Nasdaq Futures Drop in Early Trading as AI Leaders Face Tougher Earnings Hurdles

Nasdaq Futures Drop in Early Trading as AI Leaders Face Tougher Earnings Hurdles

NEW YORK, August 6, 2026, 09:02 EDT – U.S. stock index futures turned lower on Wednesday, with Nasdaq futures under the most pressure as some top artificial intelligence stocks confronted stronger earnings expectations.

  • U.S. cash markets are set to open at 09:30 EDT. Dow futures gained roughly 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.6%.
  • Before the market opened, four growth stocks fell by 10% to 19%, although most reported strong quarterly earnings.
  • First-time claims totaled 199,000, coming in lower than expected. Early estimates show second-quarter productivity up 1.4%.

U.S. stock futures traded mixed on Thursday, with investors scaling back positions in AI-related stocks. The Nasdaq 100 underperformed, despite jobless claims coming in lower than expected.

The significance lies in the fact that prices are being influenced by expectations more than by actual demand. The same trend appeared on Wednesday. The Dow rose 0.49% to reach an all-time high, as the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.83%.

Market gaugeThursday premarketWednesday sessionImmediate signal
Dow futures / industrials+0.2%+0.49% to 54,349.06Blue-chip stocks stay firm
S&P 500 futures / index+0.1%-0.17% to 7,723.52Major indexes little changed
Nasdaq 100 futures / Composite-0.6%-0.83% to 26,363.44Investors cut risk in growth names
U.S. 10-year yield4.64%4.65% areaLimited improvement in yield moves

Numbers are rounded and represent the premarket view after claims.

Western Digital , Sandisk , Datadog , and AppLovin were the four growth stocks that stood out during the morning session.

CompanyPremarket moveReported evidenceWhat disappointed investors
Western Digital-15.2%Adjusted EPS $3.56 exceeded $3.31; revenue was $3.75 billionGuidance for the next quarter was only marginally above projections
Sandisk-10.2%Adjusted EPS stood at $39.25; revenue totaled $8.97 billionRevenue outlook for $10.3 billion-$10.8 billion fell short of the $10.82 billion midpoint expectation
Datadog-15.0%Revenue grew 36% to $1.12 billion; full-year forecast was increasedOptimism had already been priced in after shares doubled this year
AppLovin-18.5%Earnings per share hit estimates at $3.76Revenue and adjusted EBITDA came in below forecasts; guidance for Q3 was weak

Western Digital shares surged over three times in 2026, while Sandisk saw an increase of more than fivefold. Both companies significantly outperformed the semiconductor index, which gained close to 70%, and the S&P 500’s 12.8% rise.

Luke Lango, chief technology analyst at InvestorPlace, commented that markets had factored in expectations of “outright acceleration.” According to him, results described as “merely excellent” were now insufficient to meet that threshold. Reuters

Selling pressure hit hardware stocks broadly. Seagate Technology slipped 3.6%. Micron Technology dropped 3.7%. Advanced Micro Devices , Marvell Technology , and Intel each slipped roughly 1%.

Broker recommendations have remained unchanged even as market prices shifted. Each of the four companies continues to hold Buy or Overweight consensus ratings.

CompanyConsensusPositive / Hold / Negative ratingsMedian targetImplied move from August 5 close
Western DigitalOverweight23 / 5 / 2$620.00+19%
SandiskOverweight23 / 6 / 1$2,500.00+85%
DatadogBuy44 / 3 / 3$292.50+3%
AppLovinBuy32 / 4 / 0$650.00+56%

Buy and Overweight ratings are included as Positive. Underweight and Sell are combined as Negative.

The difference stands out. Prior to Thursday’s decline, Datadog’s median target implied just a 3% gain. For Sandisk, the implied upside reached 85%. The movements in share prices indicate that ratings by themselves provide limited defense when market positioning is saturated.

Economic indicators offered no decisive trigger for rate cuts. Initial jobless claims edged up by 1,000 to 199,000, compared with the expected 202,000. Continuing claims climbed by 24,000 to reach 1.801 million.

Nonfarm productivity rose by 1.4% in the second quarter, preliminary data showed, outpacing the market forecast of 0.6%. Unit labor costs climbed 1.3%, and real hourly compensation declined by 3.1% at an annualized rate.

U.S. indicatorLatestConsensusPrevious or comparison
Initial jobless claims199,000202,000198,000
Continuing claims1.801 million1.777 million
Preliminary Q2 productivity+1.4%+0.6%+0.8% revised
Q2 unit labor costs+1.3%+1.3% revised
Consensus payrolls for July80,00080,00057,000 for June
Estimated July jobless rate4.2%4.2%4.2%

The 10-year Treasury yield dipped marginally to 4.64%. Futures markets continued to reflect nearly even odds for the U.S. Federal Reserve to either pause or increase rates in September. Brent crude hovered near $80 as market participants monitored talks in the Middle East.

Wells Fargo chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli stated that “higher long-term rates are not going away anytime soon.” He pointed to the continued strength of the economy, robust corporate earnings, and expectations for productivity boosted by AI investment. Reuters

The upcoming employment report on Friday is seen as the next key test for the index. Analysts anticipate around 80,000 jobs to be added, up from 57,000 in June. The jobless rate is projected to hold steady at 4.2%.

Risks: Solid payroll data, rising oil prices, or stalled Middle East negotiations may push yields up and intensify the pullback in growth stocks. Conversely, disappointing jobs numbers or confirmed peace agreements could swiftly trigger a reversal of this rotation.

The investor read is limited but significant. Demand for AI continues to be robust. There is a shift in what valuations markets will accept. Unless prices or expectations adjust, momentum stocks could remain vulnerable even if they deliver earnings beats.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Do record highs conceal underlying weakness in market breadth?
The Dow set an all-time closing high at 54,349.12 on Wednesday, up 0.49%. The S&P 500 slipped 0.17%, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.83% and the Russell 2000 declined 0.59%. Declining stocks led advancers by a ratio of 1.15-to-1 on the NYSE and 1.34-to-1 on the Nasdaq. S&P futures had risen 0.1% prior to Thursday's open, with Nasdaq futures down 0.6%. Participation remains uneven even as the Dow sets new records.
Is the AI trade showing a decline in leniency?
Nasdaq futures declined 0.6% ahead of Thursday’s market open. In premarket hours, Western Digital shares dropped 15.5% and Sandisk slipped 10.1%. AppLovin slid 18.7% and Datadog fell 22.3%. Despite the declines, Western Digital and Sandisk both projected revenues above analyst estimates. The drops suggest that investors had set high expectations going into the results.
Could Friday's jobs data prompt a fresh repricing from the Fed?
Economists expect July payrolls to increase by 80,000, following June’s rise of 57,000. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.2%. Initial jobless claims for Thursday were 199,000, with continuing claims at 1.801 million. Hiring momentum has eased, yet layoff levels stay close to historic lows. The Fed kept rates at 3.50%–3.75%, with three members backing a 25 basis point hike. Chances for a September rate increase are now almost even, down from 63% a week ago. The jobs report is due Friday at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
Do earnings support the current valuation of the S&P 500?
The S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 19.6, according to FactSet. This is above its 10-year average of 19.0, but below the five-year figure of 19.9. Revenue performance remains robust, with 77% of results surpassing forecasts by a combined 2.9%. Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to climb 29.1% in 2026. These projections underpin much of the present valuation.
Has the latest data significantly lowered the risk of inflation?
Productivity grew at a 1.4% annual rate in the second quarter, while unit labor costs increased by 1.3%. Year-on-year, labor costs rose 1.4%. These figures suggested some relief on labor-cost pressure but did not address overall inflation concerns. June PCE inflation stood at 3.7%, and core PCE was 3.3%. Brent crude hovered around $80 as deal specifics were unresolved. Inflation continues to exceed the Fed’s 2% target.
Mateusz Kaczmarek

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global market developments. A graduate of the Poznań University of Economics and Business, he previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. His reporting focuses on technology companies, market trends and the forces shaping global investment markets. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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