really Means for Your Wallet, the Fed, and Markets

Key facts (as of Friday, Sept. 26, 2025) The in‑depth read 1) What today’s PCE report actually said The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that headline PCE prices rose 0.3% in August, nudging the yearly rate to 2.7%. Core PCE—the measure the Fed emphasizes—rose 0.2% on the month and held at 2.9% year‑over‑year. The monthly pace is consistent with ~2½–3% annualized inflation, not yet back to 2%, but notably not re‑accelerating. Bureau of Economic Analysis Under the hood, the same release shows nominal personal income up 0.4% and nominal consumer spending up 0.6%. After adjusting for inflation, real spending advanced ~0.4%, with goods outpacing services in August—useful context as households digest higher borrowing costs. Bureau of Economic

26 September 2025

Economic Reports · Federal Reserve · Inflation · Market Analysis · NYSE:TD · NYSE:WFC · Personal Finance