Keel Stock Matches Insiders’ $3.41 Cost as 2.2-Gigawatt AI Pipeline Awaits Leases

Keel Stock Matches Insiders’ $3.41 Cost as 2.2-Gigawatt AI Pipeline Awaits Leases

NEW YORK, August 21, 2026, 12:08 EDT — Keel Infrastructure Corp. shares rose 1.2% to $3.41 in Friday trading. That price almost exactly matched the reported weighted cost of three recent insider purchases.

  • Three insider purchases totaled 116,129 shares and about $396,160.
  • Their combined reported weighted cost was $3.4114 per share.
  • Keel has a 2.2-gigawatt pipeline, but no tenant lease was announced.

The near-perfect match gives investors a clean marker for the insider signal. At $3.41, the stock sat 0.04% below the three purchases’ combined cost, using the weighted-average prices disclosed in the filings.

The latest filing came after Thursday’s close. Chief Operating Officer Liam Wilson bought 30,769 shares on August 20 at a reported weighted average of $3.25. The purchase cost about $99,999 and lifted his direct holding to 100,978 shares.

Intraday market snapshot

MetricAugust 21 readingReference
Share price$3.41, up 1.19%11:58:29 EDT
Session range$3.29–$3.78Open: $3.50
Volume28.06 million34.48 million average
Market value$2.10 billion617.57 million shares
52-week range$2.00–$7.37Price was 54% below the high

Wilson also bought 26,472 shares at $3.78 on August 17. Chief Executive Ben Gagnon bought 58,888 shares at $3.33 on August 13. The reported prices place the cluster’s combined cost at $396,160.45.

Open-market insider purchases

BuyerTrade dateSharesReported priceApproximate value
Ben Gagnon, CEOAugust 1358,888$3.33$196,097
Liam Wilson, COOAugust 1726,472$3.78$100,064
Liam Wilson, COOAugust 2030,769$3.25$99,999
CombinedAugust 13–20116,129$3.4114 weighted$396,160

The purchases remain small beside Keel’s equity value. Their combined cost equals about 0.019% of its $2.10 billion market capitalization. That makes the buying a confidence signal, not a balance-sheet event.

Keel is the renamed successor to Bitcoin miner Bitfarms. It is shifting toward power-backed sites for artificial-intelligence and high-performance computing. The company says its development pipeline totals 2.2 gigawatts across five campuses.

That pipeline has not yet produced an announced tenant lease. On August 10, Keel said three priority sites were nearing full permitting while prospective tenants negotiated. Gagnon put the strategy plainly: “Power is the constraint. Everything else is downstream of it.” Keel second-quarter results

Legacy operations: second-quarter reset

US$ millions, except per shareQ2 2026Q2 2025Change
Revenue$30.43$60.91-50%
General and administrative costs$31.31$19.38+62%
Operating result-$140.77+$10.81Turned to loss
Continuing-operations result-$63.95+$13.20Turned to loss
Continuing EPS-$0.11+$0.02Turned to loss
Adjusted EBITDA-$23.69+$6.60Turned negative

The funding cushion is substantial. Keel reported $819 million of liquidity on August 7, including $698 million of unrestricted cash and $121 million of unencumbered Bitcoin. That total equaled 39% of Friday’s market value.

Cash burn is the counterweight. Second-quarter revenue halved to $30.43 million, while the operating loss reached $140.77 million. Keel also raised $458 million through convertible notes, which can create future dilution if converted.

A fresh Pennsylvania development reduced one immediate policy concern. Keel said Thursday that permitting at Panther Creek and Sharon remained on schedule after Governor Josh Shapiro’s new data-center standards. The statement did not add a tenant or change capacity.

Analyst recommendations

Analyst and firmRecommendationTargetUpside from $3.41Date
Michael Grondahl, NorthlandBuy$7.00105%August 11
Brian Dobson, Clear StreetBuy$5.0047%August 11
Mike Colonnese, H.C. WainwrightBuy$5.5061%August 11
Brian Kinstlinger, Alliance GlobalBuy$7.00105%August 10
Stephen Glagola, KBWHold$4.5032%July 28
Gregory Lewis, BTIGBuy$8.00135%July 22
Gregory P. Miller, Citizens JMPBuy$10.00193%June 24
Google Finance showed seven Buy ratings and one Hold among eight analysts, with a $6.71 average target. One Clear Street entry is omitted because no analyst was named. Google Finance

Risks: The $3.41 insider cost is a reference point, not support. Shares could fall if leases slip, permitting slows or development spending drains liquidity. Bitcoin volatility and convertible-note dilution add separate pressure.

The next valuation step depends on a signed lease with disclosed capacity, timing and economics. Until then, Keel’s 2.2-gigawatt pipeline remains development potential rather than contracted revenue.

NASDAQ: KEEL · Investor dashboard

Insider cost meets the market price

The shares trade almost exactly at insiders’ combined weighted purchase cost. The bigger question is whether 2.2 GW of power capacity becomes contracted AI data-center revenue.
$3.41
▲ 1.19% intraday
August 21, 2026 · 11:58:29 EDT
Insider cluster
$3.4114
Reported weighted cost across three open-market purchases
99.96% price / cost
116,129
shares bought
≈ $396,160 total
Liquidity cushion
$819M
$698M unrestricted cash + $121M unencumbered Bitcoin, as of August 7
39% of the $2.10B intraday market value
52-week high$7.37
Distance-54%
Analyst setup
$6.71
Average 12-month target · 97% above $3.41
$3.41$4.50 low$6.71 avg$10 high
Consensus: 7 Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell
2.2 GW multi-year pipeline
Currently used on site341 MW energized
Utility delivery agreements430 MW secured
Applied, studied or evaluated1.5 GW expansion
Company definitions. Rounded components total about 2.27 GW; Keel reports a 2.2 GW total pipeline.
Q2 legacy operations
Revenue$30.43M▼ 50% YoY
Operating loss-$140.77Mvs +$10.81M
Adjusted EBITDA-$23.69Mvs +$6.60M
G&A$31.31M▲ 62% YoY
What changes the valuation
A signed tenant lease
Investors need disclosed capacity, timing and economics. Until then, the 2.2 GW pipeline is development potential, not contracted revenue.
Risk watch: lease delays, permitting slippage and development spending could drain liquidity. Bitcoin volatility and convertible-note dilution remain separate downside channels.
Market data: Google Finance, August 21, 2026 at 11:58:29 EDT. Insider data: issuer-hosted Forms 4 filed August 14, 17 and 20, covering trades on August 13, 17 and 20. Financial and pipeline data: Keel Infrastructure Q2 2026 results and company materials. Analyst targets are opinions, not guarantees.
Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments affecting global markets. He graduated from Humboldt University of Berlin and worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist.

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