Pfizer Tops Q2 Estimates as Main Drug Revenue Balances Drop in COVID Sales

Pfizer Tops Q2 Estimates as Main Drug Revenue Balances Drop in COVID Sales

NEW YORK, August 4, 2026, 08:04 EDT

  • Revenue topped analyst forecasts by 4.4%, while adjusted EPS was 13.2% higher than estimates.
  • Pfizer increased its 2026 revenue midpoint by 0.8% to $61.5 billion.
  • The four main drugs contributed $797 million, surpassing the decline from COVID-related products by $271 million.

Pfizer Inc. increased its 2026 minimum sales outlook following stronger-than-expected quarterly results. Key insight for investors lies within the updated guidance breakdown. Non-COVID product sales rose by $1.5 billion, offset by a $1 billion decline in COVID-related sales.

Stock chart for NYSE:PFE

That resulted in just a $500 million increase at the midpoint. However, the revenue composition improved significantly. Non-COVID gains were triple the amount of the net increase in guidance.

During the quarter, four major franchises—Eliquis, Vyndaqel, Padcev and Lorbrena—generated a combined $797 million increase from a year earlier. That figure is 2.1 times larger than Pfizer’s overall revenue growth. The total also surpassed the combined drop from COVID products by $271 million, based on company-reported sales figures.

The quarter surpassed consensus expectations across both primary metrics. Adjusted profit, though, fell by one cent compared to the previous year.

Q2 measureActualAnalyst estimateQ2 2025Beat/(miss)
Revenue$15.034bn$14.40bn$14.653bn+4.4%
Adjusted EPS$0.77$0.68$0.78+13.2%
Reported net income/(loss)$(248)m$2.910bn
Reported EPS$(0.04)$0.51

Consensus data reflects analyst projections. Beat rates are derived.

The GAAP loss was driven by $4.325 billion in non-cash impairment charges. Approximately $3.8 billion was linked to sigvotatug vedotin following underwhelming Phase 3 data. An additional $525 million pertained to Oxbryta rights. Pfizer did not identify a feasible U.S. reentry option.

The sales bridge illustrates the extent of the offset’s concentration.

Product or groupQ2 2026 salesQ2 2025 salesDollar changeOperational change
Eliquis$2,425m$2,003m+$422m+19%
Vyndaqel family$1,762m$1,615m+$147m+8%
Padcev$667m$542m+$125m+23%
Lorbrena$354m$251m+$103m+37%
Four-drug subtotal$5,208m$4,411m+$797m
Paxlovid + Comirnaty$282m$808m$(526)m-95% / -34%
Total Pfizer revenue$15,034m$14,653m+$381m+1%

Reported figures are used to calculate subtotals and dollar changes.

Eliquis contributed $422 million, accounting for 111% of Pfizer’s overall sales growth. The operational increase was prompted by higher U.S. net prices and worldwide demand. Some global markets faced pressure due to generic competitors.

The full-year bridge also provides important insights.

2026 itemPrevious viewPositive changeOffsetRevised view
Revenue range$59.5–$62.5bn$60.5–$62.5bn
Revenue midpoint$61.0bn+$1.5bn non-COVID$(1.0)bn COVID$61.5bn
COVID-product revenueAbout $5.0bn$(1.0)bnAbout $4.0bn
Adjusted EPS$2.80–$3.00+$0.10 non-COVID$(0.10) licensing charge$2.80–$3.00

The midpoint increased by only 0.8%. Gains outside of COVID accounted for 2.5% of the previous midpoint, while losses tied to COVID subtracted 1.6%. Analysts on Wall Street had forecast a midpoint of $61.8 billion, staying higher than Pfizer’s figure of $61.5 billion.

Pfizer unveiled an additional $2.5 billion in savings expected by 2029. Of this, $1 billion is planned to come from reductions in selling and administrative expenses, while $1.5 billion will derive from manufacturing. Total estimated one-off implementation costs may reach $6 billion.

Chief Executive Albert Bourla described oncology as “a source of strength.” He also pointed to “meaningful momentum” in obesity. However, the largest increase in dollar terms was recorded in established commercial franchises.

In the first half, Pfizer allocated $5.3 billion to internal R&D. The company paid out $4.9 billion in dividends. Management anticipates there will be no share repurchases in 2026. The remaining buyback authorization stands at $3.3 billion.

U.S. regular markets were yet to open at the time of publication. Pfizer stock was steady in premarket trading at $25.03.

Key risks continue to center on patent erosion, lower COVID demand, and pipeline performance. Pfizer expects roughly $1.1 billion in generic and biosimilar headwinds. The impairment highlights the speed at which pipeline valuations can change.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Has Pfizer’s second-quarter outperformance significantly affected its 2026 forecast?
Adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.77, beating FactSet’s $0.68 consensus by nine cents, though down from $0.78 in the prior year. Revenue totaled $15.03 billion, above the expected $14.40 billion. Pfizer raised its 2026 sales midpoint by $500 million to $61.5 billion, while adjusted EPS guidance remained at $2.80–$3.00. The Innovent charge of $650 million is expected to cut EPS by around $0.10. Full-year profit guidance was unchanged. Business Wire
Does Pfizer's current valuation offer sufficient compensation for its risks?
PFE is priced at $25.03, representing 8.6 times the midpoint of its $2.90 guidance. With a quarterly dividend of $0.43, the annual payout reaches $1.72 and translates to a 6.9% yield. FactSet lists an average target price of $28.33, roughly 13% higher. The consensus is Hold, with projected price targets ranging from $24 to $35. These targets may not account for the latest earnings. The Wall Street Journal
Is Pfizer offsetting declines in its COVID revenue quickly enough?
Excluding COVID, revenue increased 5% operationally in the second quarter. Products launched or acquired posted an 18% gain. Sales of Eliquis climbed 19%, Padcev advanced 23%, and Lorbrena jumped 37%. Pfizer trimmed its 2026 COVID revenue forecast to around $4 billion, down from $5 billion. Paxlovid revenue dropped 95%, while Comirnaty slipped 34%. The product mix is getting better, though the negative impact remains significant. Business Wire
What potential catalysts might drive PFE higher in the coming year?
Pfizer anticipates multiple key readouts over the coming 12 months. The company intends to launch 10 Phase 3 berobenatide trials in 2026. Its comprehensive obesity program covers upwards of 20 studies. Padcev secured regulatory clearance for perioperative bladder cancer in July. Risks are still present. Sigvotatug vedotin did not meet its overall-survival endpoint in Phase 3 testing. Second quarter results also included $4.3 billion in non-cash impairments. Business Wire
Are reductions in costs enough to counteract challenges from patents and generics?
Pfizer announced an extra $2.5 billion in planned savings for 2027–2029, lifting the total cost-cutting goal to $9.7 billion by 2029. Achieving the new savings will require about $6 billion in one-time expenses. The company expects a $1.1 billion impact from generics and biosimilars in 2026. No share buybacks are scheduled for 2026. The company is prioritising debt reduction. While the cost cuts can help support margins, they will not offset sales declines. Business Wire

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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