Marvell Shares Drop 10.3%, Wiping Out $22 Billion Amid Google Revenue Delay to 2029

Marvell Shares Drop 10.3%, Wiping Out $22 Billion Amid Google Revenue Delay to 2029

SANTA CLARA, California, August 30, 2026, 23:05 (EDT) – Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) stock declined 10.3%, erasing $22 billion from its market capitalization after the company said that anticipated revenue from Google would not materialize until 2029.

  • Marvell ended Friday at $216.62, a drop of 10.28%, with 48.98 million shares traded.
  • Revenue for the fiscal second quarter climbed 37% to reach an all-time high of $2.739 billion.
  • Operating cash flow totaled $605.5 million, with data-center revenue increasing by 46%.
  • Management stated that revenue connected to Google will grow substantially larger in fiscal 2029.

Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRVL) dropped 10.28% on Friday, as record earnings were not enough to meet market expectations for AI. The slump wiped out around $22.3 billion in value, with roughly 900 million shares outstanding.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MRVL

The development is significant as Marvell’s stock had almost tripled during 2026. Investors had anticipated quicker gains from its broader custom-chip partnership with Google.

Revenue for the quarter ended August 1 totaled $2.739 billion, marking a 37% increase compared to the same period last year and surpassing the guidance midpoint by $39 million. GAAP net income amounted to $308 million, with operating cash flow at $605.5 million Marvell results.

Data-center sales increased by 46% with strong demand seen in custom silicon, switching, storage and electro-optics. Company materials showed the segment accounted for roughly 79% of revenue in the quarter.

Marvell forecast fiscal third-quarter revenue at $3.15 billion, with a possible variation of 5% either way. The company projected adjusted earnings per share of $1.10, and anticipated a non-GAAP gross margin between 57.5% and 58.5%.

The Google deal is significant but structured to pay out mostly later. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) was granted warrants covering as many as 58.97 million Marvell shares at a price of $206.58 apiece. The majority will vest in 240 installments, each linked to $500 million in custom-product revenue Marvell 8-K.

Chief Executive Matt Murphy stated that Google’s contributions will play a much larger role in fiscal 2029. According to Morgan Stanley analysts, the majority of the agreement had already been included in earlier guidance Reuters.

MeasureCurrent figureInvestor read-through
Friday close$216.62, down 10.28%Roughly $22.3 billion wiped out
Q2 revenue$2.739 billion, up 37%All-time high growth, slight beat on guide
Q3 revenue guide$3.15 billion ±5%Midpoint implies sequential growth of about 15%
Forward P/E58.41×Higher than Broadcom’s 32.15×
Analyst median target$29536% premium over Friday close

Despite the decline, analysts maintain an optimistic outlook. According to FactSet, there are 30 Buy recommendations, seven Overweight, and six Hold ratings, with no analysts assigning a Sell rating. The median price target is $295, compared with a closing price of $216.62 on Friday WSJ market data.

Marvell’s valuation provides limited margin for postponement. Shares are priced at 58.41 times projected earnings, while Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) trades at 32.15 times. The higher multiple requires ongoing rapid growth.

Marvell’s next scheduled catalyst is its investor day on October 6. Executives will outline the company’s strategy for AI infrastructure and discuss its long-term growth initiatives.

Risks: Google revenue could be recognized later than anticipated by investors. The level of customer concentration is significant, with four customers accounting for 72% of receivables. Marvell carries additional tariff and supply-chain risk by conducting most manufacturing outside the United States fiscal Q2 10-Q.

NASDAQ: MRVL · Stock move

Marvell: record growth meets a 2029 payoff test

The quarter beat guidance, but the Google custom-silicon ramp remains back-loaded. Valuation still demands sustained acceleration.
Market data: Aug. 28, 2026, 16:00 EDT
Prepared: Aug. 30, 2026, 23:11 EDT
Friday close
$216.62
−10.28% · −$24.83
After-hours: $216.40 at 19:59 EDT
Equity value erased
≈$22.3B
Using roughly 900M basic shares
Q2 revenue
$2.739B
+37% YoY · +13% sequentially
Analyst median target
$295
+36.2% vs Friday close
FactSet via WSJ, Aug. 28

Operating momentum

Q2 revenue
$2.739B
Q3 midpoint
$3.150B
Data center
79%
Gross margin
58.9%
Stock move
−10.28%
Q2 FY26 $2.01BQ1 FY27 $2.42BQ2 FY27 $2.74BQ3 guide $3.15B

Catalyst timeline

Aug. 18Google warrant issued at $206.58 for up to 58.97M shares.
Aug. 27Record Q2 results; FY2027 and FY2028 revenue outlooks raised.
Oct. 6Investor Day: next confirmed strategy and long-term target update.
Fiscal 2029Management expects Google revenue to become much more significant.

Valuation and expectations

MetricMarvellReference
Forward P/E58.41×Broadcom 32.15×
FY2027 EPS estimate$4.20$4.04 three months ago
FY2028 EPS estimate$6.69$6.13 three months ago
Ratings30 Buy · 7 Overweight6 Hold · 0 Sell
Target range$211.97–$400Median $295

What changed

Beat: Revenue was $39M above prior guidance midpoint. Adjusted EPS of $0.94 topped the $0.93 consensus.

Guide: Q3 revenue midpoint implies about 15% sequential growth.

Disconnect: The Google agreement can support up to $120B of cumulative custom-product revenue, but the strongest contribution is not expected until fiscal 2029.

Investor bridge

Friday's decline removed about $22.3B of equity value even as quarterly revenue grew 37%. The central question is timing: Marvell must convert its Google and other hyperscaler programs into revenue quickly enough to justify a forward earnings multiple roughly 82% above Broadcom's.

Risk monitor

Timing: Google revenue may arrive later than expected.
Concentration: Four customers represented 72% of receivables.
Margin: Q3 adjusted gross-margin guidance is 57.5%–58.5%.
Supply chain: About 84% of quarterly sales shipped to customers operating in Asia.
Shan Ahmed Khan

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments across global markets. He worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist and is a graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS).

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